WEATHERMINATOR Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 On 3/1/2019 at 2:21 AM, jm1220 said: I'd be more comfortable with that if the Euro shows it too-it's hi res like those models. Right now the Euro still looks warm here. Hopefully overnight, the models cranking the storm sooner can crash the cold mid level air south sooner. Expand Nam gives us more snow than southeast ma that’s hard to believe. I’d toss it for now. They get the better dynamics don’t they? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSnowLover Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 On 3/1/2019 at 2:21 AM, jm1220 said: I'd be more comfortable with that if the Euro shows it too-it's hi res like those models. Right now the Euro still looks warm here. Hopefully overnight, the models cranking the storm sooner can crash the cold mid level air south sooner. Expand The Euro I believe is showing snow with this system, it's the Sunday Night storm that its warm and rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 On 3/1/2019 at 2:23 AM, WEATHERMINATOR said: Nam gives us more snow than southeast ma that’s hard to believe. I’d toss it for now. They get the better dynamics don’t they? Expand The Nam seemed to dampen out the low and send it east too soon. I doubt with this we'd do better than Boston or SE MA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSnowLover Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 On 3/1/2019 at 2:27 AM, jm1220 said: The Nam seemed to dampen out the low and send it east too soon. I doubt with this we'd do better than Boston or SE MA. Expand Agree the NAM setup seemed a bit odd and out of nowhere with PA/NJ and NYC seeing more snow then SNE but it is under 42 hours so Im not totally writing it off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 On 3/1/2019 at 2:34 AM, HVSnowLover said: Agree the NAM setup seemed a bit odd and out of nowhere with PA/NJ and NYC seeing more snow then SNE but it is under 42 hours so Im not totally writing it off. Expand It was the only model 2 days ago with snow tomorrow morning if I recall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSnowLover Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 Storm 3 is a soaker on the NAM although still out of range Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 On 3/1/2019 at 2:46 AM, HVSnowLover said: Storm 3 is a soaker on the NAM although still out of range Expand That's locked as a rain storm, best chance is tomorrow night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSnowLover Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 On 3/1/2019 at 2:47 AM, qg_omega said: That's locked as a rain storm, best chance is tomorrow night Expand I don't think it's locked as anything this far out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 NAM tends to be overamped at the end of its range, not sure if that's a bias that's been fixed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 On 3/1/2019 at 2:46 AM, HVSnowLover said: Storm 3 is a soaker on the NAM although still out of range Expand Interior nw will snow snow maps are ridiculous oz nam Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 On 3/1/2019 at 2:48 AM, HVSnowLover said: I don't think it's locked as anything this far out Expand Thought snowgoose wrote that rain was the least likely outcome...this stuff changes from hour to hour. Is something supposed to happen tonight? My expectations are tempered and will not be surprised if my area doesn't see more than 2 inches total for the weekend. It's been that kind of year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 On 3/1/2019 at 3:04 AM, weatherpruf said: Thought snowgoose wrote that rain was the least likely outcome...this stuff changes from hour to hour. Is something supposed to happen tonight? My expectations are tempered and will not be surprised if my area doesn't see more than 2 inches total for the weekend. It's been that kind of year. Expand Significant snow to rain is the least likely. If we go snow to rain it might be a trace and done quickly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
David-LI Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 On 3/1/2019 at 2:47 AM, qg_omega said: That's locked as a rain storm, best chance is tomorrow night Expand Nothing in weather is locked Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 On 3/1/2019 at 3:10 AM, David-LI said: Nothing in weather is locked Expand exactly and nobody has any idea what exactly is going to happen the next 3 days... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BombsAway1288 Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 On 3/1/2019 at 2:09 AM, qg_omega said: Best shot of snow is Friday night into Saturday morning for the coast. Monday is a rain storm. Basically I like the exact opposite of what you posted in terms of snow Expand Shocker! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSnowLover Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 On 3/1/2019 at 3:09 AM, SnowGoose69 said: Significant snow to rain is the least likely. If we go snow to rain it might be a trace and done quickly Expand Because surface is too warm right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 On 3/1/2019 at 3:09 AM, SnowGoose69 said: Significant snow to rain is the least likely. If we go snow to rain it might be a trace and done quickly Expand Thanks for the clarification. People seem to be jumping on the Sat event now and throwing in the towel on Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSnowLover Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 On 3/1/2019 at 3:26 AM, weatherpruf said: Thanks for the clarification. People seem to be jumping on the Sat event now and throwing in the towel on Sunday. Expand Which doesn't really support whats been said on here because from what I've read and what makes sense is if the Sat storm is stronger the Sunday storm will track further south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 On 3/1/2019 at 3:33 AM, HVSnowLover said: Which doesn't really support whats been said on here because from what I've read and what makes sense is if the Sat storm is stronger the Sunday storm will track further south Expand Some are saying that, some are not. I'm not sure of anything, except that we can't buy a decent storm this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSnowLover Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 GFS crazy amped tomorrow night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NycStormChaser Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 On 3/1/2019 at 3:38 AM, HVSnowLover said: GFS crazy amped tomorrow night Expand It's mostly rain for the city as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSnowLover Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 The models are having a lot of problems with tomorrows night storm, I don't know how anyone can say the Sunday Night storm is a lock Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSnowLover Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 On 3/1/2019 at 3:42 AM, NycStormChaser said: It's mostly rain for the city as well Expand Yea looks nothing like the NAM, but the precip type maps are all over the place and if the GFS is a bit off with the 850s which it easily could be with those dynamics then this could be different Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSnowLover Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 GFS way south with storm 3 pretty much supporting the if storm 2 amped storm 3 south theory The GFS is so far south this run it may be too far south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 On 3/1/2019 at 3:51 AM, HVSnowLover said: GFS way south with storm 3 pretty much supporting the if storm 2 amped storm 3 south theory The GFS is so far south this run it may be too far south Expand Storm 3 could miss the northern parts of this sub forum if tomorrow night really bombs. I doubt the metro gets missed but certainly could see parts of the HV be too far north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 On 3/1/2019 at 3:42 AM, NycStormChaser said: It's mostly rain for the city as well Expand The Euro insists that it’s snow but I think the Euro is still ticking NW. It’ll be very close for sure. This is a case where Greenwich could see 7 inches and Oyster Bay sees rain across the Sound. At this time I would be surprised if NYC saw more than just a brief period of snow at the start and end with tomorrow nights low Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSnowLover Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 On 3/1/2019 at 3:59 AM, SnowGoose69 said: Storm 3 could miss the northern parts of this sub forum if tomorrow night really bombs. I doubt the metro gets missed but certainly could see parts of the HV be too far north Expand Yea and if tomorrow really bombs than the HV will get hit good tomorrow night, GFS is a nice win-win for the whole region Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 On 3/1/2019 at 3:59 AM, SnowGoose69 said: Storm 3 could miss the northern parts of this sub forum if tomorrow night really bombs. I doubt the metro gets missed but certainly could see parts of the HV be too far north Expand Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted March 1, 2019 Share Posted March 1, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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