David-LI Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 Hows the 18z euro looking? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BombsAway1288 Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 On 2/27/2019 at 11:43 PM, David-LI said: Hows the 18z euro looking? Expand For what? It only goes out to 90 hrs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSnowLover Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 On 2/27/2019 at 7:14 PM, snowman19 said: No -NAO, SE ridge flexes, no -AO to lock the TPV in SE Canada, the TPV stretches and lifts north because there’s no AO block, storm will cut just like the Euro showed. Very believable scenario (cutter, rain) and IMO the most likely for Monday Expand I'm still not seeing where the Euro track is a cutter? Yea its a track that would lead to mostly rain for our area but I'm not seeing a cutter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHERMINATOR Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 Icon looks a bit worse for monday but has some more snow for Saturday than it’s previous run. 1-3 for Saturday and another 3-6 for monday. Friday also has an inch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSnowLover Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 On 2/28/2019 at 3:42 AM, WEATHERMINATOR said: Icon looks a bit worse for monday but has some more snow for Saturday than it’s previous run. 1-3 for Saturday and another 3-6 for monday. Friday also has an inch. Expand Yea the city isn't getting a foot Monday like it previously showed, if the city gets 3-6 it would be a huge win in this winter. I'm not really paying much attention to the other two little events because neither seems like more than an inch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHERMINATOR Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 On 2/28/2019 at 3:48 AM, HVSnowLover said: Yea the city isn't getting a foot Monday like it previously showed, if the city gets 3-6 it would be a huge win in this winter. I'm not really paying much attention to the other two little events because neither seems like more than an inch. Expand Saturday could be good way better but the lifting is not being recognized by the models too much. Icon had a decent event there almost. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSnowLover Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 GFS is a perfect run for the metro area for Sunday Night/Monday wish it wasn't still 4 days out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 On 2/28/2019 at 4:00 AM, HVSnowLover said: GFS is a perfect run for the metro area for Sunday Night/Monday wish it wasn't still 4 days out Expand but has been consistent - run to run continuity developing....BUT rain/snow line too close for comfort...…. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSnowLover Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 On 2/28/2019 at 4:04 AM, NEG NAO said: but has been consistent - run to run continuity developing....BUT rain/snow line too close for comfort...…. Expand Need to be near the rain line to get the best snows, thats why I said it's a near perfect run but yes this could easily be a soaker so have to be cautious. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHERMINATOR Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 On 2/28/2019 at 4:00 AM, HVSnowLover said: GFS is a perfect run for the metro area for Sunday Night/Monday wish it wasn't still 4 days out Expand On 2/28/2019 at 4:04 AM, NEG NAO said: but has been consistent - run to run continuity developing....BUT rain/snow line too close for comfort...…. Expand Last run was better and colder but I’d take this run and sprint Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 Canadian drops over a foot on the region. Better than last run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 CMC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSnowLover Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 On 2/28/2019 at 4:13 AM, NEG NAO said: CMC Expand Now that is the perfect run, ugh you can see how much this is threading the needle, this will come down to the wire for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSnowLover Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 Very fast moving system but intense, CMC dumps about 6-10 inches over about a 6 hour timeframe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 People keep calling this a monday storm, but it's really a sunday evening/night storm. It will be out of here by early monday morning. Good to see the Canadian trend colder. Hopefully EURO will too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSnowLover Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 On 2/28/2019 at 4:36 AM, winterwx21 said: People keep calling this a monday storm, but it's really a sunday evening/night storm. It will be out of here by early monday morning. Good to see the Canadian trend colder. Hopefully EURO will too. Expand Yea agree I was thinking that too, this is really Sunday evening, it'll be done by around 3-4 am if the CMC/GFS are right. If a Euro like solution happened the storm duration would probably be longer but also a lot wetter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHERMINATOR Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 Ukmet looks like the rest of tonight models runs. Don’t have the soundings but it does look good. Benchmark or slightly inside Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 The low runs aground over NJ in the Atari graphics HIVF3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
203whiteout Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 On 2/28/2019 at 5:29 AM, yoda said: Expand Sorry to be negative but if anyone thinks that track will hold until Sunday they are setting themselves up for disappointment. These storms trend north. Snow breeds snow. This will end up being a CNE/NNE special. I hope I’m wrong but there is just too much time for this to come north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 A little snow tonight , tomorrow night and a possibly bigger storm on Monday. Euro has a few snow events to watch moving forward. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 One of the coldest first weeks of March on record for the CONUS as a whole. The 2010’s delayed spring theme is still going strong. https://mobile.twitter.com/commoditywx/status/1100454735574982657 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 On 2/28/2019 at 12:17 PM, bluewave said: One of the coldest first weeks of March on record for the CONUS as a whole. The 2010’s delayed spring theme is still going strong. https://mobile.twitter.com/commoditywx/status/1100454735574982657 Expand As if the winter couldn't get any worse, more freezing cold and rain. Worst winter in my lifetime. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 On 2/28/2019 at 1:01 PM, bluewave said: The hugger or cutter track followed by cold has been relentless since the fall. Expand You would think we would get ONE storm by luck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 On 2/28/2019 at 1:13 PM, bluewave said: It’s as if a piece of the record breaking WAR from 2018 got stuck in place. So any really amped system huggs the coast or cuts like the system last weekend. We definitely need a lucky break with one of these systems like we got with the November hugger snowstorm. Root for a weaker and less amped system for Sunday into Monday. Expand The storm at the end of the EURO run is probably the best chance, as the frigid cold will be in place already. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wdrag Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 Tomorrow morning ensemble graphics attached. SPC HREF accum vcnty BWI-DCA may be temperated by sleet. And the NWS prob of 1" or more from the 00z/28 cycle. We'll see if this changes with the day run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TJW014 Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 I'm excited about late Sunday-Monday. After that, I'm ready for spring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CPcantmeasuresnow Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 On 2/28/2019 at 12:17 PM, bluewave said: One of the coldest first weeks of March on record for the CONUS as a whole. The 2010’s delayed spring theme is still going strong. https://mobile.twitter.com/commoditywx/status/1100454735574982657 Expand In going with this theme, of the four winter months December through March, March has not been the warmest of thee four since 2012. That has never happened for six years in a row in 150 years of records. Also throw in that March has been the snowiest month in NYC in 3 of the last 4 winters. For all of the posters that wish every February for spring in March, just unnatural here historically, consider that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSnowLover Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 On 2/28/2019 at 6:15 AM, 203whiteout said: Sorry to be negative but if anyone thinks that track will hold until Sunday they are setting themselves up for disappointment. These storms trend north. Snow breeds snow. This will end up being a CNE/NNE special. I hope I’m wrong but there is just too much time for this to come north. Expand Yes I would expect a bit of a bump north but I'm not sure they'll be major changes. I don't really love the airmass in place so this is definitely going to be a thread the needle scenario. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSnowLover Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 A lot of focus on the Sunday Night storm but the storm tomorrow night/Sat Morning starting to look like possibly a decent little event too although precip type iffy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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