96blizz Posted March 7, 2019 Share Posted March 7, 2019 Happy for all of you that cashed in! Massive NWS bust down here in Skaneatles. 8-14” warning and held fast even to 3-7” last night. 1/2” total! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted March 7, 2019 Author Share Posted March 7, 2019 Another 3.2” last night. I’ve picked up almost a foot of snow this week. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted March 7, 2019 Share Posted March 7, 2019 10 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: Another 3.2” last night. I’ve picked up almost a foot of snow this week. Honestly this might be one of the worst forecasting jobs by the models and NWS maps from those models since I can remember...and with the "new" GFS model about to debut this spring and it's already a giant tire fire I don't expect any better results going forward. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted March 7, 2019 Share Posted March 7, 2019 3.9 inches yesterday, 6.5 for the entire event. A little more this morning. Less than I hoped for but it is what it is. Had some of the most intense snowfall rates of the winter but it was always in transition so accumulations were not great. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted March 7, 2019 Share Posted March 7, 2019 All the heaviest stuff has stayed closer to the lake, guessing due to the light winds over the last few days.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WNash Posted March 7, 2019 Share Posted March 7, 2019 47 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: Another 3.2” last night. I’ve picked up almost a foot of snow this week. That was a nice band that set up for a while around 3AM. We had a half inch of pure fluff fall while the band was still consolidating towards the near southtowns. We have had about five inches total. When we were forecasted to get several inches, we got less than an inch, but when we were forecasted for a dusting, we got a couple inches. In defense of the Buffalo WFO's forecasts for the Buffalo metro, I don't think they have good modeling or data for a mostly frozen lake with shifting patches of open water. But that doesn't account for their weird snowfall forecasts for Rochester or the broad brushing SE of Lake Ontario. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted March 7, 2019 Share Posted March 7, 2019 3 minutes ago, WNash said: That was a nice band that set up for a while around 3AM. We had a half inch of pure fluff fall while the band was still consolidating towards the near southtowns. We have had about five inches total. When we were forecasted to get several inches, we got less than an inch, but when we were forecasted for a dusting, we got a couple inches. In defense of the Buffalo WFO's forecasts for the Buffalo metro, I don't think they have good modeling or data for a mostly frozen lake with shifting patches of open water. But that doesn't account for their weird snowfall forecasts for Rochester or the broad brushing SE of Lake Ontario. I can get behind the argument for the frozen lake, however, the models still have a southern bias with lake effect in general...too many times this year the models fringed the Northtowns and the heart of the band was further than modeled...in fact the models on WIVB in house did so poorly one of the Mets actually stated on air the model was performing poorly and discounted it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted March 7, 2019 Share Posted March 7, 2019 IDK how the arw even exist anymore lol It's such a bad model. This is what it showed last night.. I think it had a total of 3"-4" here for the entire event lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted March 7, 2019 Share Posted March 7, 2019 Congrats me lol That's where this band will wind up.. 12z arw.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted March 7, 2019 Share Posted March 7, 2019 NMM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted March 7, 2019 Share Posted March 7, 2019 2 to 3 feet depth depending on location. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted March 7, 2019 Share Posted March 7, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted March 7, 2019 Author Share Posted March 7, 2019 Next few weeks. Weeks 3-4 look chilly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted March 7, 2019 Share Posted March 7, 2019 Normal highs next week are in the low 40s. The seasons march on.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted March 7, 2019 Author Share Posted March 7, 2019 Just now, CNY_WX said: Normal highs next week are in the low 40s. The seasons march on.... I remember taking off last year in April with snow and a temp of 32. Landed 3 hours later with sun and a temp of 86. Best feeling ever was landing and feeling that warmth and humidity. My sinuses cleared instantly with that moisture. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted March 7, 2019 Share Posted March 7, 2019 Winter Storm Warning Expires. We start ripping for the first time. Perfect. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted March 7, 2019 Share Posted March 7, 2019 Yet new map shows potential low end warning criteria snowfall lol Or at the very least high end advisory. I was under an advisory day one when I picked up a foot, shlt happens I guess lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted March 7, 2019 Share Posted March 7, 2019 I guess they did lol ...WINTER STORM WARNING IS REPLACED BY A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...Lake effect snow. Additional snow accumulations of 4 to 7 inches in the most persistent lake snows. * WHERE...Oswego county. * WHEN...Until 4 AM EST Friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted March 7, 2019 Share Posted March 7, 2019 P&C showing another 5"-10" this afternoon/evening.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted March 7, 2019 Share Posted March 7, 2019 1 hour ago, BuffaloWeather said: Next few weeks. Weeks 3-4 look chilly. Yeah ibthink when the updated 3-4 week outlook comes out tomorrow the eastern 1/3 will be in all blue. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted March 7, 2019 Share Posted March 7, 2019 Snow totals in Monroe, most of Wayne, Ontario, Orleans were on the order of less than 10% of what was forecast. Most areas received less than an inch. Worst performance IVE EVER SEEN from BUF. Aweful. I couldn’t even understand where they were getting their info? Yesterday’s broad brush down to Batavia and Geneva with 3-6” was laughable. I know the south shore is tough but come on guys! It’s the type of snowfall map I would of made when I was 12 simply because I WANTED snow. Rant over. Still like 3rd week of March for the big one. It’s coming! Lol 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted March 7, 2019 Share Posted March 7, 2019 1 hour ago, BuffaloWeather said: I remember taking off last year in April with snow and a temp of 32. Landed 3 hours later with sun and a temp of 86. Best feeling ever was landing and feeling that warmth and humidity. My sinuses cleared instantly with that moisture. Last March and April were downright brutal. In fact it was either March or April that was the the coldest on record...which one BW? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted March 7, 2019 Author Share Posted March 7, 2019 10 minutes ago, Thinksnow18 said: Last March and April were downright brutal. In fact it was either March or April that was the the coldest on record...which one BW? March and April temps. April was the 2nd coldest on record. 1943 had 36.9 31.4 39.2 https://www.weather.gov/buf/BUFtemp Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted March 7, 2019 Share Posted March 7, 2019 32 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: March and April temps. April was the 2nd coldest on record. 1943 had 36.9 31.4 39.2 https://www.weather.gov/buf/BUFtemp That 31.4 had to be well below average!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted March 7, 2019 Share Posted March 7, 2019 Hmmmm.. Keep padding those stats lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted March 7, 2019 Share Posted March 7, 2019 Some decent wrap around as well.. Moist cyclonic flow across the region Sunday Night and Monday will bring snow showers...favored across higher terrain where lake enhancement and upslope flow processes occur. An additional shortwave, an increasing mid level instability, moves across the region Monday that will likely increase the coverage area of snow showers during the day Monday. Temperatures at 850 hPa will become marginally cold enough over Lake Ontario for some lake effect snow across areas east and southeast...though moisture within the snow growth zone will be brief...keeping additional snow accumulation to minor totals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted March 7, 2019 Share Posted March 7, 2019 Nam pretty much all frozen, albeit not a ton of precipitation... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted March 7, 2019 Share Posted March 7, 2019 Definitely not a fan of cutters...cold air gets scoured out with ease. Zero staying power. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted March 7, 2019 Share Posted March 7, 2019 Last 72 hours.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted March 7, 2019 Share Posted March 7, 2019 You know you're right Wolfie, nighttime hours winds Go West Northwest to West daytime take a West Northwest Northwest what a jokeSent from my SM-G930V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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