Thinksnow18 Posted March 5, 2019 Share Posted March 5, 2019 2 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: According to the NWS i see another 10" over the next 2 days.. I mentioned it yesterday and I see the NWS has listened!!! Lmao kidding of course but that band off lake Erie last night proves good at might be an overachiever. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted March 5, 2019 Share Posted March 5, 2019 Up to 11".. Probably about 2" an hour right now. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted March 5, 2019 Share Posted March 5, 2019 Flow is more out of the WSW now but this band taking it's sweet time moving north.. Pretty sure i'm gonna be late for work lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted March 5, 2019 Share Posted March 5, 2019 Another 1.25" since 530 am and it's done.. Storm total 12.25". Now I wait for my"transition" band tonight.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted March 5, 2019 Share Posted March 5, 2019 KBGM maps: take em down. KBUF: put em up! I think this will end up as a WWA annoyance level snow here. KBGM agreeing with me as Watch still in place and totals being lowered. Bands will be broken up during the day and further north overall for the strongest periods. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted March 5, 2019 Share Posted March 5, 2019 Radar trends in lower Michigan are looking healthy and winds are out of the SW...im liking the afternoon for some heavy snow for a few hours and with gusty winds it's going to be nasty out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted March 5, 2019 Share Posted March 5, 2019 Goal heading into the year was 15-20 feet, now less then 29" away, I got this.. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted March 5, 2019 Share Posted March 5, 2019 Sun starting to come out, beautiful morning.. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckeyes_Suck Posted March 5, 2019 Share Posted March 5, 2019 20 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Sun starting to come out, beautiful morning.. I want to live somewhere that I can drive on hardpack all winter. I hate driving through rutty slush. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted March 5, 2019 Author Share Posted March 5, 2019 Picked up 2.8" last night. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted March 5, 2019 Share Posted March 5, 2019 Looks like about 3.5-4” of new fluff at my job in southern OP. Nice pack on the ground too, probably close to a foot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted March 5, 2019 Share Posted March 5, 2019 13 minutes ago, WesterlyWx said: Looks like about 3.5-4” of new fluff at my job in southern OP. Nice pack on the ground too, probably close to a foot. Isn't it odd that with the March sun and it's technically meteorological spring that we are in the midst of our longest snow cover since late November early December??? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted March 5, 2019 Share Posted March 5, 2019 3 hours ago, Phillifan22 said: Hamilton and Caz are really nice towns that get their fair share of snow, whether it be upslope enhancement during LES or just synoptic snow! Might be a bit more expensive housing/land due to the private (and pricey) universities, but they are worth it. Thanks for the info. Did you live there or go to school there? Housing outside of the towns seems much more reasonable than right in. Was surprised to find random stores like a Big Lots in Hamilton. Never seen one in a town that size. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted March 5, 2019 Share Posted March 5, 2019 2 hours ago, wolfie09 said: Sun starting to come out, beautiful morning.. I am happy for you and truly irritated for me. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted March 5, 2019 Share Posted March 5, 2019 We can't do well with same event even though we have similar lattitude..lol My 3 biggest events this year are all light wind events. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted March 5, 2019 Share Posted March 5, 2019 Really think this is gonna happen? Pretty high accums... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted March 5, 2019 Share Posted March 5, 2019 27 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: We can't do well with same event even though we have similar lattitude..lol My 3 biggest events this year are all light wind events. Yup! And then 12Z runs showing exactly Why I am so ready for this LES season to be over. The same burn over and over and over this winter. Enjoy your new snow, bud! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted March 5, 2019 Share Posted March 5, 2019 1 hour ago, vortmax said: Really think this is gonna happen? Pretty high accums... That’s an aggressive and huge map. No way that many of us see6”+. I still think SYR is a lock. North Monroe the most debateable. I could see Penfield and Webster getting 0-9”. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted March 5, 2019 Share Posted March 5, 2019 1 hour ago, vortmax said: Really think this is gonna happen? Pretty high accums... They’ve been too bullish multiple times this winter - and a couple were real head scratchers. I’m inclined to add this map to that list based on what I see - but I know how unpredictable these events can be. Nearly all of the short term models show a band on the move - so that could limit accums for all Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted March 5, 2019 Share Posted March 5, 2019 24 minutes ago, 96blizz said: They’ve been too bullish multiple times this winter - and a couple were real head scratchers. I’m inclined to add this map to that list based on what I see - but I know how unpredictable these events can be. Nearly all of the short term models show a band on the move - so that could limit accums for all Agreed. I think in the areas that show 4" cut in half and for most of the area outside of the main LES band near Oswego. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted March 5, 2019 Share Posted March 5, 2019 I'm in the middle of that 15" shaded area and I'd bet my house we don't see half of that! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted March 5, 2019 Share Posted March 5, 2019 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted March 5, 2019 Share Posted March 5, 2019 Can happen I suppose but we'll see! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted March 5, 2019 Share Posted March 5, 2019 Practically the same exact look as the last, but a much stronger looking band developed with that one and stalled over us for close to 12hrs and I just don't see that occurring, but one never knows! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattny88 Posted March 5, 2019 Share Posted March 5, 2019 city of oswego received about 6-7inches overnight when i woke up for work...what do you guys expect out of the city of oswego for tonights lake effect band? i think city of oswego could be the center point of the band or do you guys see more of a northwesterly wind component pushing the band south more into fulton and northern cayuga? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted March 5, 2019 Share Posted March 5, 2019 3k is a horrendous model..lol Always way off here one way or another.. Best performance here was the rgem and NMM.. I would take Canadian guidance all day long over American meso models.. ARW may be the worst of them all lol Has a significant southern bias with band placement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted March 5, 2019 Share Posted March 5, 2019 That's lake effect for you.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted March 5, 2019 Share Posted March 5, 2019 25 minutes ago, CNY-LES FREAK said: Can happen I suppose but we'll see! Lock it in! Go Big or Go Home! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted March 5, 2019 Share Posted March 5, 2019 Additional heavy lake effect snow possible tonight through Thursday morning southeast of Lk Ontario. Snowfall amounts of 10-16 inches are possible where bands persist the longest. There is still some uncertainty with band placement and timing due to frequent wind shifts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted March 5, 2019 Share Posted March 5, 2019 Rgem Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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