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Upstate/Eastern New York


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14 hours ago, CNY_WX said:

Did you see where last week there was a 200+ kt jet streak at about 39,000 ft. over Pennsylvania. An international flight heading to Europe got caught up in it and they measured the plane’s ground speed at over 800 mph!

I took a 757 back from PHX to JFK last Monday, Presidents’ Day...we left almost an hour late but made up the time in flight with a 165 mph jet tailwind.  Only took about 3:30 IIRC. Made our connecting flight into SYR, till that plane had mechanical issues after we boarded...but we deplaned and Delta got another plane for the flight fortunately.

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KBGM AFD snip...

Models continue to indicate a lull in the snow this afternoon across
our southern zones as a dry slot to the south of the warm front
advances northward. There is high confidence that the dry slot makes
it into NEPA and moderate confidence that it progresses farther
north into the Southern Tier of NY by mid afternoon. This dry slot
will cut down on snowfall totals and help to minimize travel impacts
for the evening commute. Farther north across CNY, light snow will
continue through the afternoon.

The peak of the event (in terms of snowfall rates and travel
impacts) looks to be this evening in CNY. Hires models show a decent
signal for mesoscale banding just to the NW of the surface low this
evening. Good agreement of the guidance wrt development, position
and timing of this heavier snow band adds to the confidence in the
forecast. Snowfall rates of 1"/hr to perhaps up to 2"/hr locally are
possible for several hours at any location underneath this band. The
snow tapers quickly tapers off from W to E across the area late this
evening and into the overnight.
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56 minutes ago, Thinksnow18 said:

Local met Cejka on WIVB just spoke of another storm of at least this magnitude late sunday and sunday night...not seeing anything on the models...

They just talked about it on The Weather Channel. The Euro has a decent sized storm moving into the northeast while the GFS just has a flat wave with some post frontal snow. 

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