wolfie09 Posted March 5, 2019 Share Posted March 5, 2019 NMM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted March 5, 2019 Share Posted March 5, 2019 I may be just enough north not to be fully in the transition zone lol Even though technically i am ,, Yes i'm greedy lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted March 5, 2019 Share Posted March 5, 2019 Just now, wolfie09 said: I may be just enough north not to be fully in the transition zone lol Even though technically i am ,, Yes i'm greedy lol Lock that in! I’m in that little 12” band on lake shore north of Kroc. It’s happened before. I’m skeptical. Syracuse continues to look golden 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted March 5, 2019 Share Posted March 5, 2019 Yeah going to come down to the wire for the golden snowball award..11.6" difference as of now.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted March 5, 2019 Share Posted March 5, 2019 4 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: I may be just enough north not to be fully in the transition zone lol Even though technically i am ,, Yes i'm greedy lol Near bullseye for me in Skaneateles. Not buying (of course it’s one short range model and no two are the same right now!) Still think 15-30 miles N of this look will bullseye... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted March 5, 2019 Share Posted March 5, 2019 2 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Yeah going to come down to the wire for the golden snowball award..11.6" difference as of now.. If KBUF picks up 4" today we might be tough to catch... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted March 5, 2019 Share Posted March 5, 2019 Hi rez canadian at 10-1..Another favorite of mine..If i'm going to miss it send it as far south as possible lol At least don't tease me.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted March 5, 2019 Share Posted March 5, 2019 That would be some 2 foot amounts in northern cayuga.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted March 5, 2019 Author Share Posted March 5, 2019 Syracuse can win golden snowball within next 2 days with that LES band. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted March 5, 2019 Author Share Posted March 5, 2019 Looks like 2 big time cutters after this week of cold and snow, then back to more cold and snow for last 2 weeks of March. 1 month from today I'll be on a beach sipping a long island ice tea in south Florida. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted March 5, 2019 Share Posted March 5, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted March 5, 2019 Share Posted March 5, 2019 URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Buffalo NY 1243 PM EST Tue Mar 5 2019 NYZ006-060300- /O.UPG.KBUF.WS.A.0009.190306T0000Z-190307T1500Z/ /O.NEW.KBUF.WS.W.0008.190306T0000Z-190307T1500Z/ Oswego- Including the city of Oswego 1243 PM EST Tue Mar 5 2019 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM EST THURSDAY... * WHAT...Heavy lake effect snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 8 to 16 inches expected in the most persistent lake snows. Greatest amounts will be across southern portions of the county. * WHERE...Oswego county. * WHEN...From 7 PM this evening to 10 AM EST Thursday. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Travel could be very difficult to impossible. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. Also, it will be bitterly cold with wind chills as low as 10 below. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted March 5, 2019 Share Posted March 5, 2019 Just now, CNY-LES FREAK said: URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Buffalo NY 1243 PM EST Tue Mar 5 2019 NYZ006-060300- /O.UPG.KBUF.WS.A.0009.190306T0000Z-190307T1500Z/ /O.NEW.KBUF.WS.W.0008.190306T0000Z-190307T1500Z/ Oswego- Including the city of Oswego 1243 PM EST Tue Mar 5 2019 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM EST THURSDAY... * WHAT...Heavy lake effect snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 8 to 16 inches expected in the most persistent lake snows. Greatest amounts will be across southern portions of the county. * WHERE...Oswego county. * WHEN...From 7 PM this evening to 10 AM EST Thursday. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Travel could be very difficult to impossible. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. Also, it will be bitterly cold with wind chills as low as 10 below. music to my ears but I hate when they mention it cause then its a jinx, lol! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted March 5, 2019 Share Posted March 5, 2019 I think Ontario CA sees the best squalls today with diurnal effects which adds instability and by the time it reaches us, Suns going down so we lose a lot of instability and the numerous showers models were showing is no longer there on most guidance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted March 5, 2019 Share Posted March 5, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted March 5, 2019 Share Posted March 5, 2019 Just one time i'd like to see a track like this lol 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted March 5, 2019 Share Posted March 5, 2019 This is what u call a transition band lol..Not saying the gfs is correct but it did pretty darn good last night with wind flow.. Winds eventually back wnw early tomorrow afternoon through tomorrow evening.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted March 5, 2019 Share Posted March 5, 2019 49 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Just one time i'd like to see a track like this lol Well it was showing something like that at 372 hrs recently. Now only 324 hrs!. LOL. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted March 5, 2019 Share Posted March 5, 2019 Is it just me or do these maps seem INSANELY optimistic?? I mean I could see some localized slivers SE of Ontario picking up a foot, but holy crap do they make this look really widespread. I seriously think 90 percent of that map sees 2 inches or less. Im almost speechless by how aggressive that forecast is, like what the hell am I missing? 1 hour ago, wolfie09 said: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted March 5, 2019 Share Posted March 5, 2019 3 minutes ago, DeltaT13 said: Is it just me or do these maps seem INSANELY optimistic?? I mean I could see some localized slivers SE of Ontario picking up a foot, but holy crap do they make this look really widespread. I seriously think 90 percent of that map sees 2 inches or less. Im almost speechless by how aggressive that forecast is, like what the hell am I missing? Exactly what I was asking previously... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted March 5, 2019 Share Posted March 5, 2019 1 hour ago, BuffaloWeather said: Looks like 2 big time cutters after this week of cold and snow, then back to more cold and snow for last 2 weeks of March. 1 month from today I'll be on a beach sipping a long island ice tea in south Florida. BW, You going to Holiday Valley this weekend for the Winter Carnival? Saturday looks absolutely perfect and likely one of the last good days of the whole season as we get drenched all day sunday and the snowpack will once again be wrecked by ice and slop. I'm hoping to spend a solid 8 hours there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted March 5, 2019 Share Posted March 5, 2019 4 minutes ago, DeltaT13 said: Is it just me or do these maps seem INSANELY optimistic?? I mean I could see some localized slivers SE of Ontario picking up a foot, but holy crap do they make this look really widespread. I seriously think 90 percent of that map sees 2 inches or less. Im almost speechless by how aggressive that forecast is, like what the hell am I missing? KBGM is unusually well coordinated (with KBUF) with similar idea. I think due to uncertainty of band placement and residence time, along with extended duration they just covered all bases. We'll see if KBGM reigns it in with afternoon package. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted March 5, 2019 Share Posted March 5, 2019 Yeah i agree, i posted that due to the fact once again they went with the "high End" ..Those maps are identical lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted March 5, 2019 Share Posted March 5, 2019 New map at 1249 pm is a very slight decrease..But once again identical to the "high end" snowfall.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted March 5, 2019 Author Share Posted March 5, 2019 28 minutes ago, DeltaT13 said: BW, You going to Holiday Valley this weekend for the Winter Carnival? Saturday looks absolutely perfect and likely one of the last good days of the whole season as we get drenched all day sunday and the snowpack will once again be wrecked by ice and slop. I'm hoping to spend a solid 8 hours there. I was thinking about it. I have some family coming up this week so we will see. If I don't go to holiday I'll be going cross country. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted March 5, 2019 Share Posted March 5, 2019 Just don’t buy it down here. BGM goes warning for Onondaga https://forecast.weather.gov/showsigwx.php?warnzone=NYZ018&warncounty=NYC067&firewxzone=NYZ018&local_place1=Skaneateles NY&product1=Winter+Storm+Warning&lat=42.9456&lon=-76.4275#.XH7Z_6ROmEc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted March 5, 2019 Share Posted March 5, 2019 RGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Binghamton NY 312 PM EST Tue Mar 5 2019 NYZ018-062015- /O.UPG.KBGM.WS.A.0007.190306T0400Z-190307T1500Z/ /O.NEW.KBGM.WS.W.0008.190306T0400Z-190307T1500Z/ Onondaga- Including the city of Syracuse 312 PM EST Tue Mar 5 2019 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM EST THURSDAY... * WHAT...Heavy lake effect snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 8 to 14 inches expected. Localized total snow accumulations up to 18 inches possible across northwestern Onondaga county. * WHERE...Onondaga county. * WHEN...From 11 PM this evening to 10 AM EST Thursday. A period of heavy snow is expected during the overnight hours into mid morning Wednesday. The snow becomes more showery for a time midday and early Wednesday afternoon. Another round of moderate to heavy lake effect snow is then expected late Wednesday afternoon into Wednesday night. The snow tapers off to snow showers by Thursday morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted March 5, 2019 Share Posted March 5, 2019 Have no clue what their looking at, TBH, and when headlines are posted I usually go much lower than forecasted so I'll go 4-8" for my area which would still be nice on top of what I already have OTG! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted March 5, 2019 Share Posted March 5, 2019 Looking upwind I can see Lake Huron is definitely going to have a say in the available moisture that shes gonna offer cause I can definitely see a connection to the upper portion of the Lake later this evening through half the night then it breaks as winds veer once again. Guessing the wild card is if this thing actually stalls for any long period of time, if so, then areas can see much much more in the way of accumulations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted March 5, 2019 Share Posted March 5, 2019 Meso's are changing with every run so that won't tell us much except more confusion! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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