wolfie09 Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 Warning criteria is 6" for NYC.. I personally go with the median, which is obviously 6" on a 4"-8" forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 Kbuf is 7" so a 4"-8" event is an advisory. 5"-10" and up can be looked at as warning criteria imo.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 Rgem came in pretty nice for Monday night-tuesday with low end warning criteria.. Looks identical to the NMM.. Nam looks to have warning criteria as well with the 3k just below criteria..(north of its previous runs).. U can also see with the light winds the band doesn't make it that far inland.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 The stuff I’m seeing suggests a westerly wind event. Tug looking better and better. South shore looks out of it for now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 Both the minds at the NWS and the models haven't got a clue where that bands are gonna be or end up, lol, but they try so so hard, lol! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 The last event we were under Blizzard Warnings which was warranted and I doubt we see anything close to that in the next decade around here, lol! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 Started snowing here not to long ago and from what I see upwind, we can possibly squeeze out a few inches before the LE kicks in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 This system still has some surprises in store for us as totals to our SE just keep going up. Not saying this far NW but for places like KBGM and KALB is a different story as they can see more snow than previously thought! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted March 3, 2019 Author Share Posted March 3, 2019 Finally boarding tonight at Holiday. Moderate snow and feet on the ground on the hill. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 This looks all too familiar, lol! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 This is better, lol! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted March 4, 2019 Share Posted March 4, 2019 Major tornado outbreak going on in the south right now. 14 reported dead in one county in Alabama. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted March 4, 2019 Share Posted March 4, 2019 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted March 4, 2019 Share Posted March 4, 2019 15 hours ago, wolfie09 said: Warning criteria is 6" for NYC.. I personally go with the median, which is obviously 6" on a 4"-8" forecast. They had some low ratio snow there near the shoreline. Coastal CT reports this a.m. are supporting 5 or 6:1. And it was all snow. Yuck. About 1.2 - 1.3" liquid and 5 or 6" snow. Interior did better ratio wise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted March 4, 2019 Author Share Posted March 4, 2019 We picked up 3-4" of fluff overnight, still snowing. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted March 4, 2019 Share Posted March 4, 2019 11 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: We picked up 3-4" of fluff overnight, still snowing. Yeah nice 3” or so of fluff at work in Hamburg. Picked up about 2” of fluff in WS overnight. Just padding the stats. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted March 4, 2019 Author Share Posted March 4, 2019 1 minute ago, WesterlyWx said: Yeah nice 3” or so of fluff at work in Hamburg. Picked up about 2” of fluff in WS overnight. Just padding the stats. My 5-10% above average call in September verified for everyone in WNY. Not so much on the tug and central NY. There is still a chance to get there though. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted March 4, 2019 Share Posted March 4, 2019 Nice. You guys have had many great surprise snowfalls over in the Buffalo area. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted March 4, 2019 Share Posted March 4, 2019 1 hour ago, Syrmax said: They had some low ratio snow there near the shoreline. Coastal CT reports this a.m. are supporting 5 or 6:1. And it was all snow. Yuck. About 1.2 - 1.3" liquid and 5 or 6" snow. Interior did better ratio wise. Jim Cantore just reported from Boston that the snow on the ground is pure slush. I love snow but I dislike that wet springlike snow. Half of what fell in SNE will be melted by the end of the day. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted March 4, 2019 Share Posted March 4, 2019 3 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: My 5-10% above average call in September verified for everyone in WNY. Not so much on the tug and central NY. There is still a chance to get there though. We got extremely lucky in January that we had that 3 week stretch with 70”. If not for that we’d be so far below average it would be 11-12 all over again. I know this winter is not over yet but I’d give this winter a C+ to B-. Got off to a rocking start in November with early lake effect snow and brutal arctic cold near Thanksgiving giving Buffalo the coldest Thanksgiving ever and then winter took quite a break in December and the first week in January before coming back with a blitzing Vengance near mid January with several lake effect events and the blizzard which was like Jan 14 all over again followed by a very windy few weeks including the hurricane force wind gust a couple weeks ago and now getting consistent small snowfalls and anaomolously cold weather for March this week. Can’t complain when I’m roughly a few inches above my entire seasonal average in early March but my biggest gripe about this winter has been the lack of consistent cold to build a nice snowpack. Seems we never stayed cold enough to build a nice pack even when we got the 70” in 3 weeks in January we never had a snowpack above 20” and even that only lasted a couple days as we had thaws in between significant lake effect events. If we can manage a whopper (12”+) before this season is over than I’ll slide this winter up into the B+/A- range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted March 4, 2019 Share Posted March 4, 2019 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted March 4, 2019 Share Posted March 4, 2019 I also find it fascinating that we are above average for snowfall even with the amount of cutters we’ve had and what has seemed like and endless crap pattern overall. I feel for you folks away from the lakes who haven’t had the benefit of lake effect which is probably what 75% + of my seasonal snowfall is... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WNash Posted March 4, 2019 Share Posted March 4, 2019 1 hour ago, Syrmax said: They had some low ratio snow there near the shoreline. Coastal CT reports this a.m. are supporting 5 or 6:1. And it was all snow. Yuck. About 1.2 - 1.3" liquid and 5 or 6" snow. Interior did better ratio wise. It looked to me that mixing was a big risk for NYC and the WSW was a bold call. Looks like NE didn’t get the p type issues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted March 4, 2019 Share Posted March 4, 2019 Coming down really good in Pulaski at the moment..Only about an inch overnight.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted March 4, 2019 Share Posted March 4, 2019 U thought that was funny freak? Lol 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted March 4, 2019 Share Posted March 4, 2019 1 hour ago, BuffaloWeather said: My 5-10% above average call in September verified for everyone in WNY. Not so much on the tug and central NY. There is still a chance to get there though. Didn’t verify for Roc. I think we are under. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted March 4, 2019 Author Share Posted March 4, 2019 6 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: Didn’t verify for Roc. I think we are under. Roc is 2.1" above average as of today. Syracuse 6.3" under but that will probably be wiped out this week with lake effect. Binghamton is 6.8" over. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted March 4, 2019 Share Posted March 4, 2019 1 hour ago, wolfie09 said: U thought that was funny freak? Lol Shows quite a bit along the South Shore... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted March 4, 2019 Share Posted March 4, 2019 I would not be surprised if the light snow overperforms tomorrow NE. Of the lakes as the SW goes through. NWS mentions friction enhancement NE of Erie tomorrow in the 1 to 3 inch range...but I recall an event earlier that overperformed with cracks along the the shores. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted March 4, 2019 Share Posted March 4, 2019 52 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: Roc is 2.1" above average as of today. Syracuse 6.3" under but that will probably be wiped out this week with lake effect. Binghamton is 6.8" over. Hmmm. I’m shocked. I guess... It feels like an under winter. I guess we’ve been dinked and dunked to the over but I would love to see the airports measuring system. Lol. Anyhow, hoping on a bit of LES over next few days. Cause after that we are back into cutters. Off to Bristol. Anyone going? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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