tim123 Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 Para gfs a bit nw of gfs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 Largest flakes have been falling the past couple hours with what looks like an upsloping event. Looks like a good 8 inches out there! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 Light snow in Rochester. NAM was onto it., Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 East Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 still decent Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 Not showing Kuchera so dont ask! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 Step in the Wrong direction but still decent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 On 2/28/2019 at 7:19 AM, rochesterdave said: Step in the Wrong direction but still decent. Expand Maybe right where we want to be before the last second NW trend starts? lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 Way winter has been shift that 100 miles nw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 On 2/28/2019 at 11:23 AM, tim123 said: Way winter has been shift that 100 miles nw. Expand 2 days of model runs to go...anything is possible. At least we will not have been tracking it for a week...unlike the storm that shall not be mentioned. I measured 8.1" this a.m. for this storm. Overachiever in my book. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 What I find quite fascinating about this particular little event is actually how much snow fell in such a short period of time. It started snowing here north of Syracuse about 10:30 11:00 finished about 10:30 11:00. In those 12 hours we had managed to accumulate 8 in exactly, 3/4"/hr per hour or close. Sent from my SM-G930V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 NW trend has basically stopped or reversed. IDK. Things are gonna have to change quick. Maybe downstates turn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxNoob Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 It’s still 4 days away - plenty of time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phillifan22 Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 Got 5.8” near Schenectady, NY. Nice clipper event. I think the max was in CNY north of I-90.As far as the next possible system, the Euro has been consistent, and its ensembles are tightening up, but there’s still plenty of disagreement amongst the models, so it’s far from a lock. Gonna be interesting to watch! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 9 inches here yesterday. Snow depth over 2 feet. Great weekend coming for sledders. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 5.4 inches here. I think I was between the heavier returns that were just to my south and the greater amounts over the Tug. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 KBUF now up to 107.1” on the season and they definitely have a good chance of beating last years total of 112”. 2 above average seasons in a row now and this winter has the potential to be well above normal if we can get into the 125”+ range ... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 On 2/28/2019 at 2:57 PM, WesterlyWx said: KBUF now up to 107.1” on the season and they definitely have a good chance of beating last years total of 112”. 2 above average seasons in a row now and this winter has the potential to be well above normal if we can get into the 125”+ range ... Expand After 7.3 inches yesterday, KSYR is now up to 97.4 inches for the season. Syracuse should get more snow from Sunday’s storm than Buffalo so the gap should narrow even more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 Still time for some changes but we all know it's gonna stay put for the next 3days lol Looks a 2"-4" type of deal at the moment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 Really hard to trust the euro anymore after these last 2 event ..We are talking 3-4 days out not 10 days lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 On 2/28/2019 at 5:08 PM, wolfie09 said: Really hard to trust the euro anymore after these last 2 event ..We are talking 3-4 days out not 10 days lol Expand You think the euro is wrong on this? If anything it may not be a flush hit for us in upstate but the other models are starting a more northerly track more towards the king. Tendencies have been for storm tracks to shift north as the event gets closer so in my kind I love where we sit on the models right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 On 2/28/2019 at 5:16 PM, Thinksnow18 said: You think the euro is wrong on this? If anything it may not be a flush hit for us in upstate but the other models are starting a more northerly track more towards the king. Tendencies have been for storm tracks to shift north as the event gets closer so in my kind I love where we sit on the models right now. Expand To be honest I’d feel a lot better if the models were showing this thing about 100 models NW of where they are because we need a few hundred mile shift N to get us into the good stuff which I just don’t quite see happening at this time range. I could see about a 100 mile north shift before go time but that only gets us marginally into advisory criteria. Well see what happens but my gut says the meat of this stays S over far E NY and S/CNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 Euro cut totals in half in just one run.. Euro caves slowly not all at once.. lol Just like last event, slowly caved to the other guidance.. One more bump east on the euro and it will be inline with the consensus, so we'll see.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 6z euro looks pretty good from this vantage point. Only goes till 90.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 I’d love that 6z euro. Throw some Ontario enhancement from SYR to BUF and we’d be in it. Euro has had a couple bumps. I think it’s looking good on this one. We want early amplification which is tough in this pattern though.... who the F knows!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 Euro vs all .. Ukmet not even in the same ballpark.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 Look at the difference in strength between the ukmet and euro.. Stronger storms go NW but majority of guidance has a weaker LP system. Euro can tend to be to amped at times. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 Trying to hold on to some hope lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 We stole the euro control from the coastal folks lol It has trended NW from previous runs.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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