rochesterdave Posted February 26, 2019 Share Posted February 26, 2019 SREF now up to 8” for KROC. It’s a great track for our board. Very similar to last one. It too is a tad weak to generate a lot of enhancement on the south shore. Last one brought around 4”. I could see a bit more with this one. Last one underperformed for this type of track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 26, 2019 Share Posted February 26, 2019 Glad you folks are getting a nice band! RGEM did well! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted February 26, 2019 Share Posted February 26, 2019 Band is strengthening a bit again after looking slightly weaker for a while. Pretty good action here now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted February 26, 2019 Share Posted February 26, 2019 This band refuses to quit. Over 15 continuous hours of snow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted February 26, 2019 Share Posted February 26, 2019 I'll have to measure out front tomorrow or in a couple of spots. I'm showing 4.5" here on my board out back, which doesnt make sense. Been snowing for a solid 7 hrs since I've been home, not including what fell earlier in the day, which may have blown off. I suppose at 1/2"/hr or so that number makes sense but I'd say that's been a minimum rate. And we didnt have 0 during the day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 26, 2019 Share Posted February 26, 2019 0z euro for mid week. Kuchera showing ratios of 15/1-20/1, not sure if that's believable or not.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 26, 2019 Share Posted February 26, 2019 After this system over the weekend the GFS has the lake firing up with a Westerly wind flow for 36 hours Gonna come down to the track of that system.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted February 26, 2019 Share Posted February 26, 2019 This sucks, have to get to bed and it is going nuts in northern Clay. Easily 2"/hr rate. Not sure how long this will last but I can barely see my shed 500 feet behind house the past half hour plus 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 26, 2019 Share Posted February 26, 2019 Euro is all snow over the weekend albeit light.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted February 26, 2019 Share Posted February 26, 2019 Just looked outside for the first time since this evening and I got to estimate at least 18-24" but I'll check in the early morning hrs to make sure of my measurement. To put this event into perspective, I've been here for 15yrs and this is the heaviest event I've seen here, and that's saying something. The magnitude of this one and the amount of snow is just amazing as it continues to pound away at least 2"/hr for the last 8-12 hrs straight no exaggeration, as the radar should confirm amounts when all is said and done! So this is what its like up there on the TUG, lol, so I got to finally experience a LES worthy of praise and glory, lol! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted February 26, 2019 Share Posted February 26, 2019 Then another moderate event on Wednesday, even 5-10" to add to the fun and by the end of the week we could be looking at easily 2'+ otg easy! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted February 26, 2019 Share Posted February 26, 2019 I think in the next hr or so this event will be a done deal and man what an spectacular event it was, from the hurricane force wind gusts, to heavy LES something more expected to be seen up on the TUG, as I won't see another event like this in a long time! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted February 26, 2019 Share Posted February 26, 2019 I just got in from cleaning my driveway and I measured 15.8 inches. For once I was in or close to the jackpot. I wonder how much Freak got just a little north and west of me. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted February 26, 2019 Share Posted February 26, 2019 I just measured...7.8" and 0 36" melted. We were on the fringe of the heavy stuff till the wee hours. And whatever fell during the day was blown away...I'll take it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted February 26, 2019 Share Posted February 26, 2019 3 minutes ago, Syrmax said: I just measured...7.8" and 0 36" melted. We were on the fringe of the heavy stuff till the wee hours. And whatever fell during the day was blown away...I'll take it That’s close to 20:1 stuff. BTW, how do you melt the snow in your tube quickly? I bring it in the house and let it melt slowly but that can take hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 26, 2019 Share Posted February 26, 2019 6 hours ago, CNY-LES FREAK said: I think in the next hr or so this event will be a done deal and man what an spectacular event it was, from the hurricane force wind gusts, to heavy LES something more expected to be seen up on the TUG, as I won't see another event like this in a long time! In a normal winter, yes..... Glad you got a great event to enjoy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 26, 2019 Share Posted February 26, 2019 Freak! Wow. I like that it was a surprise. LES events can still do that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted February 26, 2019 Share Posted February 26, 2019 1 hour ago, CNY_WX said: That’s close to 20:1 stuff. BTW, how do you melt the snow in your tube quickly? I bring it in the house and let it melt slowly but that can take hours. I have a graduated cylinder that came with the rain gauge / collector. So...fill the rain gauge tube and measure carefully, then pour in warm water to melt the snow in the cylinder. When its all melted, measure everything in the graduated cylinder again and subtract out what you added. Sometimes I'll add 2 graduated cylinders. So if I add say, 0.90" water twice to melt the snow, ill subtract out the 1.80" of water I added from the final total. Just have to be careful to not spill or mismeasure. Better than waiting for it to melt.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 26, 2019 Share Posted February 26, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 26, 2019 Author Share Posted February 26, 2019 Awesome stuff CNY folks, this is why LES is the best. So unpredictable. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 26, 2019 Share Posted February 26, 2019 Hrw members look pretty good.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 26, 2019 Share Posted February 26, 2019 Rgem has been slowly trending north as well.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 26, 2019 Share Posted February 26, 2019 Keep in mind kuchera is showing 15/1-20/1 ratios.. It will be a cold storm but we know that doesn't necessarily translate to higher ratios.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 26, 2019 Author Share Posted February 26, 2019 Really shocked with no advisory 6" forecast with no WWA? This has potential to overperform IMO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted February 26, 2019 Share Posted February 26, 2019 1 minute ago, BuffaloWeather said: Really shocked with no advisory 6" forecast with no WWA? This has potential to overperform IMO. Agreed. They even mention that in the text from this morning...it states upwards of 6" form Buf to Roc and the western finger lakes and that there could be more...well if I'm not mistaken isn't winter storm warning criteria 7" in 12 hours??? Heck thats awfully close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted February 26, 2019 Share Posted February 26, 2019 7 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Keep in mind kuchera is showing 15/1-20/1 ratios.. It will be a cold storm but we know that doesn't necessarily translate to higher ratios.. I'd stick with 10:1 maps and figure we get 12:1 max. Too many things have to align to get Kuchera fantasy numbers usually. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted February 26, 2019 Share Posted February 26, 2019 2 hours ago, CNY_WX said: That’s close to 20:1 stuff. BTW, how do you melt the snow in your tube quickly? I bring it in the house and let it melt slowly but that can take hours. As someone else had mentioned, the standard is usually to use warm/hot water on the outside of the tube. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 26, 2019 Share Posted February 26, 2019 I guess ratios may be decent..(especially south of Ontario) ..Headline Worthy Snowfall Wednesday and Wednesday night... Mid level troughing returns to the upper Great Lakes Wednesday associated with shortwave energy dropping southeast through the northern plains. Surface reflection will be minimal at first but slowly take shape as it moves across the Ohio Valley into the lower Great Lakes. Forcing increases due to increasing low level warm air advection from a tightening thermal gradient that lifts into western New York. Signals suggest that the better precipitation axis will be aligned within this gradient. Near optimal thermal profiles in the dendritic growth zone with corresponding isentropic ascent looks to be focused over a good portion of the area south of Lake Ontario. With the good snow ratios expected, should be able to generate a solid 2-5 inches of snow as the low level circulation tracks across the area through Wednesday evening. There may be a narrow corridor of slightly higher amounts possible toward 6 inches focused from Buffalo to Rochester into the western Finger Lakes. Accumulations will be harder to come by with drier mid level air across the North Country. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 26, 2019 Share Posted February 26, 2019 Yeah. Screw kuchera. Didn’t we learn our lesson during “the storm that shall not be mentioned?” 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 26, 2019 Share Posted February 26, 2019 6z euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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