Amped Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 GFS looks like a a monster hit northwest of the beltway. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 850s look good as long as other layers are fine at 105 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 29 minutes ago, stormtracker said: I need you to hold it together at least until Saturday. Models are going to show a rainer for a while. If by Saturday you mean 11pm tonight I doubt he makes it 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 1 minute ago, LP08 said: Gfs looks much slower than 12z... I think that's a good thing 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 Didnt see a panel where the 850 line gets north of DC..Thumpage Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 As usual, DC straddles the r/s line at 102 before changing to snow. Big hit to the north. NE MD pummeled! FV3 looks warmer/norther than GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 All snow north of DC. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 1 minute ago, jaydreb said: As usual, DC straddles the r/s line at 102 before changing to snow. Big hit to the north. NE MD pummeled! But an incremental improvement from 12z. It’s good 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AfewUniversesBelowNormal Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 I like the similarities to 1996 by the way. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 FV3 big hit for EZF north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 Just now, BristowWx said: But an incremental improvement from 12z. It’s good Definitely a step in the right direction IMBY. Pretty close to ideal for others in the forum. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 14 minutes ago, LP08 said: 850s look good as long as other layers are fine at 105 It's super close but it looks like the R/S line stays just to the SE of the city (though it would be good to see each hour...this is only going off the 6 hour panels on pivotalweather). DC/Arlington/Alexandria stay all snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 Just now, yoda said: FV3 big hit for EZF north Hmm. Looks like rain in DC and mix up to Mason-Dixon on tropical tibits. Whatever, still nice trends at 18z. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AfewUniversesBelowNormal Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 What a weenie run 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 Inside 5 days: check; decent amount of moisture: check; exact track: no consistency yet. Stay tuned!!! Seems like no one should start really getting excited before 0z Saturday operational runs. It will avoid a lot of emotional ups and downs over the next two days. Remember the models have been awful outside 48 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MD Snow Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 And the follow up coastal on Tuesday night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 1 minute ago, nj2va said: It's super close but it looks like the R/S line stays just to the SE of the city (though it would be good to see each hour...this is only going off the 6 hour panels on pivotalweather). DC/Arlington/Alexandria stay all snow. Instant weather has 3 hour and 850 is comfortably south at 105. I’d be excited if I was in MD for sure....minus the euro lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 It's been a funny trend this year...once we get inside day 5, cold air gas never been a problem! In fact, if anything, things trend colder as we get closer (or we deals where the CAD is an undermodeled stud). Our big problem has just been a fast, progressive flow! (Perhaps I'm oversimplifying that, so someone can correct me if necessary). So perhaps this time...if we can get things to slow down at least a bit for once...we can get somethin' more substantial! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 2 minutes ago, nj2va said: It's super close but it looks like the R/S line stays just to the SE of the city (though it would be good to see each hour...this is only going off the 6 hour panels on pivotalweather). DC/Arlington/Alexandria stay all snow. Ridiculous to parse at this range of course but looking at 3hr panels the 850 stays JUST to the SE of the city throughout on GFS. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 2 minutes ago, jaydreb said: Hmm. Looks like rain in DC and mix up to Mason-Dixon on tropical tibits. Whatever, still nice trends at 18z. Maybe he meant HGR north? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 Just now, LP08 said: Instant weather has 3 hour and 850 is comfortably south at 105. I’d be excited if I was in MD for sure....minus the euro lol For sure. Looks like I may need to stay in McHenry until Monday lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 2 minutes ago, jaydreb said: Hmm. Looks like rain in DC and mix up to Mason-Dixon on tropical tibits. Whatever, still nice trends at 18z. The mag website had the 2mT line pretty close by and the 850 0c line stayed just south of DC... most be warm layers elsewhere. Still, pretty close to a big hit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 Just now, jaydreb said: Ridiculous to parse at this range of course but looking at 3hr panels the 850 stays JUST to the SE of the city throughout on GFS. I was going to post the same re: dumb to parse thermo details at this range but welcome to being a weather weenie. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 Just now, yoda said: The mag website had the 2mT line pretty close by and the 850 0c line stayed just south of DC... most be warm layers elsewhere. Still, pretty close to a big hit For sure. Let’s get Euro onboard! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 1 hour ago, Ji said: zero interest in 1-2. See you on March 11 9 minutes ago, Ji said: What a weenie run Lol 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 27, 2019 Author Share Posted February 27, 2019 Just hold fast yall....it's going to be a rollercoaster. 0z Rainer, 6z mix..12z snow..18z mix...repeat..until Friday 18z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 FV3 is a crap run for just about the whole forum unless you love freezing rain. GFS on the other hand... I'd lock it up if I could. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 FV3 is a crap run for just about the whole forum unless you love freezing rain.Zero chance of freezing rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deer Whisperer Posted February 27, 2019 Share Posted February 27, 2019 Just keep ticking this direction over the next few days and we’re golden Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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