psuhoffman Posted February 26, 2019 Share Posted February 26, 2019 9 minutes ago, mappy said: there are some poor map makers at NWS. love the folks who work there, of course, just wish they'd hire me to make their maps instead. Agree! We should bombard them with this demand... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowchaser Posted February 26, 2019 Share Posted February 26, 2019 No word from DT yet haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hyphnx Posted February 26, 2019 Share Posted February 26, 2019 2 minutes ago, Snowchaser said: No word from DT yet haha Models are showing CVA out of the game so he will wait 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted February 26, 2019 Share Posted February 26, 2019 10 minutes ago, Snowchaser said: I saw that. It’s on its own though. I won’t get to excited about the cmc lol It is? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 26, 2019 Share Posted February 26, 2019 8 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: Agree! We should bombard them with this demand... if you know someone there and can put in a good word Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 26, 2019 Share Posted February 26, 2019 12z UKIE is rain for all for the Monday storm 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted February 26, 2019 Share Posted February 26, 2019 Snow dog Holmes is on the case according to DT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 26, 2019 Author Share Posted February 26, 2019 35 minutes ago, Snowchaser said: DC 3-4” with room for improvement. I’m excited for the upcoming runs Do you live in CHO? It kinda seems like you do. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxdavis5784 Posted February 26, 2019 Share Posted February 26, 2019 31 minutes ago, mappy said: there are some poor map makers at NWS. love the folks who work there, of course, just wish they'd hire me to make their maps instead. Apply! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted February 26, 2019 Share Posted February 26, 2019 4 minutes ago, yoda said: 12z UKIE is rain for all for the Monday storm Well it's on its own for now. Although it wouldn't shock me if we are sweating the rain/snow line by the end of the week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 26, 2019 Share Posted February 26, 2019 30 minutes ago, Snowchaser said: What are you even talking about!?? I bring up Charlottesville once and you freak out like a child lol. Chill 54 minutes ago, Snowchaser said: Lookin tasty! Especially for those of us near Charlottesville, and DC points south 3 hours ago, Snowchaser said: DC points south need to watch Monday closely! Especially Charlottesville, Richmond etc 14 hours ago, Snowchaser said: Even the NAM shows some wintery weather in Charlottesville On 12/6/2018 at 8:32 PM, Snowchaser said: I do think it bold. 4-8 for me in Charlottesville seems high. but yes we will see. On 12/6/2018 at 7:41 PM, Snowchaser said: DT is calling for 4-8 for Charlottesville haha On 12/6/2018 at 11:25 AM, Snowchaser said: Accuweather snowfall forecast made 30 mintues ago Charlottesville 3-6 locally 8'' On 12/5/2018 at 10:36 PM, Snowchaser said: NOAA ISSUED 2050Z 1.00 QPF Charlottesville On 12/3/2018 at 10:14 PM, Snowchaser said: Great update from DT!! here it is in short. ''around 3 inches in Washington to Baltimore is most likely, with the chance for 8-9 inches, and a good chance for a historical snowfall from Charlottesville down into south western Virginia" On 12/1/2018 at 12:03 AM, Snowchaser said: charlottesville looks like the winner *thus far* 4 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted February 26, 2019 Share Posted February 26, 2019 1 minute ago, Chris78 said: Well it's on its own for now. Although it wouldn't shock me if we are sweating the rain/snow line by the end of the week. If you are worried about the Rain/Snow line... most of this subforum would be screwed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted February 26, 2019 Share Posted February 26, 2019 Cmc is far from the best model but it's been leading the way with this system so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted February 26, 2019 Share Posted February 26, 2019 12z GEFS shows pretty good support for the Monday storm. Mostly hits DC and south. The misses are to the south. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted February 26, 2019 Share Posted February 26, 2019 6 minutes ago, jaydreb said: 12z GEFS shows pretty good support for the Monday storm. Mostly hits DC and south. The misses are to the south. Most members must keep the storm south. Looks like the qpf mean for DC is only about .10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hyphnx Posted February 26, 2019 Share Posted February 26, 2019 DT's "blog" is stating that there could be three events. 3/1 - DC, NoVA, Western MD Hit 3/3-3/4 NoVA, DC, All of MD. RIC gets 1" 3/5-3/6 All of the subforum should be happy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MD Snow Posted February 26, 2019 Share Posted February 26, 2019 Just now, Chris78 said: Most members must keep the storm south. Looks like the qpf mean for DC is only about .10 I’m totally fine with that, given the cmc and yukie solutions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted February 26, 2019 Share Posted February 26, 2019 Just now, MD Snow said: I’m totally fine with that, given the cmc and yukie solutions. Yep. Nice balance for now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted February 26, 2019 Share Posted February 26, 2019 1 minute ago, Hyphnx said: DT's "blog" is stating that there are three events. 3/1 - DC, NoVA, Western MD Hit 3/3-3/4 NoVA, DC, All of MD. RIC gets 1" 3/5-3/6 All of the subforum should be happy. Whoops. He forgot Charlottesville—pummeled! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted February 26, 2019 Share Posted February 26, 2019 2 minutes ago, Chris78 said: Most members must keep the storm south. Looks like the qpf mean for DC is only about .10 Bit of a spread on timing. This shows the idea. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted February 26, 2019 Share Posted February 26, 2019 Just now, jaydreb said: Bit of a spread on timing. This shows the idea. Some nice hits in there. Starting to come around to the idea of it coming further north. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 26, 2019 Share Posted February 26, 2019 Not sure where to put this... but I guess in here is good so that all can see... it is in regards to the FV3: 8 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said: Implementation of the FV3 has been delayed due to two primary issues: -The snow depth and the water equivalent of snow depth at the surface have unrealistically large values when precipitation occurs in environments with low-level temperature profiles close to freezing. Techniques that use either of these variables for deriving snowfall will exhibit excessive snowfall values. -The model forecasts exhibit a cold bias in the lower atmosphere that became more prominent after late September 2018. https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/scn19-12gfsv15.pdf 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hyphnx Posted February 26, 2019 Share Posted February 26, 2019 2 minutes ago, Scraff said: Whoops. He forgot Charlottesville—pummeled! I forgot CHO. Whoops Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted February 26, 2019 Share Posted February 26, 2019 3 minutes ago, yoda said: Not sure where to put this... but I guess in here is good so that all can see... it is in regards to the FV3: In other words the model is too weenie? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted February 26, 2019 Share Posted February 26, 2019 3 minutes ago, yoda said: Not sure where to put this... but I guess in here is good so that all can see... it is in regards to the FV3: Sounds about right lol. They should of just consulted this forum lol. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowchaser Posted February 26, 2019 Share Posted February 26, 2019 DT with the update! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 26, 2019 Share Posted February 26, 2019 50 minutes ago, Snowchaser said: No word from DT yet haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowchaser Posted February 26, 2019 Share Posted February 26, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MD Snow Posted February 26, 2019 Share Posted February 26, 2019 IMO it’s kind of a tightrope walk with the Monday deal. If Saturday’s system amps to much we are suppressed but if it’s weak sauce we won’t have enough cold and it’s probably a 95 north and west at best kind of deal. Wednesday could still trend back in our favor but appears to be more of a Miller b type that favors the NE if anyone. Saturday’s system will set the stage for Monday and Monday sets the stage for Wednesday. Still a long way to go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted February 26, 2019 Share Posted February 26, 2019 5 minutes ago, MD Snow said: IMO it’s kind of a tightrope walk with the Monday deal. If Saturday’s system amps to much we are suppressed but if it’s weak sauce we won’t have enough cold and it’s probably a 95 north and west at best kind of deal. Wednesday could still trend back in our favor but appears to be more of a Miller b type that favors the NE if anyone. Saturday’s system will set the stage for Monday and Monday sets the stage for Wednesday. Still a long way to go. Maybe there will be greater space inbetween Monday and Wednesday/ Thursday SWs. Lets see what the Euro shows shortly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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