frd Posted March 6, 2019 Share Posted March 6, 2019 51 minutes ago, C.A.P.E. said: Posting/discussing GFS 384 hr panels for March 22, depicting yet another huge rainstorm, might be an indication that the last stand has fallen down, and will not be getting up. I think there has been so much rain and snow in the US, plus snow to our North that when things warm up it will have the effect of diverting the Gulf Stream leading to a global Day After Tomorrow for the summer and next winter. Sorry, I be tripp'in. But, damn, all this rain. Please stop ! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AfewUniversesBelowNormal Posted March 6, 2019 Share Posted March 6, 2019 7 hours ago, MDstorm said: Too funny not to post. DC/MD bulls eye..........for rain. Lol Quite a powerhouse storm. GFS has showed how many MECS' this Winter? Good model. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 6, 2019 Share Posted March 6, 2019 47 minutes ago, AfewUniversesBelowNormal said: GFS has showed how many MECS' this Winter? Good model. How many has the Euro shown ?Euro has been worse. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted March 6, 2019 Share Posted March 6, 2019 55 minutes ago, Snow88 said: How many has the Euro shown ?Euro has been worse. Euro 8 times CMC 22 times FV3 547 times 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted March 6, 2019 Share Posted March 6, 2019 Icon likes Friday for a couple inches but GFS has light rain. 3K and 12K NAM also have 1-2 inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 6, 2019 Share Posted March 6, 2019 wow this thread and winter is dead. See you guys for one last stand on March 18 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AfewUniversesBelowNormal Posted March 6, 2019 Share Posted March 6, 2019 This is pretty warm though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AfewUniversesBelowNormal Posted March 6, 2019 Share Posted March 6, 2019 2015 had a nice +PNA March 18-25 April started warm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 6, 2019 Share Posted March 6, 2019 nothing more depressing than seeing chuck as the last person to post in a thread. No offense though:) 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted March 6, 2019 Share Posted March 6, 2019 2 hours ago, Ji said: nothing more depressing than seeing chuck as the last person to post in a thread. No offense though:) JB says it's not over yet. His actual quote was " look out " around the 20th . I think he even made a vague reference to 1888. Lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted March 6, 2019 Share Posted March 6, 2019 Once again, JB can go to hell. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted March 6, 2019 Share Posted March 6, 2019 1 minute ago, HighStakes said: JB says it's not over yet. His actual quote was " look out " around the 20th . I think he even made a vague reference to 1888. Lol. Actually was just going to make a comment about the period looking cold and stormy the 18th and beyond with right around the 20th looking somewhat primed. Not sure I would say 1888 primed though. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted March 6, 2019 Share Posted March 6, 2019 23 hours ago, showmethesnow said: Thank you. Coming from you that means a lot. Thanks @showmethesnow. You truly are a great contribution to the forum and you have astute knowledge to the subject matter. I really do think you would've been an awesome met and your diagnostics of synoptic scale meteorology is some of the best of I've come across. Given my past two employments, I really don't have sufficient time to post more during the year. I'll chip in when there's an event in winter or something extraordinary in the other seasons, but my time is limited thanks to shift work. I appreciate the kind words. You, @psuhoffman, @Bob Chill and many others provide amazing insight on this forum and it's so beneficial to have for many to learn. I love meteorology a lot, but I have multiple passions I follow and partake, so weather for me is just part of the equation of my life. I do my work, then I try to take in my other activities I love. Y'all are an amazing group and I'm so glad I found this forum back in 2014. Been a crazy 5 years. Have a great one y'all. I'm gonna go enjoy my warmer temps, wind, and incoming dry line season 9 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted March 6, 2019 Share Posted March 6, 2019 1 hour ago, HighStakes said: JB says it's not over yet. His actual quote was " look out " around the 20th . I think he even made a vague reference to 1888. Lol. So he's gone from 1993 to 1888 now, eh? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted March 6, 2019 Share Posted March 6, 2019 7 minutes ago, Always in Zugzwang said: So he's gone from 1993 to 1888 now, eh? We don't need JB when we have the FV3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGolfBro Posted March 7, 2019 Share Posted March 7, 2019 10 minutes ago, Amped said: We don't need JB when we have the FV3 Have you ever seen those two in the same place at the same time??? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 7, 2019 Share Posted March 7, 2019 1 hour ago, showmethesnow said: Actually was just going to make a comment about the period looking cold and stormy the 18th and beyond with right around the 20th looking somewhat primed. Not sure I would say 1888 primed though. I’ve been busy but yea after a warm up March 17 or so on looks cold again. Only issue I see is att the pattern looks northern stream dominant. In March with short wavelengths and added juice maybe that works but I sure would love to see some lower pressures to our south and the high pressure further north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 7, 2019 Share Posted March 7, 2019 14 minutes ago, SnowGolfBro said: Have you ever seen those two in the same place at the same time??? Omg you figured it out. The FV3 is JBs persona trapped in model form like Tron! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted March 7, 2019 Share Posted March 7, 2019 1 minute ago, psuhoffman said: I’ve been busy but yea after a warm up March 17 or so on looks cold again. Only issue I see is att the pattern looks northern stream dominant. In March with short wavelengths and added juice maybe that works but I sure would love to see some lower pressures to our south and the high pressure further north. Many of us would need a crazy good pattern by that time. Super cold with flawless set up. Tall order. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted March 7, 2019 Share Posted March 7, 2019 8 minutes ago, BristowWx said: Many of us would need a crazy good pattern by that time. Super cold with flawless set up. Tall order. Like last year? And the year before? And 2 years before then? And the year before that year? 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 7, 2019 Share Posted March 7, 2019 6 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Like last year? And the year before? And 2 years before then? And the year before that year? I’m done arguing about THIS particular point for this year. People have their perception about March and nothing will change it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted March 7, 2019 Share Posted March 7, 2019 21 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Like last year? And the year before? And 2 years before then? And the year before that year? I’m being short sighted. I realize that. But it’s tough to overcome my own perception about March especially after the 15th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted March 7, 2019 Share Posted March 7, 2019 It definitely looks like we can score after the 17th. Even if you are ‘done’ with winter, it’s still on the table. This year I’m not a fan (maybe because I have a spring ski vacay?), but you can’t ignore what’s showing up on the models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted March 7, 2019 Share Posted March 7, 2019 23 minutes ago, Clueless said: but you can’t ignore what’s showing up on the models. Watch me. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StantonParkHoya Posted March 7, 2019 Share Posted March 7, 2019 3 hours ago, psuhoffman said: I’ve been busy but yea after a warm up March 17 or so on looks cold again. Only issue I see is att the pattern looks northern stream dominant. In March with short wavelengths and added juice maybe that works but I sure would love to see some lower pressures to our south and the high pressure further north. I live in DC. Where do you live? Buffalo? After March 15 we’re planning trips to the golf course and pool season isn’t far off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGolfBro Posted March 7, 2019 Share Posted March 7, 2019 21 minutes ago, StantonParkHoya said: I live in DC. Where do you live? Buffalo? After March 15 we’re planning trips to the golf course and pool season isn’t far off. One more storm in mid March then i would like a dry warm stretch of about 6-8 months please 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted March 7, 2019 Share Posted March 7, 2019 For everyone chasing anomolous cold thinking we have to have it ahead of a major March storm, I don’t think that is necessarily correct. It sure wasn’t for the superstorm in 1993. In fact, perhaps people should be chasing warmth and then a deepening system on the heels of that warmth to get a big one. Just saying. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EB89 Posted March 7, 2019 Share Posted March 7, 2019 When will someone open a new lawn/garden thread? Am already thinking forward to when I can aerate the yard and throw some fertilizer/grass seed down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted March 7, 2019 Share Posted March 7, 2019 In April 1987 in east Central Ohio I was a junior in HS and it was our spring break last week of March into early April. It was the 70s all week. Gorgeous. Played BB on the asphalt at the local school all week. That Friday we got 14 inches over 24 hours from a storm that dumped over 30 through eastern KY up into West Virginia and far western Virginia. April 2-5, 1987 timeframe. Again, for the googly eyes reaction to my previous post, you do NOT need deep anomalous cold ahead of big March systems. In fact, I would submit that clash of systems and big deep air masses of warmth and cold to fuel a late season storm would be pretty damn helpful. Start rooting for warmer weather, those of you who want snow and big snow this time of year, is what I am saying. Up is down. You all are going about this all wrong. Showing my work: https://www.weather.gov/jkl/198704_snowstorm I lived 18 miles east of Columbus at that time. Interstate 70 ended up shutdown for hundreds of miles running over to West Virginia. Helluva late season storm. All had melted by school on Monday. Didn't care. Awesome event. Here apparently was a thread seven years ago on it on AmWx: 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 7, 2019 Share Posted March 7, 2019 10 hours ago, StantonParkHoya said: I live in DC. Where do you live? Buffalo? After March 15 we’re planning trips to the golf course and pool season isn’t far off. First of all DC has had snow after March 15 several times in the last 10 years, including LAST YEAR. Furthermore, the people in this forum that live in the northwestern 1/3 of this region and have some elevation have an even better chance to see snow after March 15. Its obviously not as likely as during January/February but its far from impossible. For instance these are my snowfall stats AFTER MARCH 15 the last 6 years 2018: 14.7" 2017: 3.1" 2016: 2.5" 2015: 5.5" 2014: 13.6" 2013: 6.8" That is an average of 7.7" after March 15th the last 6 years. And lastly... no one is "rooting" for anything, we are just analyzing the patter. It looks like it is going to be cold after about March 17 for a while... there is nothing we can do about that whether we WANT it to be cold/snowy or not. I am not sure what your point was.... do you want us to just ignore it because its late March? 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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