psuhoffman Posted March 4, 2019 Share Posted March 4, 2019 11 minutes ago, mappy said: anymore chances? Around St Paddys day actually looks cold with a trough in the east...but obviously its way too far out to get into details. But that isn't too late obviously given the recent results if something does come along. GFS/FV3 has been teasing that time period with op runs from time to time. Actually FV3 has had a big storm somewhere in there like 3 of the last 6 runs I think...which is pretty good for fantasy land. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted March 4, 2019 Share Posted March 4, 2019 15 minutes ago, jaydreb said: FV3 shows possible snow on Friday. GFS has it but weaker and warmer. Euro doesn’t have it at all. Beyond that is anybody’s guess. It may stay cold but many of us are running out of time. EDIT: Forgot to mention the HECS at hour 366 on the FV3. Stock up for that one. The FV3 shows snow? Oh look, the sun rose in the east! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted March 4, 2019 Share Posted March 4, 2019 6 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: Around St Paddys day actually looks cold with a trough in the east...but obviously its way too far out to get into details. But that isn't too late obviously given the recent results if something does come along. GFS/FV3 has been teasing that time period with op runs from time to time. Actually FV3 has had a big storm somewhere in there like 3 of the last 6 runs I think...which is pretty good for fantasy land. At some point I stop rooting for troughs in the east and blocking because it just results in cold rain. Mid-March is pretty much the tipping point for me in that regard. You northern tier folk can probably hang on another couple of weeks beyond that. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted March 4, 2019 Share Posted March 4, 2019 1 hour ago, psuhoffman said: Around St Paddys day actually looks cold with a trough in the east...but obviously its way too far out to get into details. But that isn't too late obviously given the recent results if something does come along. GFS/FV3 has been teasing that time period with op runs from time to time. Actually FV3 has had a big storm somewhere in there like 3 of the last 6 runs I think...which is pretty good for fantasy land. I'd be down with St. Pat's II this year (on the 5th anniversary of the original in 2014)!! But won't hold my breath, of course. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted March 4, 2019 Share Posted March 4, 2019 1 hour ago, psuhoffman said: Around St Paddys day actually looks cold with a trough in the east...but obviously its way too far out to get into details. But that isn't too late obviously given the recent results if something does come along. GFS/FV3 has been teasing that time period with op runs from time to time. Actually FV3 has had a big storm somewhere in there like 3 of the last 6 runs I think...which is pretty good for fantasy land. 33 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: 27 days in March left and the pattern for storms every 3 to 4 days since last year ...I'd say an emphatic YES . not to mention the rare opportunities in early April someone holla when its within 3 days. i don't chase these long range things. lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted March 4, 2019 Share Posted March 4, 2019 Nothing worse than troughs in the east in mid-March. Yay for 40 and rain! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGolfBro Posted March 4, 2019 Share Posted March 4, 2019 30 minutes ago, nj2va said: Nothing worse than troughs in the east in mid-March. Yay for 40 and rain! Seriously. How about 2-3 months of an angry Southeast ridge right about now 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted March 4, 2019 Share Posted March 4, 2019 40 minutes ago, nj2va said: Nothing worse than troughs in the east in mid-March. Yay for 40 and rain! At least we would be heading in the right direction. Enough of the 30s and rain crap. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted March 4, 2019 Share Posted March 4, 2019 I'm sure I've seen more snow on an October EPS run lol. Some slim pickings today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 4, 2019 Share Posted March 4, 2019 2 hours ago, Amped said: March 42 was similar. Bridging in the southeast is still to strong for a redox though. That storm was an inverted trough that probably got enhanced by the added baroclinicity that time of year. That was the biggest fluke ever. I doubt even today if it’s something that would show up good at any kind of lead time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dallen7908 Posted March 4, 2019 Share Posted March 4, 2019 EPS mean snowfall over the next 15 days for College Park is 0.7" - time to close up shop or should we hope for a mid- to late-March fluke? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 4, 2019 Share Posted March 4, 2019 EPS mean snowfall over the next 15 days for College Park is 0.7" - time to close up shop or should we hope for a mid- to late-March fluke? Scrrew the mean. Its about getting one final event during the final cold window 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted March 4, 2019 Share Posted March 4, 2019 5 minutes ago, Ji said: 6 minutes ago, dallen7908 said: EPS mean snowfall over the next 15 days for College Park is 0.7" - time to close up shop or should we hope for a mid- to late-March fluke? Scrrew the mean. Its about getting one final event during the final cold window The final cold window is this week. Which model is showing a snowstorm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 4, 2019 Share Posted March 4, 2019 The final cold window is this week. Which model is showing a snowstorm?Dosent eps have an eastern trough March 17. I got 6 inches last year around March 20th Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted March 4, 2019 Share Posted March 4, 2019 Just now, Ji said: 3 minutes ago, C.A.P.E. said: The final cold window is this week. Which model is showing a snowstorm? Dosent eps have an eastern trough March 17. I got 6 inches last year around March 20th I did too. Different year. This winter we managed to rain with temps in the low 30s in Jan and Feb. A trough in late March is most likely temps in the 40s and 50s. Better be a historic storm lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 4, 2019 Share Posted March 4, 2019 I did too. Different year. This winter we managed to rain with temps in the low 30s in Jan and Feb. A trough in late March is most likely temps in the 40s and 50s. Better be a historic storm lol.A hecs is only acceptable solution lol. I can t believe we tied in snow last night ha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted March 4, 2019 Share Posted March 4, 2019 2 minutes ago, Ji said: 5 minutes ago, C.A.P.E. said: I did too. Different year. This winter we managed to rain with temps in the low 30s in Jan and Feb. A trough in late March is most likely temps in the 40s and 50s. Better be a historic storm lol. A hecs is only acceptable solution lol. I can t believe we tied in snow last night ha Lol that is pretty pathetic for you isn't it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 5, 2019 Share Posted March 5, 2019 This time it’s for real. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted March 5, 2019 Share Posted March 5, 2019 3 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: This time it’s for real. I seriously doubt we are done with snow. March has become the second best snow month around these parts recently. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted March 5, 2019 Share Posted March 5, 2019 Just pure shit that we are in a cycle where this shows up as spring arrives. Infuriating. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 5, 2019 Share Posted March 5, 2019 20 minutes ago, North Balti Zen said: Just pure shit that we are in a cycle where this shows up as spring arrives. Infuriating. March is still winter 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 5, 2019 Share Posted March 5, 2019 1 hour ago, Chris78 said: I seriously doubt we are done with snow. March has become the second best snow month around these parts recently. I’m fooling around but I agree. I cant pick out a specific threat but I doubt we don’t see more snow at some point. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted March 5, 2019 Share Posted March 5, 2019 15 minutes ago, Snow88 said: March is still winter Down here, March 20th really is not. But thanks for swinging by. It’s ok for a few of us to like snow but also like spring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 5, 2019 Share Posted March 5, 2019 Midoki Nino!!! Lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted March 5, 2019 Share Posted March 5, 2019 Just pure shit that we are in a cycle where this shows up as spring arrives. Infuriating.While I love snow anytime, I agree that this new pattern of March cold and snow is bizarre. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 5, 2019 Share Posted March 5, 2019 I’ve had 19” of snow in the 3 weeks since DT cancelled winter for the whole east coast. He should do that more often!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted March 5, 2019 Share Posted March 5, 2019 Just now, losetoa6 said: It all starts tomorrow esp over @C.A.P.E. s yard with a burst of snow per latest Hrrr That guy gets all the snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 5, 2019 Share Posted March 5, 2019 1 minute ago, EastCoast NPZ said: That guy gets all the snow. His bitter to snow ratio isn’t so good this year. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbmclean Posted March 5, 2019 Share Posted March 5, 2019 29 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: I’ve had 19” of snow in the 3 weeks since DT cancelled winter for the whole east coast. He should do that more often!!! How are you doing with your seasonal totals? Are you going to creep your way to the median? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted March 5, 2019 Share Posted March 5, 2019 1 hour ago, psuhoffman said: Midoki Nino!!! Lol Thanks Cosgrove. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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