psuhoffman Posted February 25, 2019 Share Posted February 25, 2019 Just now, frd said: @psuhoffman some on another board are saying the same thing that caused the NC hit in December will happen again on the Euro. I am not so sure. The current set up at days 7 to 11 are not to me similiar to last December. If anything you could say a big dog is on the table. I think the wave early next week has a good chance of staying south of us though...are you sure they aren't talking about that one? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted February 25, 2019 Share Posted February 25, 2019 1 minute ago, psuhoffman said: I think the wave early next week has a good chance of staying south of us though...are you sure they aren't talking about that one? yes after that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 25, 2019 Share Posted February 25, 2019 Just now, frd said: @psuhoffman some on another board are saying the same thing that caused the NC hit in December will happen again on the Euro. I am not so sure. The current set up at days 7 to 11 are not to me similiar to last December. If anything you could say a big dog is on the table. also...what really made that system stay south of us was just bad luck and timing. You move that lobe that came through new england right ahead of the system out of there 24 hours in either direction and that probably makes it up to the Mason Dixon line at least. I am not sure how they can be confident in such small scale chaos type things repeating like that from range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 25, 2019 Share Posted February 25, 2019 4 minutes ago, stormtracker said: It's amazing to me..the Euro at 156 has a rather large precip mass moving toward the east coast and the GFS twins have nothing..or it's suppressed down to Cuba. I think the gfs is lost...really really lost right now. That said even favoring the Euro progression I think there is a good chance the system around the 4th ends up south of us. Not for sure but I lean that way. I think the wave around the 6th is more amplified though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 25, 2019 Author Share Posted February 25, 2019 Euro hits us D8. Of course we get a moderate hit, and looks like New England is going to get crushed 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 25, 2019 Share Posted February 25, 2019 3 minutes ago, frd said: yes after that Do those people either live in NC or in the NYC to Boston snow hole? Both would be pretty biased...NC for obvious reasons...the NYC area seems to be in complete meltdown and since they really might be too far north...more likely than us....maybe they are just being debs. But honestly, it could go south...I could see that, but I am not overly worried yet and I can't see how anyone can say something as fluky as what happened in December would repeat from that kind of range with confidence. They have mad skills if that is so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted February 25, 2019 Share Posted February 25, 2019 Pretty weenie Euro run. Hits on Days 4 and 8. A threat to our south on Day 6. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted February 25, 2019 Share Posted February 25, 2019 1 minute ago, psuhoffman said: Do those people either live in NC or in the NYC to Boston snow hole? Both would be pretty biased...NC for obvious reasons...the NYC area seems to be in complete meltdown and since they really might be too far north...more likely than us....maybe they are just being debs. But honestly, it could go south...I could see that, but I am not overly worried yet and I can't see how anyone can say something as fluky as what happened in December would repeat from that kind of range with confidence. They have mad skills if that is so. It is the NYC crew so that explians it a bit We might be in a better spot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 25, 2019 Share Posted February 25, 2019 Just now, jaydreb said: Pretty weenie Euro run. Hits on Days 4 and 8. A threat to our south on Day 6. Yeah. Solid weenie run. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted February 25, 2019 Share Posted February 25, 2019 2 minutes ago, jaydreb said: Pretty weenie Euro run. Hits on Days 4 and 8. A threat to our south on Day 6. Ah.................the Bob Chill progression I am digg'in it 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tplbge Posted February 25, 2019 Share Posted February 25, 2019 1 minute ago, jaydreb said: Pretty weenie Euro run. Hits on Days 4 and 8. A threat to our south on Day 6. And everything is under day 10! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted February 25, 2019 Share Posted February 25, 2019 Not trying to be a downer but is the 2nd wave idea really that plausible? Seems like not much spacing between that and the earlier, more well developed slp a day or two earlier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AmericanWxFreak Posted February 25, 2019 Share Posted February 25, 2019 Just now, BaltimoreWxGuy said: Not trying to be a downer but is the 2nd wave idea really that plausible? Seems like not much spacing between that and the earlier, more well developed slp a day or two earlier. referring to the day 6 and 8 storms? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted February 25, 2019 Share Posted February 25, 2019 Just now, AmericanWxFreak said: referring to the day 6 and 8 storms? Yeah. I feel like I’ve seen that evolution modeled a lot in the past and it tends not to happen...tends to go towards one more bigger storm evolution. Maybe I’m wrong Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 25, 2019 Share Posted February 25, 2019 8 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Euro hits us D8. Of course we get a moderate hit, and looks like New England is going to get crushed boxing day event in March smh 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted February 25, 2019 Share Posted February 25, 2019 Hmmm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 25, 2019 Share Posted February 25, 2019 13 minutes ago, tplbge said: And everything is under day 10! Yea because day 11 looks like the beginning of the end of winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 25, 2019 Share Posted February 25, 2019 interesting...I95 which has been a disaster this season N of Balt has the last laugh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 25, 2019 Share Posted February 25, 2019 2 minutes ago, Ji said: interesting...I95 which has been a disaster this season N of Balt has the last laugh I feel bad for Ohio... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGolfBro Posted February 25, 2019 Share Posted February 25, 2019 8 minutes ago, Ji said: Yea because day 11 looks like the beginning of the end of winter Perfect. If we could make a nice score or two the next 10 days and then get AN temps with BN precip for like 3 months that would be excellent. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted February 25, 2019 Share Posted February 25, 2019 One thing is for sure. In like a Lion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted February 25, 2019 Share Posted February 25, 2019 @psuhoffman sorry, psu , bad news I think the Euro and overall pattern will prevent snow in the DC area and up to Boston later this week and in March too, according to this forecaster.below. Hmm.....the name is familiar . I simply can't place it. Becky @BeccaLynch4 4h4 hours ago More For the people hyping next week: +NAO’s don’t normally lead to big DC-BOS snowstorms. Just saying 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted February 25, 2019 Share Posted February 25, 2019 Wait, here is the HM deal...... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted February 25, 2019 Share Posted February 25, 2019 and from Paul ew conversation Paul Roundy @PaulRoundy1 1h1 hour ago More Replying to @PaulRoundy1 @antmasiello @BeccaLynch4 Models include such patterns in individual ensemble members but it's quite different from the ensemble mean, and there are several pathways to different outcomes accessible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 25, 2019 Share Posted February 25, 2019 Fred you confuse the hell out of me with all of the copy and pastes from so many different sources....just sayin 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted February 25, 2019 Share Posted February 25, 2019 Did Dark Sky update yet? It along with the Euro is a deadly combination 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 25, 2019 Share Posted February 25, 2019 34 minutes ago, frd said: and from Paul ew conversation Paul Roundy @PaulRoundy1 1h1 hour ago More Replying to @PaulRoundy1 @antmasiello @BeccaLynch4 Models include such patterns in individual ensemble members but it's quite different from the ensemble mean, and there are several pathways to different outcomes accessible. In other words...they just told her to sit down in the most academic way...lol (seriously though, does she ever offer any other analysis of her own? Seems she just shows up to bash hypers!) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hyphnx Posted February 25, 2019 Share Posted February 25, 2019 4 minutes ago, Yeoman said: Did Dark Sky update yet? It along with the Euro is a deadly combination Lower accum for the RIC area on the 4th Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 25, 2019 Share Posted February 25, 2019 EPS through Day 9 shows a mean throughout the DMV of 4-5 inches. There are about 20 individual Members that give us 6 plus inches. Caveat: This includes the three possible storms : Friday, Monday and Wed. Definitely interesting weather the next 9 days to watch! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted February 25, 2019 Share Posted February 25, 2019 5 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said: In other words...they just told her to sit down in the most academic way...lol (seriously though, does she ever offer any other analysis of her own? Seems she just shows up to bash hypers!) Yeah, very true M, she is annoying. What you said is spot on ! Always spouts negative remarks without value on most weather feeds. There was a reason to my pasting blast. psu knows her well. LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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