psuhoffman Posted February 22, 2019 Share Posted February 22, 2019 Only you could manage to screw up a closed upper low crossing VA and a 980 low just east of ocean city lol 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted February 22, 2019 Share Posted February 22, 2019 11 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: Euro weekly control says we just have to be REALLY patient... Meh. With March sun angle that 9” is more like 5”. And we’re sick of 5” snowfalls. So pass. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 22, 2019 Share Posted February 22, 2019 Euro weekly control says we just have to be REALLY patient... Ah, this is already reminding me of the teases we got in April last year. I came back from Sprint Break in late March thinking it was going to snow later that week. Spent time on a beach thinking about snow... what a waste Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted February 22, 2019 Share Posted February 22, 2019 1 hour ago, jaydreb said: Meh. With March sun angle that 9” is more like 5”. And we’re sick of 5” snowfalls. So pass. Fortunately it's not March.... maybe April sun angle will be less hostile. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted February 22, 2019 Share Posted February 22, 2019 1 hour ago, psuhoffman said: Euro weekly control says we just have to be REALLY patient... We're due! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted February 22, 2019 Share Posted February 22, 2019 Do the weeklies show a nationwide torch after the 10th? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 22, 2019 Share Posted February 22, 2019 9 minutes ago, Fozz said: Do the weeklies show a nationwide torch after the 10th? Yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted February 22, 2019 Share Posted February 22, 2019 48 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Yes Yeah they look very warm. With our luck they’ll be right this time. Hello March 2012. At least North Balt Zen and mattie g will be thrilled. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted February 22, 2019 Share Posted February 22, 2019 Aye. HECS first week of March and then spring on March 8th. That would be awesome. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGolfBro Posted February 22, 2019 Share Posted February 22, 2019 24 minutes ago, North Balti Zen said: Aye. HECS first week of March and then spring on March 8th. That would be awesome. Here here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 22, 2019 Share Posted February 22, 2019 I would love an early spring...not a fan of 40 and rain on March 28. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormfly Posted February 22, 2019 Share Posted February 22, 2019 20 minutes ago, nj2va said: I would love an early spring...not a fan of 40 and rain on March 28. How about 7" on that day...1984 seems like yesterday! https://www.wbaltv.com/article/1984-report-colts-leave-baltimore-overnight/6802490 I remember that storm. Strong Noreaster. Frequent gusts of wind to 50-55mph on the evening of the 27th. Official forecast was rain changing to snow before ending, little or no accumulation. Here in Harford we got 7" maybe more. And it was heavy AF. Broke two shovels at the bottom of the lane with lots of water running beneath. Also woke up to the lowest recorded barometric pressure of 28.87". Well until 03/13/93 (28.53") March can be amazing here. And fickle too! 3/1/80 we got 7" and exactly a week later it was close to 80 and we had severe that evening. What I do NOT enjoy is cold April fog/drizzle cold air damming nonsense. Typically ends suddenly with summer DPs in the 70s. 1989 had a lot of that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted February 22, 2019 Share Posted February 22, 2019 There are multiple chances on the 0z GFS and FV3. Winter may not be done yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 22, 2019 Share Posted February 22, 2019 4 minutes ago, jaydreb said: There are multiple chances on the 0z GFS and FV3. Winter may not be done yet. I counted at least 5 separate threats after Day 7 on the 00z GFS... the March 3rd threat on the FV3 looks intriguing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 22, 2019 Share Posted February 22, 2019 00z EURO has a light clipper threat Day 6, a threat Day 8, and incoming on Day 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted February 22, 2019 Share Posted February 22, 2019 8 hours ago, WxWatcher007 said: I know nobody will shed tears for me, but I’ve gone an entire season without seeing more than 2.5” of snowfall in an event. Tired of 4-6” events after going two years without a warning level event? **** these guys Congratulations!!! Glad to see you finally admit that the 2+ feet you saw with your LES chase was in fact FAKE SNOW. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted February 22, 2019 Share Posted February 22, 2019 Not worth overthinking at 10+ days but we did see some improvement on the EPS for the possible east coast storm (roughly centered day 10/11). Better timing with the blocking at 500's vs. the 12z as it is slower with that feature giving us a slightly better setup leading into any possible storm. Trough in the midwest is coming in stronger (-pressure anomalies) and deeper suggestive of more interaction with the surface low. Looking at the surface we are also seeing a stronger signal for a low through this time frame. At this point the EPS seems to favor a low to our west transferring to off the coast. Did see a slight reduction on the snowfall means but that is counter balanced but what looks to be more members seeing the possibility of a storm through that time frame. Far too soon to be even discussing whether we are talking rain or snow it should be enough just to know that the EPS continues to strengthen the signal for a storm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted February 22, 2019 Share Posted February 22, 2019 FV3 has a more balanced storm on March 3rd than what is has shown yesterday (40 inches). It is maturing as a model. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted February 22, 2019 Share Posted February 22, 2019 23 minutes ago, Wonderdog said: FV3 has a more balanced storm on March 3rd than what is has shown yesterday (40 inches). It is maturing as a model. It better grow up fast. It becomes our everyday GooFuS on March 1 right? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 22, 2019 Share Posted February 22, 2019 Lets predict the Ji response this morning. last nights runs were a disaster worst of the winter we always trend in the wrong direction FV3 took away 30" from me we are always to north or to south winters over feel free to add as we all know....I think we should start a go fund me page for Ji to hire a new writer 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 22, 2019 Share Posted February 22, 2019 last nights runs were terrible......how can the euro show rain D8/9 during our prime cold window we hate momentum....always go the opposite of what we want FV3 took away so much snow for me...its now become clipper amounts Too north for sliders...too south for Miller Bs...to east for clippers...to west for coastals winters cooked 1 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted February 22, 2019 Share Posted February 22, 2019 23 minutes ago, Scraff said: It better grow up fast. It becomes our everyday GooFuS on March 1 right? March 20 I think. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deer Whisperer Posted February 22, 2019 Share Posted February 22, 2019 15 minutes ago, leesburg 04 said: Lets predict the Ji response this morning. last nights runs were a disaster worst of the winter we always trend in the wrong direction FV3 took away 30" from me we are always to north or to south winters over feel free to add as we all know....I think we should start a go fund me page for Ji to hire a new writer With superior predicting skills like this you should be a meteorologist! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 22, 2019 Share Posted February 22, 2019 9 minutes ago, Deer Whisperer said: With superior predicting skills like this you should be a meteorologist! we are looking too far into the future on the models. the snow we just had started as a rain event and trended in our favor. no one like to wait days between threats but that's the cards we have been dealt. I think/hope we have one more decent event before its curtains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 22, 2019 Share Posted February 22, 2019 40 minutes ago, Ji said: last nights runs were terrible......how can the euro show rain D8/9 during our prime cold window we hate momentum....always go the opposite of what we want FV3 took away so much snow for me...its now become clipper amounts Too north for sliders...too south for Miller Bs...to east for clippers...to west for coastals winters cooked My man 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 22, 2019 Share Posted February 22, 2019 16 minutes ago, BristowWx said: we are looking too far into the future on the models. the snow we just had started as a rain event and trended in our favor. no one like to wait days between threats but that's the cards we have been dealt. I think/hope we have one more decent event before its curtains. Some of us actually know how to use the guidance as a tool, and understand they are not a means for instant gratification. The Ji freak outs are because he wants the latter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RevWarReenactor Posted February 22, 2019 Share Posted February 22, 2019 The good news is, most of the 10-15 day fantasy snow/cold this year disappeared pretty quick instead of sucking us in for the last minute change of plans. It probably won't be long before we see the fail written all over the early March "potential" and we can gear up for spring! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jandurin Posted February 22, 2019 Share Posted February 22, 2019 I read that as "fall pattern" and thought you were getting way ahead of yourself. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 22, 2019 Share Posted February 22, 2019 someone let me know when the threat is within 3 days. chasing 7 day unicorns this winter has been for naught 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 22, 2019 Share Posted February 22, 2019 There continues to be a signal for a coastal, maybe a legit miller A, for around the 2nd. Lots of moving parts and timing involved as usual, especially with the TPV lobes rotating down. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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