Itstrainingtime Posted March 3, 2019 Author Share Posted March 3, 2019 35 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: The 12z Euro is locked in ! Ski Roundtop for the win! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 Light snow, 35 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 Settled into a pretty decent light to moderate steady snow in the last hour or so. Nothing to report accumulation wise yet though on the non-snow surfaces. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 And it went to decent snow pretty quickly. It’s wasted but still so so so pretty Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 34/28 with Mod to hvy snow here has turned the grass and deck white now. About 1/2". No roofs, cars and the road has no chance until the sun goes down some more (or we get gigantic flakes which we are not). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 Trees have caved but snowboard is wet and not white Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 Light snow in Marysville Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 1 hour ago, pawatch said: Mag what's your thoughts on ratio's? Ratios probably aren't going to be great in the opening couple hours of this storm but they'll progressively get better as we cool surface temps. Aloft at 850 and 700mb are plenty cold over all of C-PA for good ratios, we just need to get the near surface cooled off and the sun down. Per mesoanalysis everyone in PA is at least -5ºC at 850mb and as low as -10ºC along the NY border. 700mb ranges from -6ºC SE PA to -12ºC in north central. When we start increasing the forcing especially at 700mb we should see pretty good ratios. You and Wmsptwx might make up a lot of the gap in accumulations by having better ratios. Part of CTP's disco: Quote Ensemble mean qpf, combined with snow/water ratios ranging from around 12/1 over southeast Pa to 18/1 over the northwest counties, supports storm totals ranging from around 2 inches over Warren/Mckean counties, to between 6-8 inches south of I-81. An examination of model soundings still indicates the possibility of the rain/snow line grazing extreme southern Lancaster County this evening. However, for the vast majority of the forecast area, this will be an all snow event. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 Progress, we're white on non paved surfaces now. Moderate snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 Looking at the latest HRRR and it is consistent in suggesting peoiple in the red circled area are going to have a snow to remember as to close to 2"/hr rates for several hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 26 minutes ago, Cashtown_Coop said: Trees have caved but snowboard is wet and not white We are all white here now except the roads, driveways, sidewalks. Temps are down to just a tad under 32. The whole March Sun Angle debate is not of interest to me but regardless of time of year, snow is not going to accumulate well on roads during daytime and temps at or near freezing at least until we get pillow sized flakes. Does not matter what angle the sun is it is there regardless and the roads do not deflect it any manner. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 9 minutes ago, bubbler86 said: We are all white here now except the roads, driveways, sidewalks. Temps are down to just a tad under 32. The whole March Sun Angle debate is not of interest to me but regardless of time of year, snow is not going to accumulate well on roads during daytime and temps at or near freezing at least until we get pillow sized flakes. Does not matter what angle the sun is it is there regardless and the roads do not deflect it any manner. I’ve been light to occasionally mod snow so far. You’ve been in a better band that’s helping you overcome. Temp here is 32 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 @MAG5035 looks like a heavy band is aiming ur way. Get some Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 Flake size has increased and finally started to accumulate on raised surfaces.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 It’s actually mixing with plain rain right now in Harrisburg. We had to run to Wegmans in Mechanicsburg and it’s dumping snow there though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 4 minutes ago, Cashtown_Coop said: I’ve been light to occasionally mod snow so far. You’ve been in a better band that’s helping you overcome. Temp here is 32 Yea, I would have 2-3" at this point if the temps were down about 5 degrees. As it is have about 1" on the grass. Our finals are all going to come down to how far west the coastal "deform" band sets up. If we miss it then we are sad. LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 4 minutes ago, Cashtown_Coop said: @MAG5035 looks like a heavy band is aiming ur way. Get some Yup just starting to move over. Pretty heavy with visibility about 1/4mi. Driveway and back street thinking about caving, haha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted March 3, 2019 Author Share Posted March 3, 2019 5 minutes ago, Superstorm said: Flake size has increased and finally started to accumulate on raised surfaces. . Wow...white rain here and 34. Stickin' to nothing yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 5 minutes ago, bubbler86 said: Yea, I would have 2-3" at this point if the temps were down about 5 degrees. As it is have about 1" on the grass. Our finals are all going to come down to how far west the coastal "deform" band sets up. If we miss it then we are sad. LOL Starting to accum finally. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 All light snow in Palmyra roads will cave in a couple of hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 Temp slowly dropping, now down to 32.7. Have had moderate snow with finer flakes for a while now. On my board I have accumulated 0.3". Exposed grass is caving as well as shrubs and trees. Nothing on sidewalks/roads just yet. If I can reach my forecasted amount of 6" I will be happy since the 3-day total will be a foot and I will have cracked 40" for the season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 Also @Cashtown_Coop, I can't believe your going to make a run at 50" for the season with this storm all the way down there. I'm only about 4" ahead of you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 I got caved roads, and fatties, and sirens haha. We’re rollin now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 1 minute ago, MAG5035 said: I got caved roads, and fatties, and sirens haha. We’re rollin now. Looks good Mag. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 9 minutes ago, MAG5035 said: Also @Cashtown_Coop, I can't believe your going to make a run at 50" for the season with this storm all the way down there. I'm only about 4" ahead of you. all and all its been a good winter. I bet we end up getting a late march crusher that give you a State College a foot while I watch it rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 quick ob light snow 30.7f 0.3" on the board Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTrout Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 Snow just started sticking on everything but the road and driveway a couple miles nw of Elizabethtown. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 Been watching the MESO Analysis. Really a lot of rain down south. We won't see all of that but quite an impressive shot. Dual centers of low pressure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted March 3, 2019 Author Share Posted March 3, 2019 Moderate snow here was borderline heavy a bit ago. Just now I'm starting to see a trace of snow on non-paved surfaces. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted March 3, 2019 Share Posted March 3, 2019 3 minutes ago, bubbler86 said: Been watching the MESO Analysis. Really a lot of rain down south. We won't see all of that but quite an impressive shot. Dual centers of low pressure. Good point Bubbler. Unfortunately we won’t see all of that fetch of moisture but you can see what tonight is going to bring in terms of snowfall rates Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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