2001kx Posted February 21, 2019 Share Posted February 21, 2019 2 hours ago, Itstrainingtime said: Do you know how much Clearfield got in March '93? I was living in Bellwood (MAG land) at the time but i would say it had to be close to 30" from what i was told. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 21, 2019 Author Share Posted February 21, 2019 5 minutes ago, 2001kx said: I was living in Bellwood (MAG land) at the time but i would say it had to be close to 30" from what i was told. Bingo! There's your biggie...I got 18" so it's possible we can both be happy. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 21, 2019 Author Share Posted February 21, 2019 State of the snowpack: I reached 51.4 for my high today (GFS you suck) and I have just over 3" in the front yard (faces east) and 1.5" in the back yard. (faces west) Had we not had so much water in that pack I'd have nothing left. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted February 21, 2019 Share Posted February 21, 2019 2 hours ago, Itstrainingtime said: So...apparently the 12z Euro today was showing somethin' cookin' at the end of it's run. (time period matches the FV3) I don't have access to full Euro ensembles but I do have the Euro control run that goes out to 360. It does have an event in that range, kind of a weaker miller-B type deal with some snow in PA and probably marginal thermals in DC. So yea, it had something.. but not the 3-5 feet the FV3 served up lol. 18z FV3 still has a pretty big storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2001kx Posted February 21, 2019 Share Posted February 21, 2019 3 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Bingo! There's your biggie...I got 18" so it's possible we can both be happy. If only we could do it again... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 21, 2019 Author Share Posted February 21, 2019 10 minutes ago, pasnownut said: Yeah, I saw they were close in time, so thats a good start. Pappa G had something brewin yesterday at that timeframe. edit....18z pappa G is goin all happy hour on us at same period Its amusing that were getting cranked up over 264 hour storms on Op runs, but what the heck. Period is looking good and storms are popping up. Hopefully by the weekend we see legit threats starting to get inside 7 or 8 days. and sorry, but no more cutter crap. I want a clean powder keg. It's time. And then when @Blizzard of 93 posts those pretty colored snow maps they'll actually all be snow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted February 21, 2019 Share Posted February 21, 2019 1 hour ago, Wmsptwx said: Dude....animal House lol Sorry...never saw the movie. I was pretty sure he had to know history. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 21, 2019 Share Posted February 21, 2019 37 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: It's time. And then when @Blizzard of 93 posts those pretty colored snow maps they'll actually all be snow! Hello ! Awesome stuff today folks! I’m looking forward to posting lots of maps over the next couple of weeks ! Our best storm is yet to come this season! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gosnow Posted February 22, 2019 Share Posted February 22, 2019 8 hours ago, Blizzard of 93 said: Hello ! Awesome stuff today folks! I’m looking forward to posting lots of maps over the next couple of weeks ! Our best storm is yet to come this season! On wgal tonight Joe Calhoun normally pretty conservative was saying that the ingredients were coming together for a storm if not next weekend then the start of the week after. Could be he is referring to the storm showing up in the long range. If as everyone has been saying everything is coming together perhaps it is our time. I think someone said March could be the new February. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Festus Posted February 22, 2019 Share Posted February 22, 2019 - High Wind Watch up for Sunday into Monday. - Up to 11 hours now between sunrise and sunset. - Turn clocks ahead in a little over 2 weeks. - Yard is half snow, half grass. Methinks snow is gone by Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 22, 2019 Author Share Posted February 22, 2019 1 hour ago, Festus said: - High Wind Watch up for Sunday into Monday. - Up to 11 hours now between sunrise and sunset. - Turn clocks ahead in a little over 2 weeks. - Yard is half snow, half grass. Methinks snow is gone by Sunday. Not sure I remember the last time we were under a HWW for 2 days... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted February 22, 2019 Share Posted February 22, 2019 24 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Not sure I remember the last time we were under a HWW for 2 days... I know. That blows. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 22, 2019 Author Share Posted February 22, 2019 20 minutes ago, pasnownut said: I know. That blows. I just don't have a good comeback for that. lol One concern I have in the coming weeks is the sheer number of systems being modeled. I just hope they don't cause interference with each other and muck something up. I kinda remember that happening a few times previously where there just wasn't enough space/distance for one discreet wave to blow up. That, and we're still largely in a progressive pattern. Thoughts? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 22, 2019 Share Posted February 22, 2019 43 minutes ago, pasnownut said: I know. That blows. You're so long winded. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 22, 2019 Share Posted February 22, 2019 1 hour ago, Itstrainingtime said: Not sure I remember the last time we were under a HWW for 2 days... Not a big FAN. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kerplunk Posted February 22, 2019 Share Posted February 22, 2019 State College is only 1" away from a record setting wettest meteorological winter. Think there's a very good chance it will happen. That would follow a record wettest summer here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted February 22, 2019 Share Posted February 22, 2019 29 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: I just don't have a good comeback for that. lol One concern I have in the coming weeks is the sheer number of systems being modeled. I just hope they don't cause interference with each other and muck something up. I kinda remember that happening a few times previously where there just wasn't enough space/distance for one discreet wave to blow up. That, and we're still largely in a progressive pattern. Thoughts? We are entering a time when wavelengths naturally shorten as we approach spring, so while we may lose some potential with a big blown up system, you can also play the odds at getting a decent hit if there's enough shit in the chute. Just another perspective. Im an odds guy, but yeah i want a hum dinger for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted February 22, 2019 Share Posted February 22, 2019 1 minute ago, kerplunk said: State College is only 1" away from a record setting wettest meteorological winter. Think there's a very good chance it will happen. That would follow a record wettest summer here. too bad not all of it was snow.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kerplunk Posted February 22, 2019 Share Posted February 22, 2019 Just now, pasnownut said: too bad not all of it was snow.... That would be way too much to ask for in State College...however, it could have been all freezing rain and sleet! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted February 22, 2019 Share Posted February 22, 2019 8 minutes ago, pasnownut said: We are entering a time when wavelengths naturally shorten as we approach spring, so while we may lose some potential with a big blown up system, you can also play the odds at getting a decent hit if there's enough shit in the chute. Just another perspective. Im an odds guy, but yeah i want a hum dinger for sure. and to add to this, If we can get any semblance of blocking, it COULD help to "slow the flow" and give shortwaves time to dig. Right now, tellies are not indicative of that, but as we get into next week and beyond, if one believes the ensembles, then we do look to morph into a workable pattern and all seem to show some continuity. That makes me feel better about where we are heading. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 22, 2019 Share Posted February 22, 2019 Yesterday Flagstaff, Arizona, had 35.9” snow! @Voyager aren’t you headed there this weekend? Lol 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted February 22, 2019 Share Posted February 22, 2019 1 hour ago, TugHillMatt said: You're so long winded. lmao. aint that the truth. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted February 22, 2019 Share Posted February 22, 2019 1 hour ago, canderson said: Yesterday Flagstaff, Arizona, had 35.9” snow! @Voyager aren’t you headed there this weekend? Lol Actually, I'm going to Phoenix, but they had 3 inches in North Scottsdale, and the close-in Valley mountains (White Tanks, Estrellas, etc) got snow overnight into this morning as snow levels were down to around 2,000ft, which is pretty low for out there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Clause Posted February 22, 2019 Share Posted February 22, 2019 Smart posters...what's deal with wind coming up? Seems like they really are pushing it's severity early and often. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted February 22, 2019 Share Posted February 22, 2019 7 minutes ago, Wmsptwx said: Smart posters...what's deal with wind coming up? Seems like they really are pushing it's severity early and often. yup Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 22, 2019 Share Posted February 22, 2019 29 minutes ago, Wmsptwx said: Smart posters...what's deal with wind coming up? Seems like they really are pushing it's severity early and often. My tag does not say "Smart Poster" and I am not totally sure of each models bias toward properly gauging wind speed but here is the panel of the 12Z GFS showing the max wind speeds for Eastern PA. Does not really jump out at me as being much different than the other half dozen wind events this season. My specific location has high winds quite frequently and a local WUnderground anemometer has recorded over 65 MPH gusts 3 times since the start of the year so not sure this is much different. These winds are in knots but the conversion to MPH only adds 3-4 on to these sustained predictions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted February 22, 2019 Share Posted February 22, 2019 20 hours ago, canderson said: My tag says "dumbshit." I'm with stupid. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 22, 2019 Share Posted February 22, 2019 Sunday afternoon we have to drive across the Chesapeake Bay Bridge - I should buy a GoPro for prosperity. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 22, 2019 Author Share Posted February 22, 2019 20 minutes ago, canderson said: Sunday afternoon we have to drive across the Chesapeake Bay Bridge - I should buy a GoPro for prosperity. That might be the most difficult 4.5 miles of driving you've done in your life yet. I drove across it once when I was 18...I was heading from an O's game over to Rehoboth to join my family on vacation. Got to the bridge just minutes before a severe thunderstorm hit. I was extremely naive at the time and didn't realize how horrible that trip would have been if i was 5 minutes later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 22, 2019 Share Posted February 22, 2019 12Z GFS Snowfall map. 12Z FV3 Snowfall Map Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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