Blizzard of 93 Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 1 hour ago, canderson said: Sunday I’m a bit “worried” it snows all day but not heavy enough so it melts on contact. Going to be pretty warm. Yes, I guess we never really got 17 inches of snow on March 18 two years ago during the day... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted March 2, 2019 Author Share Posted March 2, 2019 Pingers! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 Just now, Blizzard of 93 said: Yes, I guess we never really got 17 inches of snow on March 18 two years ago during the day... Ha, it was colddd and it was POURING snow. If we get good rates we are set, it’ll cool the column nicely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Caveman Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 Here is a "new" line for accumulating snows instead of the Turnpike or I-81...The Appalachian Trail! For Friday night's event, SE of the AT will see greater accumulations than to the NW...but Sunday is a different story...either way, winter will not quit with lows close to "0" under clear skies and calm winds next week and snow covered grounds! I have lived here all my life and without going through the official records, I remember only ONE time where temps in March went below "0" and that was with the passage of superstorm 1993! Not thinking it will this week...but it has a chance! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 Have had freezing rain mixing in with the snow here at times and trees are a bit coated now...need rates to pick up. 0Z Nam suggests they will in the next 3 hours. We shall see. Nam upped a bit again with 3-5" tonight from much of LSV North and East except southern half of Lancaster. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Caveman Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 The NAM by 4 am tomorrow...I'm not so sure... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 3 minutes ago, Caveman said: The NAM by 4 am tomorrow...I'm not so sure... It is doing this with forcing from the developing far off shore coastal so yea, we shall see. MA talking about radar back edge but the edge will stop if the NAM depiction is correct....will actual pivot a bit. Edit, though this map must be including sleet. Cherry Hill NJ is probably not getting 4". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Caveman Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 When I saw all of the precip with the Sterling radar, I immediately thought oh no for Sunday...that water vapor energy will translate away from our area. 3 minutes ago, bubbler86 said: It is doing this with forcing from the developing far off shore coastal so yea, we shall see. MA talking about radar back edge but the edge will stop if the NAM depiction is correct....will actual pivot a bit. Edit, though this map must be including sleet. Cherry Hill NJ is probably not getting 4". Agree...the equations are simply for frozen precip...go K for rip/read...as for developing LP, seek the temp gradient...that's a shitload of precip across MD...love the meteo! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Caveman Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 In all honesty, I believe the snowfall rates will be hard pressed to reach what we did last night here between 2-3 am....it just flat out dumped snow...awesome! My dogs went out and quickly came back to the house...and they are not snowflakes! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 8 minutes ago, Caveman said: When I saw all of the precip with the Sterling radar, I immediately thought oh no for Sunday...that water vapor energy will translate away from our area. Agree...the equations are simply for frozen precip...go K for rip/read...as for developing LP, seek the temp gradient...that's a shitload of precip across MD...love the meteo! Latest MESO Pressure maps show the low developing off shore east of VA Beach. If there was any kind of blocking this would be a blockbuster event with cold air being dragged into the system while qpf is thrown back over us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Caveman Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 Just now, bubbler86 said: Latest MESO Pressure maps show the low developing off shore east of VA Beach. If there was any kind of blocking this would be a blockbuster event with cold air being dragged into the system while qpf is thrown back over us. What you describe is exactly what COULD occur Sunday...especially with height falls right over PA digging towards a deepening surface LP...but my concern is no HP north of us in realistic terms. My forecast mantra; predict the high; predict he snow! Isn't this fun? Helluva lot better than Netflix or whatever people do today...I'm listening to kick ass tunes, reading you guys opines, and studying the models...since my dogs are now asleep...GOOD STUFF! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Caveman Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 By the way...where has "Cashman" been...? I would've like to seen his obs from earlier today? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 Just now, Caveman said: By the way...where has "Cashman" been...? I would've like to seen his obs from earlier today? I believe his final was 3.5", but when he comes back on he can confirm/update. I'm almost due north of him by about 25 miles and had 3.8". 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 3 minutes ago, Caveman said: By the way...where has "Cashman" been...? I would've like to seen his obs from earlier today? His weather stations are online. They are reporting 30/28 rright now with .01 of precip in the last hour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Caveman Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 Just now, bubbler86 said: His weather stations are online. They are reporting 30/28 rright now with .01 of precip in the last hour. I do not know how to access that data...? Freezing drizzle...0.01"? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 1 minute ago, Caveman said: I do not know how to access that data...? Freezing drizzle...0.01"? It is really snowing/frz raining lightly here so I bet he is getting similar. Here is his link https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mesowest/getobext.php?sid=E5637 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 Can someone explain to me, how with no blocking, this Sunday stormis being pushed south? I have seen so many times where there is no blocking and the low tracks up to state college. I’ve also see. So many times that it gets suppressed because of strong blocking high pressure. In this case, there is no blocking, and the storm is consistently being modeled further and further south? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted March 2, 2019 Author Share Posted March 2, 2019 Sleet has transitioned to light rain here for now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Caveman Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 7 minutes ago, bubbler86 said: It is really snowing/frz raining lightly here so I bet he is getting similar. Here is his link https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mesowest/getobext.php?sid=E5637 Thanks so much...he's a solid earthling observer! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Caveman Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 1 minute ago, KPITSnow said: Can someone explain to me, how with no blocking, this Sunday stormis being pushed south? I have seen so many times where there is no blocking and the low tracks up to state college. I’ve also see. So many times that it gets suppressed because of strong blocking high pressure. In this case, there is no blocking, and the storm is consistently being modeled further and further south? 500 mb PV digging strong... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 2 minutes ago, Caveman said: 500 mb PV digging strong... Why does the radar look like carp. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 10 minutes ago, KPITSnow said: Can someone explain to me, how with no blocking, this Sunday stormis being pushed south? I have seen so many times where there is no blocking and the low tracks up to state college. I’ve also see. So many times that it gets suppressed because of strong blocking high pressure. In this case, there is no blocking, and the storm is consistently being modeled further and further south? My interpretation is that there is confluence to the north where there actually is a high pressure albeit well west of where we would want it for a block so the Low is basically following the progressive zonal boundary. The further that the boundary is pressed south, the further south the low goes. Check out this pic and notice the 1014 beside that weak 1007 Low. Now I could be totally wrong so I am hoping Mag will fill in the holes from my thought. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 2 minutes ago, paweather said: Why does the radar look like carp. Your post sounds a little fishy. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 2 minutes ago, bubbler86 said: Your post sounds a little fishy. Fishy? I am not sure I understand I am talking about tonight. LOL maybe that it is heading that way to feed the fish. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Caveman Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 5 minutes ago, paweather said: Why does the radar look like carp. I'm talking Sunday's event...today's radar is a bit of a bottom feeder... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 Just now, paweather said: Fishy? I am not sure I understand I am talking about tonight. LOL maybe that it is heading that way to feed the fish. Your original post asked why the radar looked like CARP. LOL. I should not talk I have an issue with Chrome where it keeps turning off my spell check so I have to edit a lot of posts. Either the models are going to bust or that coastal is going to energize the radar starting in Maryland then heading Northeast over much of the LSV. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Caveman Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 1 minute ago, bubbler86 said: Your original post asked why the radar looked like CARP. LOL. I should not talk I have an issue with Chrome where it keeps turning off my spell check so I have to edit a lot of posts. Either the models are going to bust or that coastal is going to energize the radar starting in Maryland then heading Northeast over much of the LSV. Rock and Roll! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 2 minutes ago, bubbler86 said: Your original post asked why the radar looked like CARP. LOL. I should not talk I have an issue with Chrome where it keeps turning off my spell check so I have to edit a lot of posts. Either the models are going to bust or that coastal is going to energize the radar starting in Maryland then heading Northeast over much of the LSV. Your good man. It does look like carp but who knows the nam is pumped up for Sunday. All good. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted March 2, 2019 Author Share Posted March 2, 2019 Rain has really ramped up, there is some serious glazing of ice going on. 30 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daxx Posted March 2, 2019 Share Posted March 2, 2019 3 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Rain has really ramped up, there is some serious glazing of ice going on. 30 degrees. Mostly sleet here temp 30. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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