pasnownut Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 6 minutes ago, bubbler86 said: Lots of wave confusion going on here...3 total waves in my eyes. The one approaching tonight that I see as minoring out as a coastal takes over and skirts East North East Friday night...then the third Wave later in the weekend. yes. I'd think tonight and sunday are ones of substance for our region. saturday is sort of blip in the progression, and not likely to impact sunday/monday IMO. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daxx Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 Gfs looking even better tomorrow. Tomorrow night it has really increased qpf as well.Temps a little warm for my liking for Friday night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 1 minute ago, sauss06 said: correct me if i'm wrong, but next Monday/Tuesday look to be single digit lows!? Pretty much. It's gonna be COLD next week. Which is funny because my nephew and his fiance will be here (well, Philly/DC/NYC next week) and they are from Houston and she doesn't own anything more than a hoodie. We're meeting them Wednesday night for dinner in Philly so I can't wait to ask her how the frostbite is going. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 1 minute ago, daxx said: Gfs looking even better tomorrow. Tomorrow night it has really increased qpf as well.Temps a little warm for my liking for Friday night. looked like 31 to my untrained eyes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 3 minutes ago, daxx said: Gfs looking even better tomorrow. Tomorrow night it has really increased qpf as well.Temps a little warm for my liking for Friday night. you ready to put your trust in it? IMO, the better tomorrow night is, the better chance sunday has a chance to tick south, as #1 can pull the boundary a little further south. Thats what the weenie in me is hoping for anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 28, 2019 Author Share Posted February 28, 2019 4 minutes ago, daxx said: Gfs looking even better tomorrow. Tomorrow night it has really increased qpf as well.Temps a little warm for my liking for Friday night. Tomorrow night might be a mixed mess...we'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daxx Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 1 minute ago, sauss06 said: looked like 31 to my untrained eyes 925s and 850s warm slightly above freezing for lsv Friday night. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daxx Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 13 minutes ago, pasnownut said: you ready to put your trust in it? IMO, the better tomorrow night is, the better chance sunday has a chance to tick south, as #1 can pull the boundary a little further south. Thats what the weenie in me is hoping for anyway. Sunday actually ticked warmer on the 12z than 6z on gfs for us in the southeast. Central and north look great. Cmc a tad warmer too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
djr5001 Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 Winter Weather Advisory is posted on NWS State College site for the southern counties but for some reason it doesn't look like their system pushed out the alert because it's not showing up anywhere that I usually see it... Cambria-Blair-Huntingdon-Somerset-Bedford-Fulton-Franklin- Including the cities of Johnstown, Altoona, Huntingdon, Mount Union, Somerset, Bedford, McConnellsburg, and Chambersburg 1021 AM EST Thu Feb 28 2019 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 8 AM EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 2 to 4 inches are expected. * WHERE...Portions of central Pennsylvania. * WHEN...From 9 PM this evening to 8 AM EST Friday. Cumberland-Adams-York-Lancaster- Including the cities of Carlisle, Gettysburg, York, and Lancaster 1021 AM EST Thu Feb 28 2019 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 8 AM EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 2 to 3 inches are expected. * WHERE...Cumberland, Adams, York and Lancaster Counties. * WHEN...From 1 AM to 8 AM EST Friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daxx Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 37 minutes ago, pasnownut said: you ready to put your trust in it? IMO, the better tomorrow night is, the better chance sunday has a chance to tick south, as #1 can pull the boundary a little further south. Thats what the weenie in me is hoping for anyway. Nut... just to clarify I agree with you. I'm just stating what the gfs shows. We all know never put all your marbles into any model three days out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 Can I trust this Fri>Mon all storms total??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daxx Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 The 12z models for the Sunday/Monday storm are definitely trending to the euro look. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 2 minutes ago, daxx said: The 12z models for the Sunday/Monday storm are definitely trending to the euro look. MA suicide watch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 1 minute ago, daxx said: The 12z models for the Sunday/Monday storm are definitely trending to the euro look. Is that good or bad? I forget what the euro look was? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 Don't get excited by anything the New GFS shows. I would have 800 inches of snow by now... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daxx Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 8 minutes ago, CarlislePaWx said: Is that good or bad? I forget what the euro look was? The Euro has been warmer with the late weekend storm. Still a big snow for most except us to southeast. We still get snow just north and west do much better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 6 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: Don't get excited by anything the New GFS shows. I would have 800 inches of snow by now... Hoping that the storm pulls way north for you, lol? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 50 minutes ago, daxx said: Nut... just to clarify I agree with you. I'm just stating what the gfs shows. We all know never put all your marbles into any model three days out. I get ya. No prob. I've been too busy to look today but really want to. I trust you guys to share what you see and get your pbp. GFS warm bias might help a bit as well. look at NAM/CMC to see if they agree. IF they do....well then....were cooked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 @daxx, have the time today to do Euro PBO for 3 systems in the next 72 hours? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daxx Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 1 minute ago, bubbler86 said: @daxx, have the time today to do Euro PBO for 3 systems in the next 72 hours? I will fill you in as it comes out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 Just told a coworker we probably get an inch or two of snow early tomorrow morning. Was told it's March and snow doesn't stick to anything other than grass. I hate people. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daxx Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 Where the hell is Blizz! The gefs is a snow lovers dream. Thought for sure he would post those pretty maps. Lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 1 minute ago, daxx said: Where the hell is Blizz! The gefs is a snow lovers dream. Thought for sure he would post those pretty maps. Lol I hate to post them as I feel like I doing his job and taking away his steam. LOL 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 28, 2019 Author Share Posted February 28, 2019 FWIW..."the guy from Millersville that will go unnamed" is saying that the big show on Sunday/Monday will see the rain/snow line set up between Harrisburg and Philly. Sounds like most of you N&W of me are sitting pretty. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 Just now, Itstrainingtime said: FWIW..."the guy from Millersville that will go unnamed" is saying that the big show on Sunday/Monday will see the rain/snow line set up between Harrisburg and Philly. Sounds like most of you N&W of me are sitting pretty. Dave Tolleris moved to Millersville? When the hell did that happen? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 7 minutes ago, canderson said: Just told a coworker we probably get an inch or two of snow early tomorrow morning. Was told it's March and snow doesn't stick to anything other than grass. I hate people. The last two Marches have brought colossal snowstorms to Harrisburg. How ****ing stupid are people? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 28, 2019 Author Share Posted February 28, 2019 1 minute ago, bubbler86 said: Dave Tolleris moved to Millersville? When the hell did that happen? Eric Horst. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 2 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Eric Horst. I was being a smart ass. FWIW, I love when you pass on Horst info. Climo there is a little different than here but not much and he keeps us grounded and I already have too many things going on to have to check yet another weather site. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 28, 2019 Author Share Posted February 28, 2019 3 minutes ago, bubbler86 said: I was being a smart ass. FWIW, I love when you pass on Horst info. Climo there is a little different than here but not much and he keeps us grounded and I already have too many things going on to have to check yet another weather site. Okay...he's not enthused for tomorrow night, echoing Brian's (daxx) sentiment about temps in the lowest 5000' of the atmosphere. He's calling for a small slushy mix. He IS calling for a few areas to get up to 5" tonight however. That's all I'm saying from him. I promised myself to chill during my imposed ban. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted February 28, 2019 Share Posted February 28, 2019 12 minutes ago, bubbler86 said: I hate to post them as I feel like I doing his job and taking away his steam. LOL thats really funny....and likely true. Glad to hear GEFS looks great. I peeked at nooners, and see the wagons north camp forming for Monday...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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