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2/19-20 Winter Storm Observations


nj2va
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  On 2/20/2019 at 5:03 PM, ers-wxman1 said:

Is that right?

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Whomever made the forecasts at LWX looks to be spot on, though many of the experts here said the forecast was too bullish. They've been very good all winter IMBY. I don't know if you work there or what (I'm not into the whole forum clique that knows everyone in-person) so maybe your response was some kind of inside joke?

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  On 2/20/2019 at 5:09 PM, Mdecoy said:

I actually think lack of precip here and not temperatures will be what keeps totals lower. Looks to shut off out to the west long before temps are an issue.

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Guidance generally all had less precip for eastern areas during the cold part of the event. Another reason I was not at all enthused about this. And ofc the model snowfall maps were completely awful.

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  On 2/20/2019 at 5:13 PM, DCTeacherman said:

If we can score one more event I’ll be thinking B+ or A-.

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I'm perfectly fine with three 4-6 inch events during winter. Of course, a 12-inch storm/blizzard is icing on the cake. This winter has been okay when not bogged down in model forecasting. Not the best, but okay. 

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  On 2/20/2019 at 5:18 PM, adelphi_sky said:

I'm perfectly fine with three 4-6 inch events during winter. Of course, a 12-inch storm/blizzard is icing on the cake. This winter has been okay when not bogged down in model forecasting. Not the best, but okay. 

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The 10 inch plus storm with no mixing immediately got me to B-.  The couple of other little events, arctic air, and this get me to B maybe even a B+ the more I think about it. 

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  On 2/20/2019 at 5:18 PM, PrinceFrederickWx said:

Whomever made the forecasts at LWX looks to be spot on, though many of the experts here said the forecast was too bullish. They've been very good all winter IMBY. I don't know if you work there or what (I'm not into the whole forum clique that knows everyone in-person) so maybe your response was some kind of inside joke?

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No inside joke here. 

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