Wonderdog Posted February 16, 2019 Share Posted February 16, 2019 39 minutes ago, LP08 said: 0z for comparison. We need the better initial push. That has waned over the past couple of runs. Purples are disintegrating. I think that's a bad sign. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted February 16, 2019 Share Posted February 16, 2019 11 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: As an eagles fan it’s sad to see what Danny boy has done to a once great proud franchise. I love them but he took a proud franchise and drove it into the ground. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 16, 2019 Share Posted February 16, 2019 3 minutes ago, Wonderdog said: I'm also an EAGLES fan, and I'm thrilled to have the Skins in the NFL East, even though their games are usually close. I know...but I’m old enough to remember when we were in their place and I can sympathize. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted February 16, 2019 Share Posted February 16, 2019 1 minute ago, psuhoffman said: I know...but I’m old enough to remember when we were in their place and I can sympathize. Unfortunately, so am I. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 16, 2019 Share Posted February 16, 2019 EPS mean a slight step back, bit of improvement in south-central VA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 16, 2019 Share Posted February 16, 2019 Gotta love the Eagles fans with the bold talk after finally winning a SB....Talk smack after you have 3. With their time frame on winning one that will only take another 80 or 90 years. The Euro looks good. And I am actually happy to see a better cold push on this run. If this was going to work it was a max 4-6 type event anyways. And that is what the model still shows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 16, 2019 Share Posted February 16, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted February 16, 2019 Share Posted February 16, 2019 3 minutes ago, clskinsfan said: Gotta love the Eagles fans with the bold talk after finally winning a SB....Talk smack after you have 3. With their time frame on winning one that will only take another 80 or 90 years. The Euro looks good. And I am actually happy to see a better cold push on this run. If this was going to work it was a max 4-6 type event anyways. And that is what the model still shows. "Stay in your lane Bro". PSU expressed sympathy for current Skin fans since it was in the last century when they won anything and I expressed some sympathy for being old enough to remember the bad times Eagle fans endured which hasn't happened in the current century. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dsnowman Posted February 16, 2019 Share Posted February 16, 2019 The GFS was starting to show some transfer to the coast, thus holding things back and slowing it down. I haven’t looked at the EURO maps, are we seeing the same thing? Overall this could be a good thing. I’m more worried about temps right now, so if we get the coastal going qpf will be no problem. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jandurin Posted February 16, 2019 Share Posted February 16, 2019 Guys guys Sports watching sucks so you're all wrong Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 16, 2019 Share Posted February 16, 2019 Just now, Jandurin said: Guys guys Sports watching sucks so you're all wrong It certainly does if you are a Skins fan. No doubt about that. At least I am old enough to have enjoyed all three SB championships. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jandurin Posted February 16, 2019 Share Posted February 16, 2019 The only football team that's meaningful right now are the Patriots Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted February 16, 2019 Share Posted February 16, 2019 12 minutes ago, clskinsfan said: Gotta love the Eagles fans with the bold talk after finally winning a SB....Talk smack after you have 3. With their time frame on winning one that will only take another 80 or 90 years. The Euro looks good. And I am actually happy to see a better cold push on this run. If this was going to work it was a max 4-6 type event anyways. And that is what the model still shows. The “we used to be good” argument. Yawn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Danajames Posted February 16, 2019 Author Share Posted February 16, 2019 1 hour ago, dsnowman said: The GFS was starting to show some transfer to the coast, thus holding things back and slowing it down. I haven’t looked at the EURO maps, are we seeing the same thing? Overall this could be a good thing. I’m more worried about temps right now, so if we get the coastal going qpf will be no problem. I know it's several days out but the QPF is looking just fine...maybe around an inch. It will have plenty of moisture to work with. For us snow lovers, it's going to depend on how much cold air will be in place, how long it hangs around and obviously, the eventual track. There's definitely going to be warm air advection aloft but sometimes the CAD can be hard to erode. I'm a hard core realist for the most part but my gut is telling me that if we can pull off one more, legitimate WSW event for most of the state, this one may be the real McCoy. We shall see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 16, 2019 Share Posted February 16, 2019 3 minutes ago, Jandurin said: The only football team that's meaningful right now are the Patriots Right now? That is the only team that is meaningful in this century. I cant stand them and they are boring as hell to watch. But that is the truth. Two decades of dominance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 16, 2019 Share Posted February 16, 2019 I'm still trying to figure out how the 12z Euro is slightly colder looking at h5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 16, 2019 Share Posted February 16, 2019 2 minutes ago, C.A.P.E. said: I'm still trying to figure out how the 12z Euro is slightly colder looking at h5 A little bit stronger HP this run than 0Z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 16, 2019 Share Posted February 16, 2019 1 minute ago, clskinsfan said: A little bit stronger HP this run than 0Z. I know but the ridge is more amped/higher height anomalies. I tend to look upstairs to compare to previous runs. Doesn't always work lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGolfBro Posted February 16, 2019 Share Posted February 16, 2019 11 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: Nam extrap would be a nice front end thump beat down . However this works out it would be nice to get a few NAMMINGS over the next couple days lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted February 16, 2019 Share Posted February 16, 2019 Icon with a wetter front end thump. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 16, 2019 Share Posted February 16, 2019 2 minutes ago, LP08 said: Icon with a wetter front end thump. Yeah that would work. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted February 16, 2019 Share Posted February 16, 2019 Just now, C.A.P.E. said: Yeah that would work. Looks like 2-4 then a little ice and dry slot. At least it didn’t go the other way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 16, 2019 Share Posted February 16, 2019 NAM and Icon are tapping the gulf early in their runs. This has the potential to juice up quite a bit IMO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 16, 2019 Share Posted February 16, 2019 From Mount Holly AFD- The position the aforementioned high takes will have an impact on the ptype Wednesday, but it is interesting to note that the GFS/ECMWF/CMC all have this high moving out to sea rather quickly with approach and passage of next storm system. The high seems to be a bit too far south for a classic cold air damming situation, and winds shift to more of an easterly flow during the day Wednesday, as opposed to a north-northeast flow that is needed to support continuous widespread snow. Regardless, there will be enough cold air for precip to start out as snow throughout the whole forecast area. As the high moves offshore, winds shift to more of a south-southeast flow, and midlevel warm air will lift to the north as well. By Wednesday afternoon, precip will change to rain in Delmarva, and snow becomes a wintry mix for the rest of southeast PA and NJ. Could have a more prolonged period of freezing rain and sleet north and west of Philly, while a rain/sleet mix Wednesday afternoon for southern NJ, extreme southeast PA, and northern portions of Delmarva becomes plain rain by Wednesday evening. Rain/snow line then continues to lift north Wedensday night. Frontal boundary then becomes hung up south of Delmarva going into the end of the week, and several more waves of low pressure will develop on this boundary as high pressure builds in from the north and west. Remains to be seen what wins out for the late week period. That last part..hmm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 16, 2019 Share Posted February 16, 2019 GFS a bit better. Colder at 96 vs 102 at 12z EDIT: Actually, looks even slower onset than 12z...so maybe it's a wash Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 16, 2019 Share Posted February 16, 2019 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: GFS a bit better. Colder at 96 vs 102 at 12z EDIT: Actually, looks even slower onset than 12z...so maybe it's a wash It was a stronger high but slower again so it's not as thumpy a thump as it could've been. Plusses and minuses. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MD Snow Posted February 16, 2019 Share Posted February 16, 2019 2 minutes ago, stormtracker said: GFS a bit better. Colder at 96 vs 102 at 12z EDIT: Actually, looks even slower onset than 12z...so maybe it's a wash It's slightly slower but heavier when it gets to us compared to 12z. Better dynamic cooling etc. HPC is also slightly stronger. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 16, 2019 Share Posted February 16, 2019 Its better than 12Z. Maybe a tad slower but comes in heavy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AfewUniversesBelowNormal Posted February 16, 2019 Share Posted February 16, 2019 18z GFS is a significant improvement. All 3 storms come in colder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 16, 2019 Share Posted February 16, 2019 From Mount Holly AFD- The position the aforementioned high takes will have an impact on the ptype Wednesday, but it is interesting to note that the GFS/ECMWF/CMC all have this high moving out to sea rather quickly with approach and passage of next storm system. The high seems to be a bit too far south for a classic cold air damming situation, and winds shift to more of an easterly flow during the day Wednesday, as opposed to a north-northeast flow that is needed to support continuous widespread snow. Regardless, there will be enough cold air for precip to start out as snow throughout the whole forecast area. As the high moves offshore, winds shift to more of a south-southeast flow, and midlevel warm air will lift to the north as well. By Wednesday afternoon, precip will change to rain in Delmarva, and snow becomes a wintry mix for the rest of southeast PA and NJ. Could have a more prolonged period of freezing rain and sleet north and west of Philly, while a rain/sleet mix Wednesday afternoon for southern NJ, extreme southeast PA, and northern portions of Delmarva becomes plain rain by Wednesday evening. Rain/snow line then continues to lift north Wedensday night. Frontal boundary then becomes hung up south of Delmarva going into the end of the week, and several more waves of low pressure will develop on this boundary as high pressure builds in from the north and west. Remains to be seen what wins out for the late week period. That last part..hmmLol we cant win. Now our high is too south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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