ers-wxman1 Posted February 18, 2019 Share Posted February 18, 2019 Just now, BTRWx's Thanks Giving said: You're never this bullish. This is hUge! They named me Eeyore in banter a while back. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 18, 2019 Share Posted February 18, 2019 Just now, ers-wxman1 said: They named me Eeyore in banter a while back. I would be one of those people, and also one who has challenged you alot. I hope your call pans out and this is a great call Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ers-wxman1 Posted February 18, 2019 Share Posted February 18, 2019 Just now, yoda said: I would be one of those people, and also one who has challenged you alot. I hope your call pans out and this is a great call I’ll be the first to tell you as a Met for nearly 19 years I’ve busted my fair share of events. We all do. It’s just part of life. Forecasting an inexact science with imperfect models and in the middle of the night. I blew the Jan event. But I’ve seen a trend with private Mets to make a call the day of the event. Why not give it a try 2-3 days out, lock into the meteorology, see the pattern, let it load. I like CAD patterns. It’s not the thrill of a coastal bomb, but it gets the job done. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ers-wxman1 Posted February 18, 2019 Share Posted February 18, 2019 5 minutes ago, yoda said: I would be one of those people, and also one who has challenged you alot. I hope your call pans out and this is a great call Also, I’ve gotten more conservative with time. Experience and the school of hard knocks. Live and learn, so more pessimistic until a threat comes into view. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted February 18, 2019 Share Posted February 18, 2019 14 minutes ago, ers-wxman1 said: Also, I’ve gotten more conservative with time. Experience and the school of hard knocks. Live and learn, so more pessimistic until a threat comes into view. I have become more conservative just by being here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricanegiants Posted February 18, 2019 Share Posted February 18, 2019 Tick tock those picks are in. Euro is now in the clock. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 18, 2019 Share Posted February 18, 2019 2 minutes ago, Hurricanegiants said: Tick tock those picks are in. Euro is now in the clock. The 0z Euro just drafted Darko Milicic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 18, 2019 Share Posted February 18, 2019 1 minute ago, Deck Pic said: The 0z Euro just drafted Darko Milicic I’d much prefer Luka Doncic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 18, 2019 Share Posted February 18, 2019 Will the Euro be Jayson Tatum or Markelle Fultz? We will reveal in 20 minutes. Until then, enjoy this infomercial from JB talking about the Vodka Cold on the way in 2001-02. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grothar of Herndon Posted February 18, 2019 Share Posted February 18, 2019 1 minute ago, ravensrule said: I’d much prefer Luka Doncic. 4 minutes ago, Deck Pic said: The 0z Euro just drafted Darko Milicic As long as the last name ends in “cic” we should good for a decent snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted February 18, 2019 Share Posted February 18, 2019 5 minutes ago, Grothar of Herndon said: As long as the last name ends in “cic” we should good for a decent snow. I prefer cyc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 18, 2019 Share Posted February 18, 2019 FWIW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 18, 2019 Share Posted February 18, 2019 at 60 hour, NAM and Euro are almost identical precip shield wise and type Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 18, 2019 Share Posted February 18, 2019 Euro looks OK. Many won’t like it. I still don’t think it is a bad run. Didn’t come south. Max is well well north and west. But CAD looks better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 18, 2019 Share Posted February 18, 2019 Just now, Deck Pic said: Euro looks OK. Many won’t like it. I still don’t think it is a bad run. Didn’t come south. Max is well well north and west. But CAD looks better. yeah, that heavy band is North of the M/D line. I'm like you though, I'm fine with it. It's gon snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 18, 2019 Share Posted February 18, 2019 I’ll post maps in a few if nobody else has. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 18, 2019 Share Posted February 18, 2019 1 minute ago, Deck Pic said: Euro looks OK. Many won’t like it. I still don’t think it is a bad run. Didn’t come south. Max is well well north and west. But CAD looks better. Are the totals similar to 12Z?. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 18, 2019 Share Posted February 18, 2019 Just now, stormtracker said: yeah, that heavy band is North of the M/D line. I'm like you though, I'm fine with it. It's gon snow It could be a major frozen event in Carroll/Frederick, especially the places that can hold on to 28-30 the longest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlamSlam Posted February 18, 2019 Share Posted February 18, 2019 Less snow than the NAM? Sent from my SAMSUNG-SM-G891A using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RichmondTarHeel Posted February 18, 2019 Share Posted February 18, 2019 How bad does the ice look down here in Richmond on the Euro. This looks like a classic 32 degree rain setup for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 18, 2019 Share Posted February 18, 2019 maps coming in 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 18, 2019 Share Posted February 18, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deer Whisperer Posted February 18, 2019 Share Posted February 18, 2019 2 minutes ago, Deck Pic said: Ew Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 18, 2019 Share Posted February 18, 2019 Wed at 1 pm 850mb Temps SFC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jewell2188 Posted February 18, 2019 Share Posted February 18, 2019 Winter storm watches are up! URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 338 AM EST Mon Feb 18 2019 DCZ001-MDZ003>006-011-013-014-501>508-VAZ025>031-036>040-050>056- 501>508-WVZ050>053-055-501>506-181645- /O.NEW.KLWX.WS.A.0005.190220T0300Z-190221T0300Z/ District of Columbia-Washington-Frederick MD-Carroll- Northern Baltimore-Southern Baltimore-Prince Georges-Anne Arundel- Extreme Western Allegany-Central and Eastern Allegany- Northwest Montgomery-Central and Southeast Montgomery- Northwest Howard-Central and Southeast Howard-Northwest Harford- Southeast Harford-Augusta-Rockingham-Shenandoah-Frederick VA-Page- Warren-Clarke-Nelson-Albemarle-Greene-Madison-Rappahannock-Orange- Culpeper-Prince William/Manassas/Manassas Park-Fairfax- Arlington/Falls Church/Alexandria-Stafford-Spotsylvania- Northern Fauquier-Southern Fauquier-Western Highland- Eastern Highland-Western Loudoun-Eastern Loudoun- Northern Virginia Blue Ridge-Central Virginia Blue Ridge- Hampshire-Morgan-Berkeley-Jefferson-Hardy-Western Grant- Eastern Grant-Western Mineral-Eastern Mineral-Western Pendleton- Eastern Pendleton- 338 AM EST Mon Feb 18 2019 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING... * WHAT...Heavy snow, mixing with and eventually changing to sleet and then freezing rain. Snow accumulations of 5 or more inches and ice accumulations of a quarter-inch or greater are possible. * WHERE...The District of Columbia, Maryland east of the Appalachians and west of the Chesapeake Bay, central and northern Virginia, and the eastern West Virginia panhandle. * WHEN...From Tuesday evening through Wednesday evening. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Winter Storm Watch means there is potential for significant snow, sleet or ice accumulations that may impact travel. Continue to monitor the latest forecasts. && $$ HTS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDstorm Posted February 18, 2019 Share Posted February 18, 2019 19 minutes ago, jewell2188 said: Winter storm watches are up! Lol....and right on cue, the 06z NAM moves north and shifts the bulk of the snow/sleet into PA (ala Euro) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Round Hill WX Posted February 18, 2019 Share Posted February 18, 2019 34 minutes ago, MDstorm said: Lol....and right on cue, the 06z NAM moves north and shifts the bulk of the snow/sleet into PA (ala Euro) It’s still a major storm. The qpf dispersion is more smoothed and realistic versus the 0z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 18, 2019 Share Posted February 18, 2019 FWIW, 06z ICON shifted its heaviest snow accums south just a tad compared to 00z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 18, 2019 Share Posted February 18, 2019 2 minutes ago, yoda said: FWIW, 06z ICON shifted its heaviest snow accums south just a tad compared to 00z I think the ICONic has been the most hug worthy model for this event overall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 18, 2019 Share Posted February 18, 2019 06z GFS snowmap compared to 00z GFS... bit better into NE MD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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