Damage In Tolland Posted February 16, 2019 Share Posted February 16, 2019 19 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Places like ORH and east slope of berks may do quite well after the intial WAA pulse...the flow turns easterly in that sfc to 900mb range and that is good for them. It’s a mini 2013 Morch firehose setup. All the hills do well in SNE and unfortunately it downslopes valleys, which is showing on all guidance Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted February 16, 2019 Share Posted February 16, 2019 Also key: Southeast ridge has been improving steadily... as a result this system develops more northeast than east, and the Norlun vs. departing Miller B blend of impacts that Tip described shifts more to the latterUnfortunately not much room or time to amplify once it exits NJ, but with current guidance I could see this reaching 4-6” in parts of SNE if ridge continues as is and shortwave holds until it reaches us... Of course we are threading the needle and don’t want that shortwave too strong over IN/OH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 16, 2019 Share Posted February 16, 2019 GFS with a nice run there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 16, 2019 Share Posted February 16, 2019 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: GFS with a nice run there. 3-6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 16, 2019 Share Posted February 16, 2019 Just now, weathafella said: 3-6 What do The Muthufukkas Show? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 16, 2019 Share Posted February 16, 2019 3 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: What do The Muthufukkas Show? Too early mothufukka. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 16, 2019 Share Posted February 16, 2019 Too early muthufukkas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 16, 2019 Share Posted February 16, 2019 I could see back in the Walter Drag days of NWS tickering along the bottom of the Weather Channel ...circa 1992 .... a winter storm watch being issued over this... and the discussion that reads, " ...WITH OPT TO DOWNGRD WWA ON NEXT SHIFT/FUTURE RUN SUPPORT" In this day and age it's going to be pulling teeth to go with an advisory, though, under the same circumstances. Not intending to impugn any agencies here, but it is funny how the culture's changed - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted February 16, 2019 Share Posted February 16, 2019 4 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: I could see back in the Walter Drag days of NWS tickering along the bottom of the Weather Channel ...circa 1992 .... a winter storm watch being issued over this... and the discussion that reads, " ...WITH OPT TO DOWNGRD WWA ON NEXT SHIFT/FUTURE RUN SUPPORT" In this day and age it's going to be pulling teeth to go with an advisory, though, under the same circumstances. Not intending to impugn any agencies here, but it is funny how the culture's changed - Walt occasionally posts in the NYC forum. A terrific forecaster who took the time to explain the various outcomes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 16, 2019 Share Posted February 16, 2019 18 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: It’s a mini 2013 Morch firehose setup. All the hills do well in SNE and unfortunately it downslopes valleys, which is showing on all guidance lolwut? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 16, 2019 Share Posted February 16, 2019 1 minute ago, dendrite said: lolwut? Just a mini version of a 20-24" event. Good analog. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted February 16, 2019 Share Posted February 16, 2019 19 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: GFS with a nice run there. Wait, what? Ive been so preoccupied with guineapigs needing vet care that I have no idea where this came from...am I going to get flakes, or is this rain for me? How does it look for the franklin, bellingham, foxboro area? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted February 16, 2019 Share Posted February 16, 2019 Maybe I'm seeing this wrong, but this doesn't strike me as a firehouse analog... easterly fetch at all levels looks pretty fleeting, and the event is prolonged by some IVT convergence in its wake Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 16, 2019 Share Posted February 16, 2019 7 minutes ago, dendrite said: lolwut? Easterly inflow .. mini one . You’ll start to get it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 16, 2019 Share Posted February 16, 2019 Just now, wxsniss said: Maybe I'm seeing this wrong, but this doesn't strike me as a firehouse analog... easterly fetch at all levels looks pretty fleeting, and the event is prolonged by some IVT convergence in its wake Its nothing like that event. Hey, the event last Tuesday was like the blizzard of '78 because winds went ne for a time at the surface. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 16, 2019 Share Posted February 16, 2019 Must just be some good luck this is happening. Nothing scientific Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morch Madness Posted February 16, 2019 Share Posted February 16, 2019 New BOX map is more reasonable, though I'll take the over for NE MA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 16, 2019 Share Posted February 16, 2019 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Its nothing like that event. Hey, the event last Tuesday was like the blizzard of '78 because winds went ne for a time at the surface. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 16, 2019 Share Posted February 16, 2019 Just now, Morch Madness said: New BOX map is more reasonable, though I'll take the over for NE MA Same here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 16, 2019 Share Posted February 16, 2019 Just now, Morch Madness said: New BOX map is more reasonable, though I'll take the over for NE MA The party rages on at Gillete stadium. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 16, 2019 Share Posted February 16, 2019 4 minutes ago, #NoPoles said: Wait, what? Ive been so preoccupied with guineapigs needing vet care that I have no idea where this came from...am I going to get flakes, or is this rain for me? How does it look for the franklin, bellingham, foxboro area? See Box map. The guinea pigs are saved. Although, I would watch a little sleet taint possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 16, 2019 Share Posted February 16, 2019 Map matches muthufukkas...maybe a bit low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 16, 2019 Share Posted February 16, 2019 12z GFS argues for the best snows from just north of PVD to the NH border imo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitzbuhel Craver Posted February 16, 2019 Share Posted February 16, 2019 I guess a nice region wide 2-4? Whats the ceiling with this? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 16, 2019 Share Posted February 16, 2019 1 minute ago, Kitzbuhel Craver said: I guess a nice region wide 2-4? Whats the ceiling with this? 4.0001” seriously, maybe someone pulls a 5...but pretty light Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 16, 2019 Share Posted February 16, 2019 9 minutes ago, Kitzbuhel Craver said: I guess a nice region wide 2-4? Whats the ceiling with this? 4-8” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted February 16, 2019 Share Posted February 16, 2019 2 hours ago, Ginx snewx said: Pickles is going go down faster than he does on his GILFs, not that there is anything wrong with that Nam ramps Euro Ramps interesting I’m praying so ....but very cautious. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 16, 2019 Share Posted February 16, 2019 Thinking 1 to 3 here NAM has me nervous here in the valley of no snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 16, 2019 Share Posted February 16, 2019 1 hour ago, SnowGoose69 said: The RGEM down here would be like 5 inches at LGA and nothing at JFK lol. I’m not sure. When does the RGEM NOT verify too amped at this range? It’s fairly rare to not see whatever it shows at 40-48 tick south in the end It's been the season though to expect amped trends close in. Can't remember many events that didn't tick up a bit. Bodes well for central SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morch Madness Posted February 16, 2019 Share Posted February 16, 2019 UKIE is a big improvement from 0z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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