USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted February 15, 2019 Share Posted February 15, 2019 3 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said: A solid ADV event for SNE looks probable now. No WSWs are going up though. I think EURO caves entirely towards the GFS given that the GFS has all the support and the EURO op is on its own. GFS/NAM/RGEM/GGEM all show the potential for a significant event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 15, 2019 Share Posted February 15, 2019 1 hour ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Not really . I leave emotion out of forecasting while others struggle to. Lol yea ok. Guess you emotivelly discarded the GEFS EURO LR and scientifically came up with all that on your own. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted February 15, 2019 Share Posted February 15, 2019 18 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: We may go right to WSW Like the last storm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted February 15, 2019 Share Posted February 15, 2019 NWS Taunton now has CHH in a snow likely now for Sunday night into Monday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nianticct Posted February 15, 2019 Share Posted February 15, 2019 Who cares , that will change like the wind direction! Only thing worse is people who talk about point and click forecasts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 16, 2019 Share Posted February 16, 2019 tough expecting the Euro to cave any direction at < 4 days... if it happens...so be it... but I wouldn't be shocked just the same if the collapsing, en masse, goes toward it and not the other way around it's happen before with that particular model's acumen... barring some sort of quantized improvement by the others, probably should expect it to happen again at some point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 16, 2019 Share Posted February 16, 2019 18z euro op continues to look like crap. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 16, 2019 Share Posted February 16, 2019 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: 18z euro op continues to look like crap. Nice fronto right across LI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 16, 2019 Share Posted February 16, 2019 9 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Nice fronto right across LI It actually has high RH at H7 well to the north so perhaps the old fronto band placed further north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 16, 2019 Share Posted February 16, 2019 18z EPS looks better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 16, 2019 Share Posted February 16, 2019 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: It actually has high RH at H7 well to the north so perhaps the old fronto band placed further north. .odd Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 16, 2019 Share Posted February 16, 2019 18z GFS, not tossed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted February 16, 2019 Share Posted February 16, 2019 21z SREFS mean upped the ante, 2-3" snow mean Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunderblizzard Posted February 16, 2019 Share Posted February 16, 2019 NAM looking more amped Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 16, 2019 Share Posted February 16, 2019 00z Nammy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 16, 2019 Share Posted February 16, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 16, 2019 Share Posted February 16, 2019 Valley screw job here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
8611Blizz Posted February 16, 2019 Share Posted February 16, 2019 So it's the Euro VS. everything else? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tavwtby Posted February 16, 2019 Share Posted February 16, 2019 Berks ORH special? 2-4 everywhere else Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 16, 2019 Share Posted February 16, 2019 It'll end up being a C/S NH/VT jack with the ML fronto. Hopefully it vaporizes quickly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted February 16, 2019 Share Posted February 16, 2019 4 hours ago, Ginx snewx said: Lol yea ok. Guess you emotivelly discarded the GEFS EURO LR and scientifically came up with all that on your own. You wouldn’t complain if I said snowy, but ahhh emotion . why the Fook would I forecast what the LR gfs or Euro show this year. They shit the bed constantly . Your posts when you disagree Read like emotional knee jerk Rhea. All it takes is losing the EPO ridge and it’s ova baby. That’s all I’m sayin Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 16, 2019 Share Posted February 16, 2019 6 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: You wouldn’t complain if I said snowy, but ahhh emotion . why the Fook would I forecast what the LR gfs or Euro show this year. They shit the bed constantly . Your posts when you disagree Read like emotional knee jerk Rhea. All it takes is losing the EPO ridge and it’s ova baby. That’s all I’m sayin Don't care what you say you used an emotive response to post. That's not what you said either Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted February 16, 2019 Share Posted February 16, 2019 00z NAM is certainly amped, better lift (omega over -20 units) in the DGZ (dentrite growth zone) so snowfall rates could be quite interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted February 16, 2019 Share Posted February 16, 2019 00z GFS looks more amped down south at hour 44. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 16, 2019 Share Posted February 16, 2019 1 hour ago, ineedsnow said: Valley screw job here That gets overdone on models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 16, 2019 Share Posted February 16, 2019 Calling it over running with this thing but it clearly morphs cyclestrophic as an event ... and then ends as an inverted trough too. Wonder if there could even be a NOrland signature they're just looking at the pressure pattern Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 16, 2019 Share Posted February 16, 2019 10 minutes ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: 00z GFS looks more amped down south at hour 44. No big changes. It might have been 10 miles south of the 18Z run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 16, 2019 Share Posted February 16, 2019 The latest 00z extended RGEM shows almost the whole state of CT as ~0.4-0.6" QPF of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted February 16, 2019 Share Posted February 16, 2019 1 minute ago, SnowGoose69 said: No big changes. It might have been 10 miles south of the 18Z run It is more amped with the precipitation amounts, .5 to 1.0" of QPF over the South Coast of RI and SE MA including the Cape and Islands. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 16, 2019 Share Posted February 16, 2019 3 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Calling it over running with this thing but it clearly morphs cyclestrophic as an event ... and then ends as an inverted trough too. Wonder if there could even be a NOrland signature they're just looking at the pressure pattern Well, now I'm interested. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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