moneypitmike Posted February 17, 2019 Share Posted February 17, 2019 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: There might be a period of decent growth, but we we lose the lift near the DGX, we'll lose the fluff. Maybe in the aftn as erly flow gets established and temps drop in the 950-900 level. baking powder, ftl. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 17, 2019 Author Share Posted February 17, 2019 There could be another area of good ratios north of pike into S NH from the good midlevel banding and lift being more aligned with DGZ. Obviously we'll need the lift to be decent. Most guidance says yes but there's some that is kind of weak up there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 17, 2019 Share Posted February 17, 2019 BOX will have to expand advisories. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 17, 2019 Author Share Posted February 17, 2019 24 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Yeah, yeesh. Junk this year. The only thing that does it give me higher confidence of 2-4 at BOS. If GFS is a little juicier and euro holds maybe a 5 or 6 can't be ruled out. Some guidance like the RGEM does have a small CJ signal. Yeah. Awful job by rgem I think...but now it's congrats scooter. Lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted February 17, 2019 Share Posted February 17, 2019 Looks like a snowy day for the coast with that IVT hanging back snows until dinner time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted February 17, 2019 Share Posted February 17, 2019 2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Yeah. Awful job by rgem I think...but now it's congrats scooter. Lol. And the Cape Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rimetree Posted February 17, 2019 Share Posted February 17, 2019 What's the high end for mid-level stuff up in SE NH area? 4"? Maybe get lucky with the IVT and get 6. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 17, 2019 Author Share Posted February 17, 2019 Just now, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: And the Cape Yes. Rgem is prob too cold on the Cape though. I think you end up mixing most likely. You'll still do well but that will cut back a little on accums. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 17, 2019 Share Posted February 17, 2019 12 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: It won't be that fluffy. Cold aloft and temps mid 20’s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 17, 2019 Share Posted February 17, 2019 11 minutes ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: Yeah, won't be fluffy. Yours will be wetty Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted February 17, 2019 Share Posted February 17, 2019 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Yours will be wetty Wet snow yes, not rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 17, 2019 Share Posted February 17, 2019 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Cold aloft and temps mid 20’s It's all about lift and where DGZ is. In fact, I could see areas near s coast get crappy flakes, maybe some IP or even ZR briefly after mid morning tomorrow, before it cools aloft and begins to saturate near 700. I know weenie ptype algorithms don't show this, but it wouldn't shock me if Tblizz starts bitching about ptype for a few hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 17, 2019 Share Posted February 17, 2019 The force is strong with Jimmy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 17, 2019 Share Posted February 17, 2019 Canadian is juiced! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 17, 2019 Share Posted February 17, 2019 12 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: baking powder, ftl. MPM doing what he does best, the drive by Eyore posts . Kidding Mike, enjoy the snow. Looks like a nice widespread 3-6" for SNE with maybe a spot 7" or so in either SE MA or NCT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted February 17, 2019 Share Posted February 17, 2019 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: The force is strong with Jimmy. Harwich on the water 2.5 , while 2 miles NW sees 5” ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 17, 2019 Share Posted February 17, 2019 2 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: Canadian is juiced! Sure is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 17, 2019 Share Posted February 17, 2019 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Sure is. Genuinely happy for you guys. A nice all snow event that isn't going into the shitter as it approaches. That was a great GGEM run. Jacking the region that probably has suffered the most this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted February 17, 2019 Share Posted February 17, 2019 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Sure is. Is this because models are finally processing what will happen when this hits the thermal gradient over Gulf Stream...asking for a friend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 17, 2019 Share Posted February 17, 2019 2 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Genuinely happy for you guys. A nice all snow event that isn't going into the shitter as it approaches. That was a great GGEM run. Jacking the region that probably has suffered the most this winter. I've waited all winter to just enjoy a day off with a cup of coffee while it's snowing outside. That's all I want ...lol. It's embarrassing to admit to you given how great it's been up there, but a testament to how it's been here over the Mason/Dixon line (aka VT/NH/MA border). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 17, 2019 Share Posted February 17, 2019 8 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: It's all about lift and where DGZ is. In fact, I could see areas near s coast get crappy flakes, maybe some IP or even ZR briefly after mid morning tomorrow, before it cools aloft and begins to saturate near 700. I know weenie ptype algorithms don't show this, but it wouldn't shock me if Tblizz starts bitching about ptype for a few hours. There’s hasn’t been a post of his ever that he hasn’t whined and complained. I challenge anyone to find a positive post from him in board history. How can someone go thru life like that with the glass always empty? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 17, 2019 Share Posted February 17, 2019 Just now, CoastalWx said: I've waited all winter to just enjoy a day off with a cup of coffee while it's snowing outside. That's all I want ...lol. It's embarrassing to admit to you given how great it's been up there, but a testament to how it's been here over the Mason/Dixon line (aka VT/NH/MA border). Coffee?? Rip the IPA’s dude Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 17, 2019 Share Posted February 17, 2019 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: There’s hasn’t been a post of his ever that he hasn’t whined and complained. I challenge anyone to find a positive post from him in board history. How can someone go thru life like that with the glass always empty? LOL, well I gave him crap for months about the Patriots and the joke was on me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 17, 2019 Share Posted February 17, 2019 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Coffee?? Rip the IPA’s dude Well not at 6a lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 17, 2019 Share Posted February 17, 2019 5 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: There’s hasn’t been a post of his ever that he hasn’t whined and complained. I challenge anyone to find a positive post from him in board history. How can someone go thru life like that with the glass always empty? I think pickles has him beat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 17, 2019 Share Posted February 17, 2019 SPC HREF is darn bullish. Widespread 4-6 with pockets of 6-8 in SE areas and a few pockets south of pike. I'm not sure if it will be widespread like that, but I agree about the nrn MA/SNH/SVT area possibly in a mini jack from ratios. I know Will and others mentioned it too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted February 17, 2019 Share Posted February 17, 2019 10 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I think pickles has him beat. But I am a happy fellow . Just can’t take another day 10 looks epic post. seems like I likely will be wrong on this storm ....good actually! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 17, 2019 Share Posted February 17, 2019 1 minute ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: But I am a happy fellow . Just can’t take another day 10 looks epic post. You've right more often than not this season...just saying.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 17, 2019 Share Posted February 17, 2019 From Scoots Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 17, 2019 Share Posted February 17, 2019 Link. https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/href/index.php?model=href&product=snowfall_024h_mean&sector=ne&rd=20190217&rt=1200&postage_stamp=true Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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