CoastalWx Posted February 17, 2019 Share Posted February 17, 2019 6z euro is nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitzbuhel Craver Posted February 17, 2019 Share Posted February 17, 2019 I am liking the look of this little bugger down south, not sure if it’s a radar hallucination but seems to be gathering some strength. It’s trucking along though... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 17, 2019 Share Posted February 17, 2019 7 minutes ago, Snow88 said: 3k Nam also Looking good in SNE I am right on the boarder in sw CT. RGEM has the most. 2 to 4 looks good for SW CT now. Hoping for more. Not geographically on the boarder. Rain vs. Snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 17, 2019 Share Posted February 17, 2019 Still some decent spread in guidance pretty close in. I like 2-4” for most... maybe an isolated 5 spot for someone if everything breaks right 2-3” will be a common number I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted February 17, 2019 Share Posted February 17, 2019 1 hour ago, HoarfrostHubb said: That BOX map seems reasonable. Enjoy it SE SNE peeps I have a friend who thinks we'll hit 5" here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 17, 2019 Share Posted February 17, 2019 12 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: 6z euro is nice. How is the qpf distribution? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 17, 2019 Author Share Posted February 17, 2019 11 minutes ago, Kitzbuhel Craver said: What kind of ratios are we talking about? Doesn’t seem overly cold, 10:1, 9:1? Yeah esp down south. The best omega is below DGZ. At least on the NAM and GFS it is. I don't have cross sections for other guidance. There may be a band of good ratios further north where the crosshair sig is present. The wildcard is what ratios look like during lingering IVT stuff. Low levels get pretty cold so it could be decent. Esp near the coast where salt nuclei are dense in the atmosphere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 17, 2019 Share Posted February 17, 2019 3 minutes ago, Whineminster said: I have a friend who thinks we'll hit 5" here I would sell on that... I know some of the Mets on here keep mentioning the north side doing better, but I’m thinking in this case the north side is closer to the Pike. Foxboro jack to piss off my brother Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 17, 2019 Share Posted February 17, 2019 15 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: 6z euro is nice. Bumped slightly north You know it's nice for your area when NYC rains =) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 17, 2019 Share Posted February 17, 2019 3 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: How is the qpf distribution? Maybe .3 to .4 there? Probably some better ratios in your hood too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted February 17, 2019 Share Posted February 17, 2019 Congrats sne. This one is yoursSent from my Pixel 2 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 17, 2019 Share Posted February 17, 2019 8 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Maybe .3 to .4 there? Probably some better ratios in your hood too. Does coastal CT stay snow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted February 17, 2019 Share Posted February 17, 2019 19 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Still some decent spread in guidance pretty close in. I like 2-4” for most... maybe an isolated 5 spot for someone if everything breaks right 2-3” will be a common number I think. I think if everything breaks right..it would be like 5-7" spot 8". But I think 2-5" is reasonable with the assumption it doesnt Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted February 17, 2019 Share Posted February 17, 2019 Shortwave that powers our storm continues to look better on the HRRR guidance Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 17, 2019 Share Posted February 17, 2019 36 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: 6z euro is nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 17, 2019 Share Posted February 17, 2019 7 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Thanks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 17, 2019 Share Posted February 17, 2019 Pretty good initial burst on 12z NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted February 17, 2019 Share Posted February 17, 2019 The low-level Atlantic Ocean moisture is developing off the Cape this morning, low-level clouds are developing as easterly to southerly flow develops ahead of parent low before it weakens and transfers energy to the secondary low (coastal storm). This appears like a just south of the benchmark track will suffice for the area. I will go with the southern guidance like the RGEM/HRRR/EURO. I don't think the Cape mixes, but perhaps the islands will mix. I still like my map from earlier this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 17, 2019 Share Posted February 17, 2019 Some more stuff for your questions about 6 Z Euro. No 800 level stuff but would imagine with 7H so cold the warmest layer at max precipitation is 850. Looks good for a nice little snow. Probably just a little taint directly on the shore. Sunday Fundays Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 17, 2019 Share Posted February 17, 2019 14 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: omg we take that. Jack in the valley - meh in Tolland. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Johnno Posted February 17, 2019 Share Posted February 17, 2019 Just now, CT Rain said: omg we take that. Jack in the valley - meh in Tolland. Nice look Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Massplow Posted February 17, 2019 Share Posted February 17, 2019 What’s the approximate start and end times of this looking like Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted February 17, 2019 Share Posted February 17, 2019 9 minutes ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: The low-level Atlantic Ocean moisture is developing off the Cape this morning, low-level clouds are developing as easterly to southerly flow develops ahead of parent low before it weakens and transfers energy to the secondary low (coastal storm). This appears like a just south of the benchmark track will suffice for the area. I will go with the southern guidance like the RGEM/HRRR/EURO. I don't think the Cape mixes, but perhaps the islands will mix. I still like my map from earlier this morning. Hey James , should you rain at some point in Harwich what will you say....” I shouldn’t have ignored the Oc 850 line bc I didn’t want it to rain, I’m Just passionate” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted February 17, 2019 Share Posted February 17, 2019 Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said: Hey James , should you rain at some point in Harwich what will you say....” I shouldn’t have ignored the Oc 850 line bc I didn’t want it to rain, in Just passionate” If it rains, I was wrong, I never been ignorant and say I was never wrong, I say when I am wrong very often more so than most people ever in this world. Even if we rain for a bit, the GFS still produces a half foot of snow on Chatham. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted February 17, 2019 Share Posted February 17, 2019 3 minutes ago, Massplow said: What’s the approximate start and end times of this looking like 11pm west, 12am central and 1am eastern zones. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 17, 2019 Share Posted February 17, 2019 Looking like some girly-man snow in GC. Powdery, ftw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 17, 2019 Share Posted February 17, 2019 3km NAM is not too crazy. I'm curious to see how the rest of the 12z HREF members shake out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 17, 2019 Share Posted February 17, 2019 6z top 12z bottom Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 17, 2019 Share Posted February 17, 2019 4 minutes ago, CT Rain said: 3km NAM is not too crazy. I'm curious to see how the rest of the 12z HREF members shake out. 3k NAM has been most consistent with distribution but cut back a tad from 6z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted February 17, 2019 Share Posted February 17, 2019 3km NAM 12z run looks better for SE MA and RI, especially Cape Cod, where QPF is over a half inch to an inch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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