OceanStWx Posted February 17, 2019 Share Posted February 17, 2019 Just now, dendrite said: I guess I could lump in the ARW and NMM together as the highest QPF, but that's not a shock. So no wonder there is some SREF love tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 17, 2019 Share Posted February 17, 2019 17 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Don’t forget to log off a third of NAM qpf amounts...although I’m not sure if that old rule of thumb still holds true Looks like a nice little event. I hope Scooter, Diane, and James do well I’m doing ok relatively speaking. James and Diane are defintely in a rut. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted February 17, 2019 Share Posted February 17, 2019 Just now, CoastalWx said: I’m doing ok relatively speaking. James and Diane are defintely in a rut. Yes we are, but this system can bust through that easily. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted February 17, 2019 Share Posted February 17, 2019 Scott N. the trough is getting better organized as it moves through the region on the guidance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted February 17, 2019 Share Posted February 17, 2019 22 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: The low levels get pretty cold later in the game..like -8 to -10 near 850-900mb. The low level IVT stuff could do okay over E MA with salt nuclei on that profile. There's a window of a few hours though in between the initial surge and the later IVT stuff where the midlevels dryslot and it's not yet that cold in the lower levels. Could be even some FZDZ briefly during that or really ugly flakes. Here's ORH at 21z. I kind of like the light NE to E flow in the 900-950 layer. KBOS 15z-21z looks even better, temps down to -12 or so in 900-850, saturated, with good easterly fetch off ocean in the 900-850 level, and hopefully (I guess depending on where IVT convergence sets up?) we get some lift. Not the surest mechanics for snowfall but this isn't the season to be picky. The bulk of our accumulation would come before dawn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 17, 2019 Share Posted February 17, 2019 3k not terribly exciting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted February 17, 2019 Share Posted February 17, 2019 3 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: 3k not terribly exciting. That is the 18z run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 17, 2019 Author Share Posted February 17, 2019 5 minutes ago, wxsniss said: KBOS 15z-21z looks even better, temps down to -12 or so in 900-850, saturated, with good easterly fetch off ocean in the 900-850 level, and hopefully (I guess depending on where IVT convergence sets up?) we get some lift. Not the surest mechanics for snowfall but this isn't the season to be picky. The bulk of our accumulation would come before dawn. Yeah the lift will be key. There is weak lift in that 900mb region during the afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 17, 2019 Share Posted February 17, 2019 3 minutes ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: That is the 18z run. Thanks--missed that. Well, the 18z run wasn't that exciting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted February 17, 2019 Share Posted February 17, 2019 1 minute ago, moneypitmike said: Thanks--missed that. Well, the 18z run wasn't that exciting. Yeah the 00z was a little more exciting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 17, 2019 Share Posted February 17, 2019 This has the look of lingering light snows over most of SNE thru early afternoon Monday . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted February 17, 2019 Share Posted February 17, 2019 People could be caught quite off guard Monday morning if this keeps trending like it is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 17, 2019 Share Posted February 17, 2019 4 minutes ago, Sn0waddict said: People could be caught quite off guard Monday morning if this keeps trending like it is. A holiday for many. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted February 17, 2019 Share Posted February 17, 2019 Just now, weathafella said: A holiday for many. Oh ya forgot. Use to have it off until my company took it away from us this year hah Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 17, 2019 Share Posted February 17, 2019 Can't complain about this in a season of this ilk...plowable is a blessing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeonPeon Posted February 17, 2019 Share Posted February 17, 2019 Oz gfs ends that trend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted February 17, 2019 Share Posted February 17, 2019 3 minutes ago, NeonPeon said: Oz gfs ends that trend. What trend? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 17, 2019 Share Posted February 17, 2019 The GFS is wrong?!! I’m shocked... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeonPeon Posted February 17, 2019 Share Posted February 17, 2019 4 minutes ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: What trend? Of this being something resembling organized or marginally potent for anyone who isn't a mermaid. In other words I think we've seen an upward bound already for a weak system . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted February 17, 2019 Share Posted February 17, 2019 2 minutes ago, NeonPeon said: Of this being something resembling organized or marginally potent for anyone who isn't a mermaid Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 17, 2019 Share Posted February 17, 2019 Gfs was ok to me. Not sure why the neo melt.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 17, 2019 Share Posted February 17, 2019 Rgem is very nice for SNE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted February 17, 2019 Share Posted February 17, 2019 11 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Rgem is very nice for SNE The HRgem aint playing ball, yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 17, 2019 Share Posted February 17, 2019 Just now, The 4 Seasons said: The HRgem aint playing ball, yet. Uh? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted February 17, 2019 Share Posted February 17, 2019 1 hour ago, Snow88 said: Uh? ? i don't understand what you mean by that. You're like the model king around here, are you saying you don't know what the HRGEM is? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted February 17, 2019 Share Posted February 17, 2019 Bigger hit on Euro 0z vs. 12zMore juiced and surface low more tucked in... Every model (including GFS) has more tucked surface low Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 17, 2019 Share Posted February 17, 2019 6 minutes ago, wxsniss said: Bigger hit on Euro 0z vs. 12z More juiced and surface low more tucked in... Every model (including GFS) has more tucked surface low 4-6 on the euro. Nice lingering currier to end it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted February 17, 2019 Share Posted February 17, 2019 Yeah pretty good consensus for widespread 3-6 much of SNE... chances for higher will depend on amplifying this a tick more and quality of lingering activity after 12z Mon Can’t believe this may be our biggest snowfall of the season Jerry. I’m trying to be more selective about what I spend time analyzing / posting time, but we’ve had slim pickings this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted February 17, 2019 Share Posted February 17, 2019 EURO is 6-7" for SEMA and Cape Cod. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted February 17, 2019 Share Posted February 17, 2019 WWA here in Enfield for 2-4". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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