snowstormcanuck Posted February 17, 2019 Share Posted February 17, 2019 7 hours ago, michsnowfreak said: Me Too! Lol. I love Winter and never get tired of it. We've certainly had a better Winter here then theyve had on the East Coast, but its been much better for the Western portion of the subforum. Last Winter I ended up with 62.5" of snow, however about 53" had fallen by this point. So far this Winter season, I am at 23.9". I see with this event Chicago is going to lock in an above average snow season. I had mentioned earlier, Chicago had only beaten Detroit one Winter out of the last 8. This Winter they are well ahead. Detroit seasonal average is at 42.4", and so far this season, 24.2" has fallen so we have a ways to go. I am liking tomorrow for some fresh snow however. At 41.5" for the season, here to your east in Toronto we've had above normal snowfall to date. When I get home I'll have to check how BUF and CLE are doing for the season. Could it be a rare and elusive DTW screwhole? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ConvectiveIA Posted February 17, 2019 Share Posted February 17, 2019 6 hours ago, hawkeye_wx said: 4-6+" of snow has fallen in the greater Des Moines area in only three hours tonight. Even more now and it’s still coming down! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILSNOW Posted February 17, 2019 Share Posted February 17, 2019 Quick 1 to 1.5 from the burst of moderate snow moving thru here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted February 17, 2019 Share Posted February 17, 2019 I already had 0.7” at 7am from that initial wave of moderate heavy snow which is a good head start. LOT, DVN, and DMX radar loops all look pretty solid right now. Starting to think this is an overachiever across some portions of this area. Good radar returns about to come back into parts of western metro and nice uptick looping DVN. Latest hi res continues to suggest widespread 4-5” with higher amounts across far northeast IL from added lake enhancement/lake effect. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ams30721us Posted February 17, 2019 Share Posted February 17, 2019 14 minutes ago, Thundersnow12 said: I already had 0.7” at 7am from that initial wave of moderate heavy snow which is a good head start. LOT, DVN, and DMX radar loops all look pretty solid right now. Starting to think this is an overachiever across some portions of this area. Good radar returns about to come back into parts of western metro and nice uptick looping DVN. Latest hi res continues to suggest widespread 4-5” with higher amounts across far northeast IL from added lake enhancement/lake effect. Yep, woke up and saw that first batch lifting north and got pretty nervous, but the radar has really blossomed over the past 1-2 hours. Much more optimistic for a 3"-5" event here! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILSNOW Posted February 17, 2019 Share Posted February 17, 2019 9Z SREF plume for ORD up to 4.67 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted February 17, 2019 Share Posted February 17, 2019 I woke up to 3.4", about what was expected from the intial heavy batch. As the mid-level energy slowly moves in from the west, snow is once again expanding across Iowa. Models suggest another few inches for Cedar Rapids. South of I-80 may actually get a bit screwed by the dry slotting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted February 17, 2019 Share Posted February 17, 2019 15 minutes ago, ILSNOW said: 9Z SREF plume for ORD up to 4.67 Wrong. That includes the Wednesday system. 2.5 for this one is the mean Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted February 17, 2019 Share Posted February 17, 2019 Welp, already up to 1.6” here as of 20 mins ago. That last batch was extremely impressive and pushed the heaviest rates of the season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted February 17, 2019 Share Posted February 17, 2019 1 hour ago, snowstormcanuck said: At 41.5" for the season, here to your east in Toronto we've had above normal snowfall to date. When I get home I'll have to check how BUF and CLE are doing for the season. Could it be a rare and elusive DTW screwhole? Lol Buffalo is doing great because of Lake effect snow. Cleveland not so much. Detroit, Cleveland, pittsburgh are between 24-26", Indianapolis, Columbus, Dayton, Cincinnati are between 15-20". The east coast is a snow lovers disaster. I would not consider it a screw hole , it's just that areas just to the North and West have had above average. Definitely not DTW's year, that is for sure, but I still say we have not been in a true screw hole since 1995-96. By that I mean places all around us North South East and West are getting above average snowfall while we are not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 17, 2019 Author Share Posted February 17, 2019 1.4" so far here. Snow has started to fall again after a break in the action. HRRR/RAP/NAM3 show another 0.20-0.25" of precip on the way, so another 2-3" looks likely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILSNOW Posted February 17, 2019 Share Posted February 17, 2019 25 minutes ago, mimillman said: Wrong. That includes the Wednesday system. 2.5 for this one is the mean Sorry you are correct. Just walked the dogs just shy of 2 inches here!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ConvectiveIA Posted February 17, 2019 Share Posted February 17, 2019 I already called out of work when we got that 5-6 inch storm Monday night. Now we have this.... and I’m supposed to work at 3 and I got rear wheel drive low rider. Major snow at least 8 inches new snow have fallen with some modest drifting because it’s downtown. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted February 17, 2019 Share Posted February 17, 2019 Woke up to very large dendrites falling. Someone at ISU measured 6” about an hour ago. Think we’ll probably pick up at least another inch based off radar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILSNOW Posted February 17, 2019 Share Posted February 17, 2019 LOT update .UPDATE... 909 AM CST Snowfall rates have been impressive within pockets of moderate to briefly heavy snow this morning across the NW half of the CWA. Various reports indicate 1 to locally 3 inches has already fallen within an axis from Lee to Lake(IL) counties. Snow ratios under the heaviest snow bands appear to be 20:1 or even slightly higher. Much of this is being forced by a combo of low-level WAA/isentropic lift with some assistance from an upper trough axis wrapping around the upper low over NW IA. A notable back edge to the heavier precip rates tied to the upper trough axis is currently across the southern CWA counties and should clear the northern CWA by noon. Given the heavier snow rates across the northern Chicago Metro, had considered expanding the winter weather advisory to Kane/DuPage/Cook counties. However, with a majority of the accumulation having already occurred, higher impacts remaining confined to mainly the morning hours, and the expectation for only light snow to continue this afternoon and evening, felt an SPS was a better option to message the ongoing heavier snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted February 17, 2019 Share Posted February 17, 2019 Huge bust here. Had a feeling. Dry slot screwed me. I80 north keeps getting richer this winter. Pretty frustrating. Hoping that deformation band out by DMX can somehow get here later but thinking that will be north. Models kept showing that more precip would blow up further south and wrap into my area but that never happened Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 17, 2019 Author Share Posted February 17, 2019 Easily the best rates of the season right now. Absolute pound town out there underneath this enhanced banding. Wasn't expecting anything like this with this system, so a nice surprise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILSNOW Posted February 17, 2019 Share Posted February 17, 2019 Puking snow right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UMB WX Posted February 17, 2019 Share Posted February 17, 2019 NAM was good with showing the potential Quad area Band. Been fun riding the 12K NAM out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ams30721us Posted February 17, 2019 Share Posted February 17, 2019 20 minutes ago, cyclone77 said: Easily the best rates of the season right now. Absolute pound town out there underneath this enhanced banding. Wasn't expecting anything like this with this system, so a nice surprise. This was actually after heaviest flakes move thru, by the time I got bundled up to go out to shoot! Just raining pancakes. 62E2A9F5-E6B7-4BB5-A7CE-186B90512472.MOV Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 17, 2019 Author Share Posted February 17, 2019 The enhanced banding did work to be sure. Dropped over 1.5" in about an hour. Up to 3.1" as of 10:30am. 2nd dry slot moving in, but should fill back in by early afternoon for perhaps another inch or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted February 17, 2019 Share Posted February 17, 2019 nary a flake up here in Sheboygan...must be me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 17, 2019 Share Posted February 17, 2019 Only a light dusting here so far. Models show some redevelopment later and still looks like a rather prolonged lake snow setup (even though rates may never be that heavy), but it could remain more on the IL side for quite a while. So all in all, may still get a couple inches in an ultimate grinder event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILSNOW Posted February 17, 2019 Share Posted February 17, 2019 ended up with 3 inches here from 1st round Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted February 17, 2019 Share Posted February 17, 2019 I'm sitting at 4.2 inches. These bands keep lifting north of Cedar Rapids, allowing the dry slot to poke in here. I really hope this latest band can remain over us so we can reach six inches. 1 hour ago, StormChaser4Life said: Huge bust here. Had a feeling. Dry slot screwed me. I80 north keeps getting richer this winter. Pretty frustrating. Hoping that deformation band out by DMX can somehow get here later but thinking that will be north. Models kept showing that more precip would blow up further south and wrap into my area but that never happened Yeah, southeast Iowa is getting the shaft as well, just like last storm(no mix this time, just a dry slot). Down by Keokuk there isn't even an inch on the ground. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DaveNay Posted February 17, 2019 Share Posted February 17, 2019 Strong DAB here. -RN at the moment. Sent from my Nexus 5X using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted February 17, 2019 Share Posted February 17, 2019 I'm up to 5.1". As expected, this wave moving across Iowa this afternoon is dropping nice, fluffy dendrites. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary67 Posted February 17, 2019 Share Posted February 17, 2019 2.5" down here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
knifeparty Posted February 17, 2019 Share Posted February 17, 2019 Bit less then 1/2 inch here on Chicago westside from this mornings burst. Not much of anything since. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 17, 2019 Author Share Posted February 17, 2019 31 minutes ago, hawkeye_wx said: I'm up to 5.1". As expected, this wave moving across Iowa this afternoon is dropping nice, fluffy dendrites. Very nice! Some nice enhancement from your area towards the nose of Iowa on radar atm. How much do you have on the ground total now? Just started to snow again after a break. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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