MD Snow Posted February 13, 2019 Share Posted February 13, 2019 1 minute ago, snjókoma said: GFS goes the southern slider on Saturday, cutter on Sunday route. WAit, it followed the Icon’s lead? I thought that model was a joke?!? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 13, 2019 Share Posted February 13, 2019 GFS goes the southern slider on Saturday, cutter on Sunday route. Just embarrassing. Like watching a dc sports team inventing new ways to lose Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MD Snow Posted February 13, 2019 Share Posted February 13, 2019 Just now, Ji said: 3 minutes ago, snjókoma said: GFS goes the southern slider on Saturday, cutter on Sunday route. Just embarrassing. Like watching a dc sports team inventing new ways to lose Don’t worry, no way these are final solutions...still tons of time. Gfs is close with both. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MD Snow Posted February 13, 2019 Share Posted February 13, 2019 Canadian basically gives us 3 straight rain storms. lol. Just trying to remind us that we can still fail even when we’re to busy fighting over the feet of snow on the GEFS clown maps... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 13, 2019 Share Posted February 13, 2019 7 minutes ago, Ji said: 10 minutes ago, snjókoma said: GFS goes the southern slider on Saturday, cutter on Sunday route. Just embarrassing. Like watching a dc sports team inventing new ways to lose Get a grip Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AfewUniversesBelowNormal Posted February 13, 2019 Share Posted February 13, 2019 This low over southern Canada is not what you want to see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MD Snow Posted February 13, 2019 Share Posted February 13, 2019 5 minutes ago, AfewUniversesBelowNormal said: This low over southern Canada is not what you want to see. Yup, especially when this thread is dedicated to threats on the 16 and 17th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 13, 2019 Share Posted February 13, 2019 Euro looks best its ever looked for Saturday. Flush hit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MountainGeek Posted February 13, 2019 Share Posted February 13, 2019 1 hour ago, Ji said: Euro looks best its ever looked for Saturday. Flush hit Not bad at this range - under 100 hrs and not playing Dr No. for once. I'd prefer a Euro hit over Icon and FV3 combined. You have precip maps? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 13, 2019 Share Posted February 13, 2019 5 hours ago, MD Snow said: Yeah it goes slider Saturday and cutter Sunday...weird... Not weird...stringer cutter suppressed saturday, weaker storm Saturday cannot suppress Sunday wave. It’s a legit option. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 13, 2019 Share Posted February 13, 2019 6z Gfs and fv3 say miss south/north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 13, 2019 Share Posted February 13, 2019 Just now, psuhoffman said: 6z Gfs and fv3 say miss south/north Close enough for Sat for me to stay interested. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 13, 2019 Share Posted February 13, 2019 3 minutes ago, BristowWx said: Close enough for Sat for me to stay interested. Yea im firmly half way in between both here lol. Not even sure which way to root. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Herb@MAWS Posted February 13, 2019 Share Posted February 13, 2019 Keeping hopes alive, NCEP extended forecast narrative at least has us in the game. Of course, "Mid Atlantic" has many different meanings to us. From NCEP's 2/13 early morning discussion: THE ACTIVE SOUTHERN STREAM STORM TRACK SETTING UP WILL MEAN A PERIOD OF GENERALLY WET CONDITIONS FOR AREAS FROM THE SOUTHERN PLAINS TO THE EASTERN SEABOARD. LOW PRESSURE TRAVERSING THE SOUTHEAST/SOUTHERN MID-ATLANTIC ON SAT COULD PRODUCE AN AREA OF RELATIVELY LIGHT SNOWS NORTH OF THE SYSTEM ACROSS THE MID-ATLANTIC, WITH LIGHT TO MODERATE RAINS FOR PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEAST. THE NEXT FRONTAL WAVE ON SUN MAY BRING ANOTHER ROUND OF LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN/SNOW TO PORTIONS OF THE MID-ATLANTIC AND SOUTHEAST. THE MORE SIGNIFICANT LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG THE WESTERN GULF COAST EARLY NEXT WEEK WILL HAVE ACCESS TO MUCH DEEPER MOISTURE COURTESY OF THE AMPLIFYING TROUGH TO THE WEST AND SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE EAST, AND THIS SYSTEM LOOKS TO BE A MAJOR PRECIPITATION PRODUCER. ISENTROPIC LIFT ACROSS A LINGERING POLAR FRONT AHEAD OF THE DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE WIDESPREAD MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN FROM PORTIONS OF THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY TO THE SOUTHEAST AND TENNESSEE VALLEYS LATE MON INTO TUE/WED. COLDER AIR TO THE NORTH OF THE SYSTEM MAY RESULT IN AN AREA OF WINTRY PRECIPITATION FROM PORTIONS OF THE MID-MISSISSIPPI VALLEY TO THE MID-ATLANTIC. CURRENT MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS SOME POTENTIAL FOR A SIGNIFICANT WINTER WEATHER EVENT ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE MID-ATLANTIC ON TUE, WITH SNOW, SLEET, AND FREEZING RAIN ALL POSSIBLE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Danajames Posted February 13, 2019 Share Posted February 13, 2019 GFS 0600 run has the Sunday system suppressed south of MD for the most part. Maybe extreme southern MD might pick up some wintry precipitation. The storm on Tuesday however, looks promising, although that one will be a close call also as far as the rain/snow line, similar to what we all experienced on Monday. It will be interesting to see how that declination between a cold rain and frozen precipitation evolves over the next several days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 13, 2019 Share Posted February 13, 2019 5 hours ago, Ji said: Euro looks best its ever looked for Saturday. Flush hit So what did it look like? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 13, 2019 Share Posted February 13, 2019 1 minute ago, leesburg 04 said: So what did it look like? 6z should be out soon. That should clear things up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 13, 2019 Share Posted February 13, 2019 5 minutes ago, leesburg 04 said: So what did it look like? stronger and more north than GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted February 13, 2019 Share Posted February 13, 2019 Euro... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 13, 2019 Share Posted February 13, 2019 2 minutes ago, Ji said: stronger and more north than GFS One storm at a time man...screw patterns...each storm is it's own deal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted February 13, 2019 Share Posted February 13, 2019 3 minutes ago, LP08 said: Euro... Nice run for us but a pretty narrow stripe, definitely not time to spike the football yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 13, 2019 Share Posted February 13, 2019 Just now, LP08 said: Euro... So 18z went South of 12z and 0z came back north a bit...other models are south of this at the moment....my guess is 12z Euro pushes a bit north but to me the envelope is between 1-70 and I-64 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 13, 2019 Share Posted February 13, 2019 One storm at a time man...screw patterns...each storm is it's own deal.I thought I looked at the wrong thing last night cause after the euro...this thread got crickets.6z euro and 18z euro maps should be banned Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterymix Posted February 13, 2019 Share Posted February 13, 2019 6 minutes ago, LP08 said: Euro... Nice...if only it gets more juice and slips north by 15 miles...is that too much to ask for? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted February 13, 2019 Share Posted February 13, 2019 2 minutes ago, DCTeacherman said: Nice run for us but a pretty narrow stripe, definitely not time to spike the football yet. Yeah. Seems this one witll have a stripe on the northern edge of precip. Anywhere from EZF to PSU-land Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 13, 2019 Share Posted February 13, 2019 1 minute ago, Ji said: I thought I looked at the wrong thing last night cause after the euro...this thread got crickets. 6z euro and 18z euro maps should be banned Historically when euro goes from way North to South to halfway back north that says narrowing the zone...but I'm just a sarcastic ass so what do I know. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 13, 2019 Share Posted February 13, 2019 16 hours ago, NorthArlington101 said: For reference 12z yesterday dont have an 18z image but description was way south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 13, 2019 Share Posted February 13, 2019 12 minutes ago, LP08 said: Euro... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 13, 2019 Share Posted February 13, 2019 All of that said if all of 12z guidance goes wagons south today then hope not too far so the bump back north on Friday doesn't have far to go Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted February 13, 2019 Share Posted February 13, 2019 I mean we are looking at like a 100 mile swath (north-south) of snow. Any deviation north or south will put us outside of the main snow when using the 00z euro as a basis of control. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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