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February 12th-14 Redeveloper Nowcast/Obs


Baroclinic Zone

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3 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

I’m buying that prolonged cooler mid levels for areas further EAST in SNE and NE . How long is a good question but BOS holds on longer than ORH and probably even FIT .

essex county is trending bullish . Thinking widespread 6 there now 

while areas at same latitude and further west may see 1-2” less

It won't be long, probably an extra 30 minutes. But we take.

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All the short term mesos have def gotten more bullish for snow...esp near BOS compared to prior runs. RAP and RPM both now give BOS 6 inches and HRRR is close with 5". Its trended slightly colder, but the biggest reason is the thump looks better too....it's giving some pretty good rates for a while instead of half inch per hour stuff.

We'll see....I'd like to see a lot of 3" amounts by 21z at latest to believe 6"+ in those areas.

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20 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

I’m buying that prolonged cooler mid levels for areas further EAST in SNE and NE . How long is a good question but BOS holds on longer than ORH and maybe even FIT . KBVY is a decent sneaky locale tonite for this 

essex county is trending bullish . Thinking widespread 6 there now 

while areas at same latitude and further west may see 1-2” less

Welcome to the club.

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22 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Welcome to the club.

Still,Thoughts haven’t changed much for this event .

2-4” S of pike (Away from coast) 3-6 N of pike up to say Nashua to Hampton NH. Like the 5,6’s near Amesbury , Beverly, Topsfield etc 

Either way, it’s a moderate fun event that’s pretty much all frozen 

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8 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

Still,Thoughts haven’t changed much for this event .

2-4” S of pike (Away from coast) 3-6 N of pike up to say Nashua to Hampton NH. Like the 5,6’s near Amesbury , Beverly, Topsfield etc 

Either way, it’s a moderate fun event that’s pretty much all frozen 

Nashua is not seeing 3".

That range is too low.

I trimmed mine back from 5-8" to 5-7" because I don't feel 8" is likely enough.

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