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Winter Re-Awakening - February 12-14th Redeveloper


Baroclinic Zone

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6 minutes ago, WxBlue said:

I've been telling people here to expect 4-8" before sleet move in. I have a hard time trusting higher amounts when we kept underperforming our events this winter. Plus, 3-km NAM isn't too excited about us getting more than 6".

Yeah...I am thinking 4-6" for my area with a bit of sleet to pack it down...Will look nice for 2 days at least

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2 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

Yeah...I am thinking 4-6" for my area with a bit of sleet to pack it down...Will look nice for 2 days at least

I am thinking for my neck of the woods, a good 6-8 inches with some sleet and freezing rain mixed in.  Elevation will likely be key here and I am banking on the fact my WRF runs are correct.  Lost the canopy of one of my trees Friday night, so a little worried with freezing rain what it will do to the rest of the tree...

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Man. GFS is frigid in midlevels. Warmest layer at BOS is like -3.5C at 00z while the NAM is just starting to ping there at that time. 

I would believe the NAM sounding more but even if it was a 70/30 or 80/20 compromise, that matters a lot for those areas. 

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8 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Man. GFS is frigid in midlevels. Warmest layer at BOS is like -3.5C at 00z while the NAM is just starting to ping there at that time. 

I would believe the NAM sounding more but even if it was a 70/30 or 80/20 compromise, that matters a lot for those areas. 

Jeez, the GFS is the polar (pun intended) opposite of the NAM.  GFS dropping 4-6" in TAN area vs the NAM 2-3" 

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23 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Man. GFS is frigid in midlevels. Warmest layer at BOS is like -3.5C at 00z while the NAM is just starting to ping there at that time. 

I would believe the NAM sounding more but even if it was a 70/30 or 80/20 compromise, that matters a lot for those areas. 

Why was GFS so warm Jan 19 and now so cold (in a Warmer swfe)?

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