AppsRunner Posted February 12, 2019 Author Share Posted February 12, 2019 Final total here about 3-3.5". Still have yet to eclipse 4" from an event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RyanDe680 Posted February 12, 2019 Share Posted February 12, 2019 17 hours ago, Maneee said: I was reading this feeling immense appreciation for LOT. They improve every single year and they keep us appraised of all forecast changes and thought processes. 11 hours ago, Chicago Storm said: Not only is LOT doing a horrendous job, but DVN is following as well. Ice accums by GBG have exceeded the forecast and are in warning criteria range now. . Classic internet posts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted February 12, 2019 Share Posted February 12, 2019 Lots of power outages at home im told. Really bad ice storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted February 12, 2019 Share Posted February 12, 2019 What. A. Disaster. At least 0.25” of ice and probably 4” of snow total. Could’ve been a 6” storm easy if the warm nose did was it was supposed to. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbo Posted February 12, 2019 Share Posted February 12, 2019 2 hours ago, josh_4184 said: Looking pretty good for you Bo, seems like the UP has been really cashing in on synoptic events this year. Looks like 8-10 for me with a little LES behind it. Kinda seems that way, but most areas here are still normal to a little below for the season but probably not after today. Latest 3k NAM (Kuchera ratios, 24" imby by 7 am). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted February 12, 2019 Share Posted February 12, 2019 23 minutes ago, RyanDe680 said: Classic internet posts. They were both right. There should be much appreciation. The forecast was clearly wrong, and it should have been clear by 7:30 PM that freezing rain in a good chunk of the area was going to be the predominant precip. type. Odd thing is as I pointed out yesterday there discussion points hit on the potential hazards but didn't translate to the actual forecast. Granted, it was a complicated call for sure. But even today, a wind advisory when they are calling for 1-2 " of afternoon/PM snowfall with 35 mph wind gusts/blowing snow with minimum .25 ice on trees maybe underdoing the potential hazards. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TravisWx Posted February 12, 2019 Share Posted February 12, 2019 Puking snow right now in Rogers City, MI with sustained 20mph winds, gusting to 32mph. It hasn’t come down this heavy all winter. 12z HRRR shows 15-18" of accumulation between now and 00z Thursday. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted February 12, 2019 Share Posted February 12, 2019 MKX catching some flack as well (as I think they probably should) for waiting so long to upgrade Milwaukee and Waukesha counties to a Winter Storm Warning. My grid yesterday morning had 2-4" last night, up to an inch during the day, and area wide we have well over 6" I believe right now. All models yesterday showed at least a half foot across the metro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
whoosh Posted February 12, 2019 Share Posted February 12, 2019 filtered for windspeeds >=20 (mph) EDD w/AirMass Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 12, 2019 Share Posted February 12, 2019 Messy out there this morning though roads seemed to be ok. Now have fog. At this rate I doubt all the ice melts off the trees before it drops below freezing, but that tree pic that was posted earlier, yikes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCNYILWX Posted February 12, 2019 Share Posted February 12, 2019 .54” of ice. Going to be a big issue as this certainly won’t melt off before the wind starts. Where in DeKalb County are you? I can forward your report to the office for an LSR if you haven't yet. Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UMB WX Posted February 12, 2019 Share Posted February 12, 2019 High end advisory stuff on the southern edge of MKE County. I absolutely would have included MKE and Waukesha but with it coming in two waves, possible taint and dryslot it wasn't a slam dunk. The timing of the heavy snow was definitely going to cause issues and what do you know the NAM was right on the money along with the big grande cheese EURO in this one up here. QPF amounts were there for me to AUTO Warning this for all of Southern, WI. Somehow stayed 99% snow here but the first 1/3 of the storm was a pixie joke as usual in MBY like every event this winter. Winter storms are so finicky and this will have been a good lessons learned event Dammed if you do and Dammed if you don't for LOT and MKE offices. Good thing Cyclone low balled his area and didn't go with the ChiStorm model output. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RyanDe680 Posted February 12, 2019 Share Posted February 12, 2019 2 minutes ago, RCNYILWX said: Where in DeKalb County are you? I can forward your report to the office for an LSR if you haven't yet. Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk I am out in Oak Brook and I see the landscape littered with trees that look like that. Its going to be a disaster once winds pick up. The fog has settled on the trees and wires all over here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted February 12, 2019 Share Posted February 12, 2019 3.5 miles SW of KDKB. (Route 23/Gurler Rd area) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
whoosh Posted February 12, 2019 Share Posted February 12, 2019 filtered for temps >=33 ...... sounds & sights of melting here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted February 12, 2019 Share Posted February 12, 2019 Some photos. A bit of melting is underway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted February 12, 2019 Share Posted February 12, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted February 12, 2019 Share Posted February 12, 2019 In Iowa City, I just measured 4.2" and 0.25-0.3" of ice. Family in Hiawatha sent me a picture measuring 8.2". Given precip has mostly stopped, these will be my totals for this storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted February 12, 2019 Share Posted February 12, 2019 Good thing Cyclone low balled his area and didn't go with the ChiStorm model output. That’s not how you forecast though. You have to go with model guidance, and forecast based off of that. You can’t just go off of a hunch, that’s not how it works. Cyclone has low-balled his area every storm this season, except for this one. The problem is offices stuck with their original forecasts and did not alter things until it was much to late, LOT most significantly. It was pretty clear by 6-7PM that this was going to be an ice event for most areas and not a bigger snow or sleet event. However, LOT for example didn’t really catch up until several hours later. While NAM performed the best, it was even way off...with the snow/freezing rain line having made it into S. Wisconsin and north of DBQ. The warm “wedge” aloft was actually deeper and warmer than modeled by any guidance as well. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted February 12, 2019 Share Posted February 12, 2019 The Toledo area had storm reports of 0.3" of ice and 0.4" of ice. That's got to be a pretty bad one. I don't know when the last time when Toledo had that much ice accumulation. In my years of living in Ohio and Michigan, I don't recall any ice accumulations greater than 0.25", but there may have been some icing greater than that in 1990. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 12, 2019 Share Posted February 12, 2019 Looks like there could be a window of 45-50 mph gusts later. But even without that, several hours of 40+ mph potential. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted February 12, 2019 Share Posted February 12, 2019 Looks like there could be a window of 45-50 mph gusts later. But even without that, several hours of 40+ mph potential. With temps still only 32/33 around the area and slow melting, things are looking prime for tree damage/power outages.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 12, 2019 Share Posted February 12, 2019 3 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said: With temps still only 32/33 around the area and slow melting, things are looking prime for tree damage/power outages. . Yeah, it should take more of a toll on the power grid compared to what has already happened. Subfreezing temps advancing through IL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted February 12, 2019 Share Posted February 12, 2019 14 hours ago, Hoosier said: Time to bust this out? I've never known if winds refers to sustained or gusts... Figured I would give this a bump since we have widespread .4”+ reports with wind incoming... edit: back under freezing, not hearing nearly as much dripping/melting. Going to be an interesting afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted February 12, 2019 Share Posted February 12, 2019 2 minutes ago, SchaumburgStormer said: Figured I would give this a bump since we have widespread .4”+ reports with wind incoming... edit: back under freezing, not hearing nearly as much dripping/melting. Going to be an interesting afternoon. Based on your ice accretion and winds likely over 35mph that would put you in the 4 category. Yikes. Your pictures are incredible! That's a lot of ice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted February 12, 2019 Share Posted February 12, 2019 Ripping big ole flakes here right now. Thankfully the ice melted off the trees and lines around here. But the sidewalks and side streets are a different story... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maneee Posted February 12, 2019 Share Posted February 12, 2019 3 hours ago, RyanDe680 said: Classic internet posts. Yeah-- oh well. My comment was directed at LOT as a whole, not how the dealt with this storm. Also that comment was in reference to how bad GRR is and how I feel lucky to be in LOT CWA. Ah, well. The internet is the internet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
madwx Posted February 12, 2019 Share Posted February 12, 2019 7.2" at MSN, with a bit more possible this afternoon. Continuing our run of very solid but not spectacular snowstorms. We were actually below our seasonal average to date in snow before this storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maneee Posted February 12, 2019 Share Posted February 12, 2019 Also don't know if this link is out already but this was inbedded in tom skillings post about the income winds. https://www.windy.com/-Wind-gusts-gust?namConus,gust,42.082,-85.210,6,i:pressure Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 12, 2019 Share Posted February 12, 2019 Snow picking up here. Actually not a great thing because it is wet so it will be adding to the branches. Best overlap with highest winds and most remaining ice around Chicago metro looks to be roughly between I-90 and I-80. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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