AppsRunner Posted February 7, 2019 Share Posted February 7, 2019 Figured it's worth starting a thread as we're now within a week. Good support for a storm somewhere in the subforum early next week. Euro/GFS/FV3 all point to a potentially significant winter storm, and the euro ensembles have some strong solutions going from the OK panhandle to as far west as MSP and as far east as BUF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary67 Posted February 7, 2019 Share Posted February 7, 2019 12ZGFS weaker and SE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimChgo9 Posted February 7, 2019 Share Posted February 7, 2019 GFS has been showing something in this time frame for a few days now, so we will see how it pans out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted February 7, 2019 Share Posted February 7, 2019 whole different look on today's globals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UMB WX Posted February 8, 2019 Share Posted February 8, 2019 Real cute GFS run tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted February 8, 2019 Share Posted February 8, 2019 6 minutes ago, UMB WX said: Real cute GFS run tonight. Yea it was wagons nw. Lol. Funny because 12z run was weak and south. Far from knowing what this will do. I'm leaning towards north and strong Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UMB WX Posted February 8, 2019 Share Posted February 8, 2019 0z is famous for crushing dreams. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCNYILWX Posted February 8, 2019 Share Posted February 8, 2019 The huge run to run swings the past few days on the operational models show that we won't know much on this system for a few days. Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chuckster2012 Posted February 8, 2019 Share Posted February 8, 2019 More rain.....Over it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mississaugasnow Posted February 8, 2019 Share Posted February 8, 2019 The first one has a decent chance at front end snow for some that have seen mostly rain. The storm right after it (14-16) might be a bit better for the southern and eastern sub. Way to far away just keeping my eye on that one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted February 8, 2019 Share Posted February 8, 2019 Canadian is my model of choice here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TimChgo9 Posted February 8, 2019 Share Posted February 8, 2019 Overall, beyond the potential being discussed here, it looks pretty active through the end of the month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 8, 2019 Share Posted February 8, 2019 37 minutes ago, Baum said: Canadian is my model of choice here. Now why would that be? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 8, 2019 Share Posted February 8, 2019 At this point the thing I have relatively high confidence in is starting as snow, as there should be enough cold air left behind after that first system. Then very well could transition to ice and rain, but we'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 8, 2019 Share Posted February 8, 2019 Surface low goes over Chicago on 12z Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted February 8, 2019 Share Posted February 8, 2019 9 minutes ago, Hoosier said: Surface low goes over Chicago on 12z Euro. haven't seen a precip plot, but thinking that's still a decent hit for us given the movement of the low pressure E/SE out of the plains into W/C Illinois and than heading NE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 8, 2019 Share Posted February 8, 2019 14 minutes ago, Baum said: haven't seen a precip plot, but thinking that's still a decent hit for us given the movement of the low pressure E/SE out of the plains into W/C Illinois and than heading NE Verbatim for Chicago it's a couple inches on the front end, then ice with perhaps a bit of plain rain, then ending with a few inches of snow. Much better just north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary67 Posted February 8, 2019 Share Posted February 8, 2019 4 minutes ago, Hoosier said: Verbatim for Chicago it's a couple inches on the front end, then ice with perhaps a bit of plain rain, then ending with a few inches of snow. Much better just north. The NW burbs fare any better or is just north meaning S.WI? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 8, 2019 Share Posted February 8, 2019 6 minutes ago, Cary67 said: The NW burbs fare any better or is just north meaning S.WI? I mean just north. For example, most of Lake county IL would be a solid 8-10"+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 8, 2019 Share Posted February 8, 2019 This one has a nice moisture feed from the Gulf. The Sunday system actually helps to prime things a bit. Obviously going to get a south to north changeover of precip types with time but it could be a nice burst of snow initially in the areas that do warm up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted February 8, 2019 Share Posted February 8, 2019 Looking like we see some fresh powder on sunday here, and then an early guess for Tuesday would be snow to mix to rain ending az snow. I will be in the upper peninsula Tuesday, so have my standby snow measurer to let me know how much we got at home while I will be enjoying a UP snowstorm! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
whoosh Posted February 9, 2019 Share Posted February 9, 2019 Monday ... evening rush ... that truck stop on I-80 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted February 9, 2019 Share Posted February 9, 2019 Latest Euro has lots of snowfall for northern Iowa, Wisconsin, and Minnesota Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
outflow Posted February 9, 2019 Share Posted February 9, 2019 18z Gfs with one hell of a 1-2 punch next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted February 9, 2019 Share Posted February 9, 2019 The 18z Canadian is absolute gold for Toronto - would potentially drop 10-12" on the city. Kind of reminds me of February 21-22, 1993. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted February 9, 2019 Share Posted February 9, 2019 16 minutes ago, Ottawa Blizzard said: The 18z Canadian is absolute gold for Toronto - would potentially drop 10-12" on the city. Kind of reminds me of February 21-22, 1993. Where can you view the 18Z Canadian? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted February 9, 2019 Share Posted February 9, 2019 1 hour ago, whoosh said: Monday ... evening rush ... that truck stop on I-80 best post of the new year. No surprise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 9, 2019 Share Posted February 9, 2019 43 minutes ago, michsnowfreak said: Where can you view the 18Z Canadian? http://meteocentre.com/numerical-weather-prediction/map-explorer.php?mod=gemglb&run=18&stn=PNM&hh=000&map=na&stn2=PNM&run2=00&mod2=gemglb&hh2=000&comp=1&fixhh=1&lang=fr&yyyy=latest&mm=latest&dd=latest&mode=latest&stn2_type=prog&date_type=dateo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILSNOW Posted February 9, 2019 Share Posted February 9, 2019 Its the NAM but now showing more of an ice event on 0Z vs 18Z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted February 9, 2019 Share Posted February 9, 2019 1 hour ago, michsnowfreak said: Where can you view the 18Z Canadian? http://collaboration.cmc.ec.gc.ca/cmc/cmdn/pcpn_type/pcpn_type_gem_reg.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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