Bob Chill Posted February 9, 2019 Share Posted February 9, 2019 3 minutes ago, BaltimoreWxGuy said: Has for like 3-4,runs in a row now The main difference with the ukie is temps. Otherwise it's in the same general ballpark as everything else. Euro is close to a nice event for MD. Precip when the column is good is light. Change that and the midlevels will be colder by default. Gfs is the warmest but it's also scoring poorly. Any of the global ops could be correct. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 9, 2019 Share Posted February 9, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 9, 2019 Share Posted February 9, 2019 1 hour ago, NorthArlington101 said: I think this is counting sleet as snow, in fact it most likely is. Look at the meteogram off the ukmet for DC. It has one tiny window where the 850s are below zero while the rest is above zero. Yet the map above is showing 8-10 there. To me the more logical thing to use that map for is just how much qpf falls as frozen or freezing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 9, 2019 Share Posted February 9, 2019 54 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: Euro didn't go wagons south but at least went shopping carts south. Better, colder, frozener but won't make nova or dc folks too happy. At least it was a shift colder. I'm huggin the ukie anyway It was better than 0z but worse than 6z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted February 9, 2019 Share Posted February 9, 2019 4 minutes ago, tombo82685 said: I think this is counting sleet as snow, in fact it most likely is. Look at the meteogram off the ukmet for DC. It has one tiny window where the 850s are below zero while the rest is above zero. Yet the map above is showing 8-10 there. To me the more logical thing to use that map for is just how much qpf falls as frozen or freezing. That makes sense.... otherwise it looks way too good to be true. I'm not getting a 14" snowstorm on Tuesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted February 9, 2019 Share Posted February 9, 2019 4 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: It was better than 0z but worse than 6z. Yeah that's definitely a little worse than 6z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted February 9, 2019 Share Posted February 9, 2019 46 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: This has warning level event written all over it for esp i70 north and the typical favored areas . If had to put a forecast out right now . I'd say 3-6" of total snow/ sleet acc and .10"-.30" icing i70 north for the 3 day totals . Not bad for a storm that cuts to Sault Ste. Marie. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 9, 2019 Share Posted February 9, 2019 Well, it's about time to call it for me. I think Frederick on north looks good for some real fun. Not afraid to admit at this point that I'm a little shaken as far as the rest of the month goes. Thankfully, I've diversified my hobbies for the winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 9, 2019 Share Posted February 9, 2019 12 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: It was better than 0z but worse than 6z. I never looked at 6z. Getting close to narrow goal posts here. I'm not expecting anything exciting in my yard. Whatever happens is fine. If I can get a couple hours of decent snowfall then it's a win. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted February 9, 2019 Share Posted February 9, 2019 Hoepefully the first wave over performs. That will be the key to a good event along I70. We have 24hrs of snow, maybe we can actually get some accumulation Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 9, 2019 Share Posted February 9, 2019 Expecting mostly rain here...good luck to those north of 70 who look to do well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
peribonca Posted February 9, 2019 Share Posted February 9, 2019 I really like that surface wind on the ukmet which is feeding into the cad Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dallen7908 Posted February 9, 2019 Share Posted February 9, 2019 The Euro gives DCA > 5" of precipitation over the next 7 days half of which falls during this system, let's obsess over the 0.1" (almost) that is forecast to be snow. Verbatim, 850 temperatures rise above 0C around midnight Monday morning; before which approximately 0.08" of precipitation falls. They then increase slowly and don't exceed 2 celsius until 0230 AM Tuesday before which approximately 0.5" of precipitation falls. 850 temperatures exceed 10 celsius by 7 PM Tuesday evening 1000-500 hPa thickness start at 544 dm and rise slowly. 1000-850 thickness remain steady at 130-131 dm until about 0230 AM Tuesday when they begin rising rapidly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 9, 2019 Share Posted February 9, 2019 32 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Well, it's about time to call it for me. I think Frederick on north looks good for some real fun. Not afraid to admit at this point that I'm a little shaken as far as the rest of the month goes. Thankfully, I've diversified my hobbies for the winter. Ever try a DFH 120 min IPA? Try one. Just one. You will feel like you drank a bottle of wine, but better. Great food value in this stuff too. I'm ready for the NAMz, and Happy hour GFS(although I know it will suck). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jandurin Posted February 9, 2019 Share Posted February 9, 2019 I've had it from the tap at DFH alehouse Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 9, 2019 Share Posted February 9, 2019 Just now, Jandurin said: I've had it from the tap at DFH alehouse Always the best. In Milton? Or Rehoboth? I have done 2 tours at the brewery in Milton and they have everything but the 120, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 9, 2019 Share Posted February 9, 2019 EPS fwiw at this range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deer Whisperer Posted February 9, 2019 Share Posted February 9, 2019 1 minute ago, C.A.P.E. said: EPS fwiw at this range. not terrible Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 9, 2019 Share Posted February 9, 2019 Just now, Deer Whisperer said: not terrible Well, it concurs with the op, as expected. Pretty good if you ask me. From this point on, the Mesos will further enlighten us, I'm sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MD Snow Posted February 9, 2019 Share Posted February 9, 2019 18z 12k nam improved 850’s slightly with the first wave. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 9, 2019 Author Share Posted February 9, 2019 You know we’ve all gotten enough snow this winter not to be terrible junkies just because everyone’s too good for an inch or four of slop. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deer Whisperer Posted February 9, 2019 Share Posted February 9, 2019 sunday night still looks good for a sloppy mess in nova and more snow vs sleet/frz rain in md Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted February 9, 2019 Share Posted February 9, 2019 14 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: You know we’ve all gotten enough snow this winter not to be terrible junkies just because everyone’s too good for an inch or four of slop. Where is your bar set on this one? Can we get 2” before the slop? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted February 9, 2019 Share Posted February 9, 2019 What’s 30.70 going to do? Almost uncharted territory Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jandurin Posted February 9, 2019 Share Posted February 9, 2019 43 minutes ago, C.A.P.E. said: Always the best. In Milton? Or Rehoboth? I have done 2 tours at the brewery in Milton and they have everything but the 120, lol. https://dogfishalehouse.com Alehouses are at 3 locations Been to the gaithersburg one a ton Other that that I've only been to milton location once Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deer Whisperer Posted February 9, 2019 Share Posted February 9, 2019 obviously these snow maps are all that reliable when sleet is a definitely involved but an overall juice up in pa and south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 9, 2019 Share Posted February 9, 2019 2 minutes ago, Jandurin said: https://dogfishalehouse.com Alehouses are at 3 locations Been to the gaithersburg one a ton Other that that I've only been to milton location once Ahh cool. Not a DC person but makes sense they would have multiple ale houses in that general area. I mostly end up drinking one at Rehoboth, outside of pouring one at home. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted February 9, 2019 Share Posted February 9, 2019 Not going to dive into the details but if the snowfall maps have anything to say the NAM has stepped up the potential for Balt and north through the period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted February 9, 2019 Share Posted February 9, 2019 13 minutes ago, WEATHER53 said: What’s 30.70 going to do? Almost uncharted territory You are talking in code again. The eagle flies at midnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted February 9, 2019 Share Posted February 9, 2019 2 minutes ago, showmethesnow said: Not going to dive into the details but if the snowfall maps have anything to say the NAM has stepped up the potential for Balt and north through the period. Not just Btown and North but the rest of the DMV Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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