Solution Man Posted February 8, 2019 Share Posted February 8, 2019 3 minutes ago, DCTeacherman said: 18z EPS improved, especially for northern half of the sub forum. Looks as though all things are pointing for snow. Nice agreement taking shape. Perhaps consensus is beginning to loom Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 8, 2019 Share Posted February 8, 2019 7 minutes ago, DCTeacherman said: 18z EPS improved, especially for northern half of the sub forum. That looks awful Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricanegiants Posted February 8, 2019 Share Posted February 8, 2019 Tell me that’s not a snow hole... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MD Snow Posted February 8, 2019 Share Posted February 8, 2019 Hey guys! Still got 5 days on this one. Plenty of time for it to go to crap or get a warning level event for most. Euro is close as is right now. 5 days is an eternity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 8, 2019 Share Posted February 8, 2019 14 minutes ago, DCTeacherman said: 18z EPS improved, especially for northern half of the sub forum. Nice! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 8, 2019 Share Posted February 8, 2019 17 minutes ago, Solution Man said: Looks as though all things are pointing for snow. Nice agreement taking shape. Perhaps consensus is beginning to loom Those SV snowmaps are flawed...I wouldn’t take their output verbatim but the bigger takeaway is the trends towards a colder solution. Also I don’t think we’re close to a consensus this far out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 8, 2019 Share Posted February 8, 2019 9 minutes ago, MD Snow said: Hey guys! Still got 5 days on this one. Plenty of time for it to go to crap or get a warning level event for most. Euro is close as is right now. 5 days is an eternity. Yeah but if you listen to Bob he has been noting how majority of the events this season you guys sort of backed into or trended the right way in the medium range. Maybe it happens again? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 8, 2019 Share Posted February 8, 2019 14 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: Nice! I like to see the overall improvement vice MBY...it is nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted February 8, 2019 Share Posted February 8, 2019 7 minutes ago, nj2va said: Those SV snowmaps are flawed...I wouldn’t take their output verbatim but the bigger takeaway is the trends towards a colder solution. Also I don’t think we’re close to a consensus this far out. Ok, better to see them moving in a positive direction instead of the other way Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted February 8, 2019 Share Posted February 8, 2019 Same rollercoaster every storm guys. I say this once per storm thread. Storms show up on maps in the long range, trend the complete opposite way we need it to, and then slowly trends back our way in the 3-5 day range. It’s normal. These models are 100% guessing from day 3 on. There are a ton of moving parts, most of which aren’t even close to being onshore or “in place”. As we get more data to work with, models begin to come to a consensus. Far too many making predictions when are still so far out. This can be anything from mostly rain to warning snowfall at this point. Today and tonight’s trends showed us that snow is looking like it will be part of the equation. That’s all people should be taking from models at this point. Thermos, precip amounts... none of it matters. Just the setup and moving pieces on the map. Climo for our area says two things 1) seeing significant snow days after a very warm spell is not a likely occurrence However... 2) it likes to snow in Maryland PA and VA during the week of Valentine’s Day which ones wins out? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 8, 2019 Share Posted February 8, 2019 NAM has frozen precip (snow/sleet/freezing rain) across the area Sunday night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 8, 2019 Share Posted February 8, 2019 7 minutes ago, jayyy said: Same rollercoaster every storm guys. I say this once per storm thread. Storms show up on maps in the long range, trend the complete opposite way we need it to, and then slowly trends back our way in the 3-5 day range. It’s normal. These models are 100% guessing from day 3 on. There are a ton of moving parts, most of which aren’t even close to being onshore or “in place”. As we get more data to work with, models begin to come to a consensus. Far too many making predictions when are still so far out. This can be anything from mostly rain to warning snowfall at this point. Today and tonight’s trends showed us that snow is looking like it will be part of the equation. That’s all people should be taking from models at this point. Thermos, precip amounts... none of it matters. Just the setup and moving pieces on the map. Climo for our area says two things 1) seeing significant snow days after a very warm spell is not a likely occurrence However... 2) it likes to snow in Maryland PA and VA during the week of Valentine’s Day which ones wins out? This was like reading Chinese Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 8, 2019 Share Posted February 8, 2019 7 minutes ago, nj2va said: NAM has frozen precip (snow/sleet/freezing rain) across the area Sunday night. Yes and with cold temps wedged in like a salad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 8, 2019 Share Posted February 8, 2019 11 minutes ago, nj2va said: NAM has frozen precip (snow/sleet/freezing rain) across the area Sunday night. For like 6 hours... it's in by just before 00z Monday and outta here by 06z Monday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGolfBro Posted February 8, 2019 Share Posted February 8, 2019 5 minutes ago, BristowWx said: Yes and with cold temps wedged in like a salad. If we get a decently placed High and a strong CAD setup the NAM could be on to something. And I’m ducking as i say this but the NAM’s strong suit is sniffing out a CAD setup Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 8, 2019 Share Posted February 8, 2019 5 minutes ago, yoda said: For like 6 hours... it's in by just before 00z Monday and outta here by 06z Monday Thanks Debbie. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 8, 2019 Share Posted February 8, 2019 5 minutes ago, yoda said: For like 6 hours... it's in by just before 00z Monday and outta here by 06z Monday This is just part 1 I assume? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 8, 2019 Share Posted February 8, 2019 2 minutes ago, SnowGolfBro said: If we get a decently placed High and a strong CAD setup the NAM could be on to something. And I’m ducking as i say this but the NAM’s strong suit is sniffing out a CAD setup Sure. It’s all on the table. Mesos are better with CAD once we get closer. But my guess is we have more solutions to be had. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wawarriors4 Posted February 8, 2019 Share Posted February 8, 2019 3 minutes ago, nj2va said: Thanks Debbie. As someone would say.....Yoder..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 8, 2019 Share Posted February 8, 2019 9 minutes ago, nj2va said: Thanks Debbie. I was expecting more reading your post about it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 8, 2019 Share Posted February 8, 2019 6 minutes ago, yoda said: I was expecting more reading your post about it 2" per hour and we get a foot. Isn't that good enough for an appetizer? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 8, 2019 Share Posted February 8, 2019 Icon has the appetizer too. Euro was close to something. Interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted February 8, 2019 Share Posted February 8, 2019 Even has a look of low just goes northwest and never does more than throw a warm front up this way(again). Get high to be on the nipple, or udder if you wish, of Hudson/James Bay and it would be special long duration. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 8, 2019 Share Posted February 8, 2019 I’m staying up for the GFS this time. Hope I don’t regret this decision. It’s rolling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 8, 2019 Share Posted February 8, 2019 Just now, BristowWx said: I’m staying up for the GFS this time. Hope I don’t regret this decision. It’s rolling. You late night party animal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 8, 2019 Share Posted February 8, 2019 14 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: 2" per hour and we get a foot. Isn't that good enough for an appetizer? It showed like 1 to 3 inches. That's nice. Its just in and out quickly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 8, 2019 Share Posted February 8, 2019 I’m burning. Need a T Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 8, 2019 Share Posted February 8, 2019 47 minutes ago, yoda said: For like 6 hours... it's in by just before 00z Monday and outta here by 06z Monday God: Here is a mine. It is full of gold. A football field wide and long and 800 feet deep. Yoder: But I will get dirty when i retrieve it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 8, 2019 Share Posted February 8, 2019 11 minutes ago, yoda said: It showed like 1 to 3 inches. That's nice. Its just in and out quickly Here is medicine that will cure every disease known to mankind Yoder: But I will have to take medicine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 8, 2019 Share Posted February 8, 2019 7 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Here is medicine that will cure every disease known to mankind Yoder: But I will have to take medicine. Come on... even you seeing it in and out in 6 hours you have to be like damn thats quick Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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