Damage In Tolland Posted February 6, 2019 Share Posted February 6, 2019 12 minutes ago, OSUmetstud said: Buf got 0.57 inches of zr precip today before rain changeover. Reasonably beefy. That should translate east and accrete Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted February 6, 2019 Share Posted February 6, 2019 1 minute ago, dendrite said: Interesting ob... METAR KBUF 061754Z 07008KT 4SM -RA BR FEW007 BKN015 OVC030 00/M01 A2988 RMK AO2 RAB53FZRAE53 SLP128 DEPTH OF GLAZE 2/10 INCH P0015 60057 I1005 I6037 T00001006 10000 21028 58034 $ = They augmented 2/10" of glaze in the comments, but the glaze accretion algorithm has 0.37"...almost twice as much. Yeah i thought that was strange. The conditions would seem to argue for the higher number. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 6, 2019 Share Posted February 6, 2019 33 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: You prob won't get any freezing rain at all regardless of qpf. You're likely too far south. Oh I wasn't expecting any....but nobody is seeing any damage...certainly not in CT, and certainly not Tolland. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 6, 2019 Author Share Posted February 6, 2019 13 minutes ago, OSUmetstud said: Yeah i thought that was strange. The conditions would seem to argue for the higher number. Doesn't sound like it was very efficient. That is less than half of total QPF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 6, 2019 Share Posted February 6, 2019 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: Doesn't sound like it was very efficient. That is less than half of total QPF. Does their elevation matter for that? (600' or so) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted February 6, 2019 Share Posted February 6, 2019 Just now, ORH_wxman said: Doesn't sound like it was very efficient. That is less than half of total QPF. Theres two differerent numbers. I dont really understand why it would be so inefficient...35 percent? Its been cold and breezy. Decent rates but still. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted February 6, 2019 Share Posted February 6, 2019 Just now, HoarfrostHubb said: Does their elevation matter for that? (600' or so) Its the lake plain...theres no real elevation variation until you get further south and east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted February 6, 2019 Share Posted February 6, 2019 Time of day w marginal temps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted February 6, 2019 Share Posted February 6, 2019 3 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Time of day w marginal temps The wet bulb was 28f or lower until the last two hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 6, 2019 Author Share Posted February 6, 2019 7 minutes ago, OSUmetstud said: Theres two differerent numbers. I dont really understand why it would be so inefficient...35 percent? Its been cold and breezy. Decent rates but still. Def does sound low. 35% is way below the 10th percentile for accretion efficiency. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted February 6, 2019 Share Posted February 6, 2019 I'm going with .5" accretion here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted February 6, 2019 Share Posted February 6, 2019 Cloud skies here and 45/27. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 6, 2019 Share Posted February 6, 2019 3 minutes ago, Whineminster said: I'm going with .5" accretion here. Decimal point is in the wrong place Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 6, 2019 Share Posted February 6, 2019 24 minutes ago, Whineminster said: I'm going with .5" accretion here. You aint getting a half inch of ice...maybe more like .25" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 6, 2019 Share Posted February 6, 2019 26 minutes ago, Sugarloaf1989 said: Cloud skies here and 45/27. Warmer than was thought today....kind of the theme for this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 6, 2019 Share Posted February 6, 2019 Here's the automated accretion breakdown... 14z 28/25 ZR 0.05" w.e. / 0.08" glaze 15z 29/26 ZR 0.11" w.e. / 0.09" glaze 16z 29/28 -ZR 0.09" w.e. / 0.07" glaze 17z 31/29 ZR 0.17" w.e. / 0.08" glaze 18z 32/31 -R 0.15" w.e. / 0.05" glaze Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 6, 2019 Share Posted February 6, 2019 No changes here, 1-2" snow/sleet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted February 6, 2019 Share Posted February 6, 2019 49 minutes ago, dendrite said: Here's the automated accretion breakdown... 14z 28/25 ZR 0.05" w.e. / 0.08" glaze 15z 29/26 ZR 0.11" w.e. / 0.09" glaze 16z 29/28 -ZR 0.09" w.e. / 0.07" glaze 17z 31/29 ZR 0.17" w.e. / 0.08" glaze 18z 32/31 -R 0.15" w.e. / 0.05" glaze AIT as temps got marginal (when u include maximum solar angle 17z /18z ) and highest rates? , % of accretion went to 45% and 33% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted February 6, 2019 Share Posted February 6, 2019 6 hours ago, WinterWolf said: We pretty much knew this last week...the handwriting was on the wall then for most spots. High elevations in the NW and NE will have a lil ice. Yeah, and the snowy solution for next week that was talked about last week will disappoint SNE as well. Maybe March will pull through with a 12"+ storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted February 6, 2019 Share Posted February 6, 2019 4 minutes ago, Cold Miser said: Maybe March will pull through with a 12"+ storm. If we had a robust PNA or a nice -NAO we would be la epic w this QPF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted February 6, 2019 Share Posted February 6, 2019 47/27 Much warmer than forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 6, 2019 Share Posted February 6, 2019 33 here. We sea breeze lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 6, 2019 Share Posted February 6, 2019 IOSN3 is the coldest spot in NH right now including MWN. Weird. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ma blizzard Posted February 6, 2019 Share Posted February 6, 2019 yeah KBOS sitting at 35/25 .. should be interesting to see how widespread of an area can wet-bulb to sub freezing when the precip arrives later this evening Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom12309 Posted February 6, 2019 Share Posted February 6, 2019 Freezing on the trees in Schenectady. Last few days I've been walking around waving my fist at the window and yelling "F you weather!" and then laughing hysterically. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmanmitch Posted February 6, 2019 Share Posted February 6, 2019 31.7° F/22° F as the first spits of freezing rain arrive. The 22" snow pack will have a nice shiny veneer on it by tomorrow AM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx2fish Posted February 6, 2019 Share Posted February 6, 2019 Down to 32/23 on an east wind. Definetely an odd temp map Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted February 6, 2019 Share Posted February 6, 2019 1 hour ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: AIT as temps got marginal (when u include maximum solar angle 17z /18z ) and highest rates? , % of accretion went to 45% and 33% Dude. We were discussing the difference between the 0.37 and 2/10 inches being reported. I was question the 2/10ths not the 0.37. The 0.37 with 0.57 qpf is reasonable. 0.20 with 0.57 qpf is very unusual and not typical. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan Posted February 6, 2019 Share Posted February 6, 2019 Nice drain occurring from the NE to SE; maybe NW RI and NE CT still may get some icing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted February 6, 2019 Share Posted February 6, 2019 Light rain starting here. 42/31. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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