nj2va Posted February 3, 2019 Share Posted February 3, 2019 Today’s sunset in DC is at 5:31p and we are adding 2 mins 5 seconds of daylight today. (Panic...panic...panic!!) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted February 3, 2019 Share Posted February 3, 2019 1 hour ago, Fozz said: Why did you move to Texas? Not trying to speak for Jeb, but family reasons. He's being a good son. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted February 3, 2019 Share Posted February 3, 2019 Just now, nw baltimore wx said: Not trying to speak for Jeb, but family reasons. He's being a good son. Oh that's understandable then. Good for him. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 3, 2019 Share Posted February 3, 2019 Really hazy day here. Neat look in winter with the snow- we normally see it much more in summer. Took a couple photos while I was outside working on my deck skirting project. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted February 3, 2019 Share Posted February 3, 2019 Serious question. Why does every model always show a -nao at the end of every run that never verifies? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 3, 2019 Share Posted February 3, 2019 Was thinking about how I grade winters this morning. We all do it. To me am A is reserved for the truly epic winters. 1987, 1996, 2003, 2010, 2014. I might be a tough grader on an A but those are probably the only ones I’ve experienced. I am probably an easier grader on a C “average” or D “bad”. Seems some throw anything worse than good unto the F category. To me an F is reserved for the equally god awful winters like 2002, 2008, 2012... But what about a solid good B winter. I realized there are 3 ways a winter can get into the good category for me. 1. An HECS. I love big storms. I don’t care if it’s a one hit wonder if I get a 20” snowstorm it’s at least a B winter. 2. A string of “good” storms. 3 or more 5”+ snowstorms or two 8”+. When I was in VA that bar was three 3”+ storms or two 6”+. 3. A 10+ day period with solid snowcover and cold or 2 different 7 day periods like that. That was probably more like a 7 day period in VA or two 5 day periods. The final snowfall total isn’t as important as getting one of those 3. I’ve had winters with below my median snowfall that I enjoyed way more than winters I beat median but nickel and dimed my way there and never held snowcover long. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 3, 2019 Share Posted February 3, 2019 8 minutes ago, dailylurker said: Serious question. Why does every model always show a -nao at the end of every run that never verifies? This is an educated guess but I think there are some background pattern influencers like enso sst that argue for a -NAO. But the mjo has been muting it. The NAO has been mostly neutral to slightly negative. The guidance is not properly calculating the mjo at range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 3, 2019 Share Posted February 3, 2019 So, when it comes to the remainder of our winter, it sounds like @psuhoffman's brain is starting agree with to @Bob Chill's gut!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jonjon Posted February 3, 2019 Share Posted February 3, 2019 19 hours ago, C.A.P.E. said: Here is his general recipe. What do you think? IPA Recipe The objective is to make an IPA with an IBU no more than 50 and ABV around 6.0%. I used the following online calculators to get the required numbers and proportions for the recipe. This procedure will be done 3 times, and each batch divided in 2 for fermentation using different yeast strains. This will make a total of 6 different beer brews with each using a different yeast. https://www.brewersfriend.com/allgrain-ogfg/ https://www.grainfather.com/brewing-calculators https://www.hopsteiner.com/ibu-calculator/ Batch size: 23L Grain weight: Approximately 6 Kg Boil Time: 60 min Based on this, 19.7 L of mash water is required Grain Specifics: 5.5 Kg of Maris Otter 0.3 Kg of Crystal 40L Based on this, the pre-boil Original Gravity is 1.051 Estimated Final Gravity is 1.018 Estimated ABV is 6.1% For the hops: Columbus has an alpha acid percent of 15% Quantity to be used: 8.5 grams Citra has an alpha acid percent of 12% Quantity to be used: 15 grams Cascade has an alpha acid percent of 6% Quantity to be used: 28 grams Add columbus early in the boil for bittering, then some Citra more towards the middle of the boil, and then Cascade would be added last for aroma and flavor. Target is around 45 IBU. I dont want the hops to be too strong as the goal is to detect flavor characteristics imparted by the different yeast strains. Add Columbus first, at the beginning of the boil. Add Citra next, in the middle of the boil. (30 mins in) Add Cascade last, towards the end of the boil. (45 mins in) Estimated IBU = 44, using Tinseth method Looks good! Let us know how it all turns out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 3, 2019 Share Posted February 3, 2019 3 hours ago, Maestrobjwa said: So, when it comes to the remainder of our winter, it sounds like @psuhoffman's brain is starting agree with to @Bob Chill's gut!! I think my target period is a little after his but either way same result. More snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 3, 2019 Share Posted February 3, 2019 Question: All of our biggest storms (like the ones that were an area-wide 12-24+ inches) coastal runners? Or were there some instances of a juiced up slider that moved slowly or something? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 3, 2019 Share Posted February 3, 2019 41 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: I think my target period is a little after his but either way same result. More snow. My target period is basically from next weekend through the end of snow season. I don't have any specific windows. Just have unusual confidence with getting more snow this month (and hopefully March) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbmclean Posted February 3, 2019 Share Posted February 3, 2019 40 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: I think my target period is a little after his but either way same result. More snow. MJO looking more positive for the second half of February as you say. I can't help but to feel a little cheated. The MJO has been taking its sweet time meandering around the warm phases most of Met winter. The only two times it was even briefly good there was some action around. The northern SE got a big hit in early December and the southern half of your area got a nice hit in mid January. I cant help but to have the feeling that this winter really "wanted" op be epic, if it hadn't been crashed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 3, 2019 Share Posted February 3, 2019 30 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said: Question: All of our biggest storms (like the ones that were an area-wide 12-24+ inches) coastal runners? Or were there some instances of a juiced up slider that moved slowly or something? Most of our big storms come in 2 pieces and contain both a defined mid level and surface low and also a trailing upper level low . The front side is warm air advection snow which is lower ratio and then colder/higher ratio snow as the surface and upper level lows track east and then north of our area. Upper level low snowfall is my favorite. High ratio and heavy rates. We had a taste of that with the good storm in Jan. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AfewUniversesBelowNormal Posted February 3, 2019 Share Posted February 3, 2019 4 hours ago, dailylurker said: Serious question. Why does every model always show a -nao at the end of every run that never verifies? There is global tendency for above normal heights, it has some kind of feedback with snow/ice cover in the extended "guess" range Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbmclean Posted February 3, 2019 Share Posted February 3, 2019 4 hours ago, psuhoffman said: 1. An HECS. I love big storms. I don’t care if it’s a one hit wonder if I get a 20” snowstorm it’s at least a B winter. So 2015-2016 would be a B for you? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 3, 2019 Share Posted February 3, 2019 Was that pathetic personal foul call a payback for the NO non call on that dude? I really don't understand NFL football anymore. Guy catches pass, but gets tackled TOO SOON. Personal foul. WTF? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted February 3, 2019 Share Posted February 3, 2019 2 minutes ago, C.A.P.E. said: Was that pathetic personal foul call a payback for the NO non call on that dude? I really don't understand NFL football anymore. Guy catches pass, but gets tackled TOO SOON. Personal foul. WTF? Yeah I don’t know what that was. You have to give him a chance to become a runner? When did that become the rule? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 3, 2019 Share Posted February 3, 2019 At least they missed the field goal, so no harm done. Goddamn Patriots. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 3, 2019 Share Posted February 3, 2019 1 minute ago, jaydreb said: Yeah I don’t know what that was. You have to give him a chance to become a runner? When did that become the rule? No idea. Absurd. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted February 4, 2019 Share Posted February 4, 2019 10 minutes ago, C.A.P.E. said: Was that pathetic personal foul call a payback for the NO non call on that dude? I really don't understand NFL football anymore. Guy catches pass, but gets tackled TOO SOON. Personal foul. WTF? I'm not sure why they bothered with that explanation. It was clearly helmet to helmet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 4, 2019 Share Posted February 4, 2019 1 minute ago, MN Transplant said: I'm not sure why they bothered with that explanation. It was clearly helmet to helmet. The official on the field said hit to defenseless receiver, and the on air dude gave that bullshit explanation backing it up. I didn't see a clear replay, but maybe it was that. Not the call though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 4, 2019 Share Posted February 4, 2019 Wade Phillips is legit. Been a great D coordinator(and decent head coach) for decades. He won the superbowl for Denver a few years ago when Payton Manning couldn't throw anymore. Lets see if he can keep pressure in Brady's face. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George BM Posted February 4, 2019 Author Share Posted February 4, 2019 6 minutes ago, jaydreb said: Lol, the 18z FV3 has a 68 hour snowstorm at the end of its run. In my head: Lol, the 18z FV3 has a 60+ hour snowstorm near the end of the run. *sees your post* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 4, 2019 Share Posted February 4, 2019 Boring ass game. Go Pats Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbmclean Posted February 4, 2019 Share Posted February 4, 2019 11 minutes ago, nj2va said: Boring ass game. Go Pats Goff seems lost. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 4, 2019 Share Posted February 4, 2019 14 minutes ago, cbmclean said: Goff seems lost. Yeah, story of the game is defense especially Rams defense. Edelman is giving the Pats offense a pulse. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 4, 2019 Share Posted February 4, 2019 Lame halftime show...wth Spongebob....seriously? And whoever the r and b guy was couldnt control himself for one show he just had to use profanity? Gimme a break. Not sure what's been worse the game or that debacle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbmclean Posted February 4, 2019 Share Posted February 4, 2019 3 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Not sure what's been worse the game or that debacle. I wouldn't say the game has been bad. Just defensive. I like these games once in a while. I don't like the idea of the NFL turning into Arena Football. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 4, 2019 Share Posted February 4, 2019 I hung in until Adam ripped his shirt off then I peaced out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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