T. August Posted February 19, 2019 Share Posted February 19, 2019 Just now, NorthArlington101 said: I regret nothing I said, it's the fact that it took over the conversation. So yeah, not me I guess. It was too cool not to share It wasn’t you at all lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowchaser Posted February 19, 2019 Share Posted February 19, 2019 This is the Max snowfall by NOAA. posted 6:40 Look at the difference from the north western part of this county compared to the southern part! 15 inches vs 5 inches in just a few miles Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rvarookie Posted February 19, 2019 Share Posted February 19, 2019 Can’t wait for my cold rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbmclean Posted February 19, 2019 Share Posted February 19, 2019 Anyone know what happened to BobChill? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 19, 2019 Share Posted February 19, 2019 Just now, cbmclean said: Anyone know what happened to BobChill? Who? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwonder Posted February 19, 2019 Share Posted February 19, 2019 24 minutes ago, adelphi_sky said: I remember 1979. I was 5 years old and recall making snow caves in the piles of snow. Yes! We had snow caves too! Seemed like they were around for a few weeks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted February 19, 2019 Share Posted February 19, 2019 16 minutes ago, leesburg 04 said: Grew up in Takoma park Maryland I remember waking up to look out the window expecting just a little and the stuff was up over the bottom of the window. Loved it I was in Kettering Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted February 19, 2019 Share Posted February 19, 2019 I don't like how precip is modeled to start locally just after the sun rises. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowchaser Posted February 19, 2019 Share Posted February 19, 2019 the stress I get from watching theses storms is unbearable Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDstorm Posted February 19, 2019 Share Posted February 19, 2019 1 hour ago, Fozz said: Sounds pretty incredible. I've read that it was also a complete surprise since forecasters were only expecting a moderate storm. I was a kid back then(1979), but I was already bitten by the weather bug. All you could do back then was listen to radio and watch local news. The storm was somewhat of a surprise in terms of its veracity. However, AccuWeather was way out in front of this storm. Radio (led by Joe Bastardi) and Channel 11 (local AccuWeather affiliate) commented on the strong storm prospects at least 24 hours before others jumped on board. I remember watching the local AccuWeather forecaster draw the map on TV——strong low pressure diving SE through the Ohio Valley would ignite a coastal low along a strong thermal gradient. Boom!! The heaviest cold smoke I have ever seen——powder pouring from the sky. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 19, 2019 Share Posted February 19, 2019 5 minutes ago, nw baltimore wx said: I was in Kettering I was over near Chillum Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gopper Posted February 19, 2019 Share Posted February 19, 2019 19 minutes ago, leesburg 04 said: Grew up in Takoma park Maryland I remember waking up to look out the window expecting just a little and the stuff was up over the bottom of the window. Loved it Was 11 years old and the memory is burned into my brain. The reason I am a weenie now! Woke up before the rest of my family and looked out my bedroom window in Baltimore. White out conditions!! Walked downstairs and looked out the front door. Never ever saw snow fall so heavy and nothing has ever compared to it since then. '83 close with thunder snow, but '79 took the cake. A sight to see for an 11 year old boy!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbmclean Posted February 19, 2019 Share Posted February 19, 2019 12 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Who? He has become an Unperson!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 19, 2019 Share Posted February 19, 2019 2 minutes ago, leesburg 04 said: I was over near Chillum Is that where bob c is these days? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 19, 2019 Share Posted February 19, 2019 Just now, nj2va said: Is that where bob c is these days? If he is we will never hear from him again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 19, 2019 Share Posted February 19, 2019 Unfortunately its now time to start the hourly obsession over the HRRR. Get ready for some meltdowns. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted February 19, 2019 Share Posted February 19, 2019 Everyone saying the max potential NWS map is more snow than they have seen all year. And I am wondering what is it like not having 23" on the year? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snjókoma Posted February 19, 2019 Share Posted February 19, 2019 Here's an interesting Wes quote from CWG's latest article: https://www.washingtonpost.com/weather/2019/02/18/wednesdays-winter-storm-heres-how-much-snow-ice-expect-when/?utm_term=.11cac9f926f8 Quote As of Wednesday morning, the National Weather Service was predicting 6 to 8 inches of snow in the Washington region. We think this is too high by about a factor of two on average. “I am not a fan of predicting big snow amounts in cases like this that have a low pressure zone tracking to our north and west, drawing north mild air,” says Wes Junker, Capital Weather Gang’s winter weather expert. “Heavy snow forecasts could bust low if the axis of heavy precipitation were to lift north of Washington and the warm layer arrives earlier than forecast. I don’t remember Washington getting more than four or five inches from this type of event.” However, Junker said the Weather Service’s forecast could verify in a boom scenario in which a localized heavy band of snow develops and/or if precipitation takes longer to transition from snow to sleet than expected. I'm definitely keeping my expectations low. This is a great setup for the NW folks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 19, 2019 Share Posted February 19, 2019 36hr HRRR precip totals probably belong in banter... but this is a killer run. Easy 6-8"+ for all extrapolated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 19, 2019 Share Posted February 19, 2019 1 minute ago, Snowchaser said: WOW! 4-5 inch snowfall rates and thunder snow now lol 6 minutes ago, Snowchaser said: Nah man. 10% is a great chance lol. I like my odds Dude, can you use banter for this? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted February 19, 2019 Share Posted February 19, 2019 6 minutes ago, LeesburgWx said: Everyone saying the max potential NWS map is more snow than they have seen all year. And I am wondering what is it like not having 23" on the year? It sucks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted February 19, 2019 Share Posted February 19, 2019 All due respect and all, but I hope Wes busts so f’ing hard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowchaser Posted February 19, 2019 Share Posted February 19, 2019 Just now, nj2va said: Dude, can you use banter for this? doesn't be so serious. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 19, 2019 Share Posted February 19, 2019 29 minutes ago, BTRWx's Thanks Giving said: I don't like how precip is modeled to start locally just after the sun rises. Ehh. Non factor. Once heavy precip starts the temp will drop to the wet bulb which isn’t that significantly effected yet at ~7am. Then given the intensity of precip expected...somewhere between 1-1.5 qpf through the day, radiation shouldn’t impact temps much. It’s still only mid February not March AND last year we got accumulations easily mid day on March 20th with much lighter rates than expected Wednesday. There are times things like sun angle and time of day can matter. If it’s March AND temps are very marginal (like 33-34) AND rates are marginal (like 1/3 to 1/2” hr) then it matters. March 2013 was an example of that. That could have been a 6-10” storm in DC if it was mid winters. But rates were only mediocre and temps were very marginal so that little bit flipped it to a fail. Even up here I got 6” but it would have been 10” easy in winter. Wasn’t accumulating at all after 10am. But if the temp is below freezing and rates are better than 1/2” hr then the whole sun angle thing is way over exaggerated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowchaser Posted February 19, 2019 Share Posted February 19, 2019 4 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: 36hr HRRR precip totals probably belong in banter... but this is a killer run. Easy 6-8"+ for all extrapolated. that's good for us buddy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 19, 2019 Share Posted February 19, 2019 Just now, Snowchaser said: that's good for us buddy if I trusted the HRRR at 31 hours I'd be celebrating! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jandurin Posted February 19, 2019 Share Posted February 19, 2019 I'm really happy it's morning so I can wake up normal time and get my thunder snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted February 19, 2019 Share Posted February 19, 2019 This storm needs a name. Bob Chill Protest Storm?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snjókoma Posted February 19, 2019 Share Posted February 19, 2019 Never declare a NAM'ing before its happened. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 19, 2019 Share Posted February 19, 2019 LOL at the NAM analysis. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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