snowfan Posted February 18, 2019 Share Posted February 18, 2019 Phineas showing up w his wet blanket as per usual. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 18, 2019 Share Posted February 18, 2019 4 minutes ago, snowfan said: Phineas showing up w his wet blanket as per usual. That's how osfan sees it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jandurin Posted February 18, 2019 Share Posted February 18, 2019 osfan is still mad the gefs lost his 3 feet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PCT_ATC Posted February 18, 2019 Share Posted February 18, 2019 Cant believe Sterling actually expanded their snow coverage map. The 6-8 range pushed about a county and half east from where it was this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 18, 2019 Share Posted February 18, 2019 2 minutes ago, leesburg 04 said: That's how osfan sees it I dont keep a running list, but he/she is another.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted February 18, 2019 Share Posted February 18, 2019 I’m not shitting on lwx but dc is not getting 6”. Maybe 3” of rain with 3” of snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted February 18, 2019 Share Posted February 18, 2019 9/10 times @PhineasC speaks the truth, it’s just annoying because it exposes how terrible we are. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 18, 2019 Share Posted February 18, 2019 23 minutes ago, snowfan said: Phineas showing up w his wet blanket as per usual. It's just reality. I'm as big a weenie as anyone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted February 18, 2019 Share Posted February 18, 2019 Just now, PhineasC said: It's just reality. I'm as big a weenie as anyone. I agree if it's moderate to heavy rain at temps near 31-32, it's not going to do much. Moderate at 29-30 is closer to something nasty. Light rain and temps 32 or lower will be serious issues. I think the back end of the storm will be the time frame where most ZR occurs. Still a saturated lower boundary layer heading into 0z Thursday. Freezing mist will make things nice and icy NW of the fall line. Either way, travel on Wednesday, anytime of the day will be ugly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 18, 2019 Share Posted February 18, 2019 Not too many years where D.C. does better than Baltimore snow-wise! I'll admit if that GFS run verifies, that's gonna sting a bit... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 18, 2019 Share Posted February 18, 2019 Boy what's causing that dead zone in jackpotville? Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
09-10 analogy Posted February 18, 2019 Share Posted February 18, 2019 1 hour ago, leesburg 04 said: I've had my brain set on sleet bomb from the get go so when the models are showing sleet I'm not disappointed...of course those hunting big totals are disappointed and will have to point out how sleety this storm is and go next Yeah I'm all in on a sleetfest. Loved Valentine's 2007. It's in my second tier of winter events (first tier being all the usual HECSy suspects.) If it's going to be 1-2" followed by a change I'd just as soon have it all sleet. Of course I got my MECS last month so I can afford to be a little flippant. Pun not really intended. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 18, 2019 Share Posted February 18, 2019 1 hour ago, leesburg 04 said: I've had my brain set on sleet bomb from the get go so when the models are showing sleet I'm not disappointed...of course those hunting big totals are disappointed and will have to point out how sleety this storm is and go next Seriously, I'm just happy to be tracking something. All along, I've been setting my bar at 2 to 4, followed by some sleet. Not worried about some serious ice storm. It's not going to happen here. Better chance for you tho Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowmagnet Posted February 18, 2019 Share Posted February 18, 2019 I have to laugh about DT and his update. Since he canceled winter for the east coast earlier in the week, he has been hesitant to talk about this event other than it wouldn’t be a big deal. Now, he finally says that the newest short term models indicate that the cold air IS going to last after the precipitation gets started. As if the models have not been showing this for a week. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 18, 2019 Share Posted February 18, 2019 This is an all-time weenie panel for CHO. 4" an hour rates Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted February 18, 2019 Share Posted February 18, 2019 4 hours ago, Jandurin said: scotch has many different flavors meh...i've tried it a few times and i get that same peaty flavor that just overwhelms it for me. bourbon is much more palatable to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowmagnet Posted February 18, 2019 Share Posted February 18, 2019 2 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Seriously, I'm just happy to be tracking something. All along, I've been setting my bar at 2 to 4, followed by some sleet. Not worried about some serious ice storm. It's not going to happen here. Better chance for you tho Where are you located? I’m in Fairfax and I feel like we have a goood chance of at least 3-5” before sleet takes over. While I love a coastal more than anything, this has been a good storm to track and anything can happen. I’m mentally prepared for just couple of inches before a changeover. Looking forward to a snow day regardless. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted February 18, 2019 Share Posted February 18, 2019 4 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: Hrpderps looks really thumpy! But what does the hrpderps simplex 2 model say? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted February 18, 2019 Share Posted February 18, 2019 Baltimore-north ain’t in the game really. 2-3” max I’m thinking. I need 3.8 to match last year’s total, but that seems like a tall order. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted February 18, 2019 Share Posted February 18, 2019 A few flurries were flying in Gainesville around 5:45. It really wants to snow here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 18, 2019 Share Posted February 18, 2019 We are gonna get RGEM'ed by the time this storm gets here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 18, 2019 Share Posted February 18, 2019 Just now, Snowchaser said: Man are you in Cville? I'm near the mountains just south and west of C town, I like our chances for 6+ with this before the sleet and ice storm Yeah, I'm a student at UVA. I'm also feeling good about this one. 6"+ is bold, but last time you were posting (I think) was Dec 8th and you willed 12" to Charlottesville, so who am I to judge. Definitely looks sleety. I've never seen a real sleet storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted February 18, 2019 Share Posted February 18, 2019 5 minutes ago, PhineasC said: We are gonna get RGEM'ed by the time this storm gets here. You sure? That looked pretty crappy up our way, I think, from what I could tell on mobile. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted February 18, 2019 Share Posted February 18, 2019 10 minutes ago, T. August said: Baltimore-north ain’t in the game really. 2-3” max I’m thinking. That would really be a kick in the stones. Again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowchaser Posted February 18, 2019 Share Posted February 18, 2019 Just now, NorthArlington101 said: Yeah, I'm a student at UVA. I'm also feeling good about this one. 6"+ is bold, but last time you were posting (I think) was Dec 8th and you willed 12" to Charlottesville, so who am I to judge. Definitely looks sleety. I've never seen a real sleet storm. I picked up 14' inches with that storm back in Dec Call me a crazy man lol. But I think 9-10' inches is doable with this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lowershoresadness Posted February 18, 2019 Share Posted February 18, 2019 5 minutes ago, PhineasC said: We are gonna get RGEM'ed by the time this storm gets here. I'm gonna get RGEM'ed wed morning but not by weather. Colonoscopy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted February 18, 2019 Share Posted February 18, 2019 Don't know if Wednesday will be our last shot at appreciable snowfall this season, but if the storm performs as modeled here, it could solidify this as a good winter. With 3.5" I hit climo in my yard. With 5.5" I would be able to record back-to-back months with double-digit snowfall totals. And with 7" I would pass 30" for the season. Hitting any of those marks puts this into the top third of winters in this area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jandurin Posted February 18, 2019 Share Posted February 18, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jandurin Posted February 18, 2019 Share Posted February 18, 2019 they bumped up again eta is it too early to extrapolate the hrrr Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 18, 2019 Share Posted February 18, 2019 4 inch per hour rates! Calm down lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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