nj2va Posted February 14, 2019 Share Posted February 14, 2019 22 minutes ago, leesburg 04 said: There were always panic posters...heck I've had my share over the years but lately it's not about panic and more about just being downright depressing. I'm with you it takes the joy out of tracking...that's truly why I'm all about looking out the window vs. believing or relying on models. I see the joy and fun in being able to read them like you or psu and Cape and showme... you guys rock but for me I watch read but in the end just . Some people aren't able to handle things they have zero control over. If it snows great! If it's an inch great! If it's a foot more great! If it doesn't snow...go outside and play. It's just that easy Great, now leesburg keeps me out of the joy and fun crowd...and we’re looking at only 3” of snow this weekend? Can this night get any worse? What if it trends north? But its been trending south today too? What if its trends so much north and south that it just evaporates? Does that happen? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted February 14, 2019 Share Posted February 14, 2019 I think there has been a ji’ization of the forum in general which is not helpful. When it seems like everyone adopts that same persona it has a really negative snowball effect. Ji actually knows his stuff, but so many of the others who are parroting that posting style don’t - it’s a real problem. So Ji trolls on stuff and knows he’s trolling , while others are just generally negative without the knowledge base to back up their negativity. When it is too much of that it’s...sub-optimal. i drove through a legit lake effect snow squall whiteout today in far northwest PA and it was awesome (and kinda terrifying). Wish more people here had that kind of experience today, would probably help them relax. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deer Whisperer Posted February 14, 2019 Share Posted February 14, 2019 17 minutes ago, nj2va said: Great, now leesburg keeps me out of the joy and fun crowd...and we’re looking at only 3” of snow this weekend? Can this night get any worse? What if it trends north? But its been trending south today too? What if its trends so much north and south that it just evaporates? Does that happen? not gonna lie, i laughed out loud to this a little too much Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grothar of Herndon Posted February 14, 2019 Share Posted February 14, 2019 I am almost 60 and was in the Gary Gray email group, Wrights Weather, Eastern, Deck Pics site (forgot the site name), and here. The change in attitude is in anything short of HECS or BECS is a major disappointment. The enjoyment of snow has been replaced with disappointment of it is not going snow up to my a hole. I am with Leesburg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 14, 2019 Share Posted February 14, 2019 15 minutes ago, Deer Whisperer said: not gonna lie, i laughed out loud to this a little too much you won't be laughing when the atmosphere trends so much north and south that the clouds are just pulled apart in front of your eyes, event goes poof, and its 75 on saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted February 14, 2019 Share Posted February 14, 2019 1 minute ago, Grothar of Herndon said: I am almost 60 and was in the Gary Gray email group, Wrights Weather, Eastern, Deck Pics site (forgot the site name), and here. The change in attitude is in anything short of HECS or BECS is a major disappointment. The enjoyment of snow has been replaced with disappointment of it is not going snow up to my a hole. I am with Leesburg 2010 ruined it for so many. Once you hit the pinnacle nothing else can satisfy. Almost like addicts searching for the ultimate high. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted February 14, 2019 Share Posted February 14, 2019 26 minutes ago, nj2va said: you won't be laughing when the atmosphere trends so much north and south that the clouds are just pulled apart in front of your eyes, event goes poof, and its 75 on saturday. I wouldn’t hate 75 on Saturday...I mean snow, yes please snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jandurin Posted February 14, 2019 Share Posted February 14, 2019 Winter kill Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted February 14, 2019 Share Posted February 14, 2019 The thing I find most strange is that this has actually been a pretty decent winter for our region. I am a few inches from an average snowfall year with 4 weeks to go, and so are many folks throughout our sub forum. Yet to read the board daily you would think we are having a terrible winter. I get that some folks like the Baltimore crew have fallen short of the rest of the area, but there are always winners and losers nearly every year. Last the year the Shenandoah Valley continually got the shaft while the snow totals piled up on the eastern shore. I shudder to think what some posters will be like when we get our typical "bad" winter like, say, 2006-07, 2007-08, 2008-09, 2010-11, 2011-12, 2012-13, 2016-17, 2017-18. I get why the SNE folks who get 45-90" almost every year are unhappy with being in single digits for the season. But the mid-Atlantic has little to complain about this year imo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jandurin Posted February 14, 2019 Share Posted February 14, 2019 I keep coming back to There's snow chance on Saturday and beyond How can you be negative when that's on the board Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted February 14, 2019 Share Posted February 14, 2019 20 of the past 30 years had less snow at DCA than this winter. If another 2.5" can fall at the airport before the season ends, there will only be 6 winters in those past 30 years with more snow than this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted February 14, 2019 Share Posted February 14, 2019 18 minutes ago, WVclimo said: The thing I find most strange is that this has actually been a pretty decent winter for our region. I am a few inches from an average snowfall year with 4 weeks to go, and so are many folks throughout our sub forum. Yet to read the board daily you would think we are having a terrible winter. I get that some folks like the Baltimore crew have fallen short of the rest of the area, but there are always winners and losers nearly every year. Last the year the Shenandoah Valley continually got the shaft while the snow totals piled up on the eastern shore. I shudder to think what some posters will be like when we get our typical "bad" winter like, say, 2006-07, 2007-08, 2008-09, 2010-11, 2011-12, 2012-13, 2016-17, 2017-18. I get why the SNE folks who get 45-90" almost every year are unhappy with being in single digits for the season. But the mid-Atlantic has little to complain about this year imo. All good points. All the deb's should realize that almost every system that produced snow in our region specifically targeted us. We've actually been pretty fortunate. If the December storm was a hit the perception of this winter would be different. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 14, 2019 Share Posted February 14, 2019 1 hour ago, Grothar of Herndon said: I am almost 60 and was in the Gary Gray email group, Wrights Weather, Eastern, Deck Pics site (forgot the site name), and here. The change in attitude is in anything short of HECS or BECS is a major disappointment. The enjoyment of snow has been replaced with disappointment of it is not going snow up to my a hole. I am with Leesburg Weenietown Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted February 14, 2019 Share Posted February 14, 2019 Maybe I haven't paid enough attention, but I've only noticed a handful of posters who's been consistently whiny and negative. Most seem ok at least from what I've seen. Maybe there are other annoying debs too, but I can't really recall who they are. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 14, 2019 Share Posted February 14, 2019 Ugh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 14, 2019 Share Posted February 14, 2019 Ugh Look at how everything went into the toilet from 12z to 0z and people wonder why I am so negative. Eps mean snow went from 10 a few days ago to the default 3-4 lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smokeybandit Posted February 14, 2019 Share Posted February 14, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 14, 2019 Share Posted February 14, 2019 2 hours ago, Ji said: 5 hours ago, psuhoffman said: Ugh Look at how everything went into the toilet from 12z to 0z and people wonder why I am so negative. Eps mean snow went from 10 a few days ago to the default 3-4 lol The look the next 6 days started degrading 3 days ago and has continued steadily imo since. The fail scenario I teased maestro with was actually what I expected. From range details don’t matter. As the threats all came into medium range the warts showed up. The first wave is weak and not spaced well to amplify. Without an amped wave 1 wave 2 would be a problem. And the trend towards more ridging and a more hostile thermal profile next week started 3 days ago and without the bombing storm this weekend I didn’t see a mechanism to stop that. Ive tried to keep it to myself since some runs still looked good and I didn’t want to deb. Maybe I was just being a worry wart. But now that everything went to total crap and looks like my fail scenario what’s the point. Lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 14, 2019 Share Posted February 14, 2019 3 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: The look the next 6 days started degrading 3 days ago and has continued steadily imo since. The fail scenario I teased maestro with was actually what I expected. From range details don’t matter. As the threats all came into medium range the warts showed up. The first wave is weak and not spaced well to amplify. Without an amped wave 1 wave 2 would be a problem. And the trend towards more ridging and a more hostile thermal profile next week started 3 days ago and without the bombing storm this weekend I didn’t see a mechanism to stop that. Ive tried to keep it to myself since some runs still looked good and I didn’t want to deb. Maybe I was just being a worry wart. But now that everything went to total crap and looks like my fail scenario what’s the point. Lol. a few days ago...i predicted jokingly(but also was serious deep inside) that we would see a total of 1 inch from all 3 events combined. Now I am thinking that I may have been too optimistic lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 14, 2019 Share Posted February 14, 2019 5 minutes ago, Ji said: a few days ago...i predicted jokingly(but also was serious deep inside) that we would see a total of 1 inch from all 3 events combined. Now I am thinking that I may have been too optimistic lol It’s a disappointment for sure. This period had major potential. But the details seem to be going all wrong. Still time to recover maybe but I’m not feeling it. I guess now it’s hope for a March bomb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted February 14, 2019 Share Posted February 14, 2019 2 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: It’s a disappointment for sure. This period had major potential. But the details seem to be going all wrong. Still time to recover maybe but I’m not feeling it. I guess now it’s hope for a March bomb. March '58 or bust! This pattern blows man. I'm gonna be in the 80's today and in the freezer by next week with no snow to show for it I have seen 16 total flakes this winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 14, 2019 Share Posted February 14, 2019 28 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: The look the next 6 days started degrading 3 days ago and has continued steadily imo since. The fail scenario I teased maestro with was actually what I expected. From range details don’t matter. As the threats all came into medium range the warts showed up. The first wave is weak and not spaced well to amplify. Without an amped wave 1 wave 2 would be a problem. And the trend towards more ridging and a more hostile thermal profile next week started 3 days ago and without the bombing storm this weekend I didn’t see a mechanism to stop that. Ive tried to keep it to myself since some runs still looked good and I didn’t want to deb. Maybe I was just being a worry wart. But now that everything went to total crap and looks like my fail scenario what’s the point. Lol. I was optimistic for a light event with the initial wave. Still might happen. The other 2 events looked low probability for my yard, but could have(might still) worked out for NW areas with some mix to rain. With relatively weak lows, the bulging SE ridge this week is probably going to rule. If this week doesn't produce, we are looking at 15-20 days of legit winter at best, and no time for nickel and dime stuff. Time to join Ji for the big dog hunt lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 14, 2019 Share Posted February 14, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterymix Posted February 14, 2019 Share Posted February 14, 2019 The systems coming up over the next five days are weak with "snow showers". O K . We have a somewhat normal winter but no KU storms. Still, we've had about three positive busts, a couple of arctic surges, multiple days off for the kiddies and several incidences of sleet. Anyone complaining about the lack of KU storms needs to be reminded that those events are spotty at best. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 14, 2019 Share Posted February 14, 2019 3 minutes ago, winterymix said: The systems coming up over the next five days are weak with "snow showers". O K . We have a somewhat normal winter but no KU storms. Still, we've had about three positive busts, a couple of arctic surges, multiple days off for the kiddies and several incidences of sleet. Anyone complaining about the lack of KU storms needs to be reminded that those events are spotty at best. I would actually lean more towards rain showers after Saturday's virga fest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 14, 2019 Share Posted February 14, 2019 Saturday trending the wrong way is on me. I started making concrete plans to come back to Arlington so things shifted back to a Charlottesville jackpot. Curse is real. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted February 14, 2019 Share Posted February 14, 2019 @Bob Chill @supernovasky I’ll be taking advantage of the weather tomorrow to do some fishing. I’m thinking 4MR. Not sure how they are biting yet at the other ponds/lakes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted February 14, 2019 Share Posted February 14, 2019 2 hours ago, smokeybandit said: Good. Will be entertaining seeing the d7 modeled HECSs continue to Independence Day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted February 14, 2019 Share Posted February 14, 2019 1 hour ago, MillvilleWx said: March '58 or bust! This pattern blows man. I'm gonna be in the 80's today and in the freezer by next week with no snow to show for it I have seen 16 total flakes this winter You moved to Stephens City? Let me know if you need someone to show you around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted February 14, 2019 Share Posted February 14, 2019 9 hours ago, Fozz said: Maybe I haven't paid enough attention, but I've only noticed a handful of posters who's been consistently whiny and negative. Most seem ok at least from what I've seen. Maybe there are other annoying debs too, but I can't really recall who they are. I’ve only been on here 5 years, but I don’t think it’s any worse than previous seasons. Maybe I just don’t give a shit. People will be people, they are annoying, full of doubt, and oblivious to others. It’s the same if you walk into Wegman’s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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