nj2va Posted February 18, 2019 Share Posted February 18, 2019 On 2/18/2019 at 6:37 PM, Mrs.J said: She has a whole page dedicated to just rolls and buns! I am checking it out. https://sallysbakingaddiction.com/category/breakfast-treats/sweet-rolls/ Expand Nice! Her recipes are well laid out and she has some very good tips and tricks she recommends too. She’s also a local! She lives in northern MD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted February 18, 2019 Share Posted February 18, 2019 The Euro isn’t really my preferred model for CAD setups. Will be curious if it is onto something pushing the mid-level warmth as aggressively as it is. Hope not. Snow beats an ice storm for me everytime. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 18, 2019 Share Posted February 18, 2019 On 2/18/2019 at 6:37 PM, nw baltimore wx said: Just wait until Wednesday when I’m posting from a brewery Expand hahaha, my husband asked me this morning what the forecast was for the storm. My reply: schools closed, delayed thursday so ill be at home keeping a kid entertained and working... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted February 18, 2019 Share Posted February 18, 2019 On 2/18/2019 at 6:47 PM, North Balti Zen said: The Euro isn’t really my preferred model for CAD setups. Will be curious if it is onto something pushing the mid-level warmth as aggressively as it is. Hope not. Snow beats an ice storm for me everytime. Expand I’m not sure what model to trust. These storms can bust hard if there isn’t enough of a cold push before precip. And if it does then it can be tougher to scour out. So which one shows that the best? This is where I lean heavily on climo for my specific area. I’m going lower snow and more sleet to rain given how this goes. High temp and DP tomorrow will be key Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ErinInTheSky Posted February 18, 2019 Share Posted February 18, 2019 So I've never done a true ice event here... Is there any chance at all it's going to be safe to drive from Germantown to DC at 6:00 PM on Wednesday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AmericanWxFreak Posted February 18, 2019 Share Posted February 18, 2019 On 2/18/2019 at 6:58 PM, supernovasky said: So I've never done a true ice event here... Is there any chance at all it's going to be safe to drive from Germantown to DC at 6:00 PM on Wednesday? Expand It will be messy but doable IMO - ice events are rare here and even more rare to have them affect paved surfaces. When the roads become a sheet, it is usually always at night with VERY cold surface temps. Mod rain and 30-31 during the day in late feb will have trouble glazing up the road for sure. Trees are another story as we saw last week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted February 18, 2019 Share Posted February 18, 2019 On 2/18/2019 at 6:58 PM, supernovasky said: So I've never done a true ice event here... Is there any chance at all it's going to be safe to drive from Germantown to DC at 6:00 PM on Wednesday? Expand We don't really do full-on ice events here. It's incredibly rare, and unless we have some truly frigid air around to start then don't expect much more than a conversational event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ErinInTheSky Posted February 18, 2019 Share Posted February 18, 2019 On 2/18/2019 at 7:29 PM, mattie g said: We don't really do full-on ice events here. It's incredibly rare, and unless we have some truly frigid air around to start then don't expect much more than a conversational event. Expand On 2/18/2019 at 7:20 PM, AmericanWxFreak said: It will be messy but doable IMO - ice events are rare here and even more rare to have them affect paved surfaces. When the roads become a sheet, it is usually always at night with VERY cold surface temps. Mod rain and 30-31 during the day in late feb will have trouble glazing up the road for sure. Trees are another story as we saw last week. Expand Very pleased to hear this. I was looking at the temps and the roads SEEM like they will be safe at those temps. I'll also be working against the flow of traffic so I have that going for me. I really, really don't want to cancel my date... lol. I even have plans to make mulled wine and hot apple cider for this gal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted February 18, 2019 Share Posted February 18, 2019 I'd like to take this opportunity to declare my hate for events that flip. I've dealt with it all my life having grown up in South Jersey and I've always detested the "snow changing to rain" forecasts. And I don't give a S that we get a lot of our annual snow in flipping events. I still hate them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 18, 2019 Share Posted February 18, 2019 On 2/18/2019 at 7:31 PM, mattie g said: I'd like to take this opportunity to declare my hate for events that flip. I've dealt with it all my life having grown up in South Jerey and I've always detested the "snow changing to rain" forecasts. And I don't give a S that we get a lot of our annual snow in flipping events. I still hate them. Expand What do you hate more: events that flip OR the random ass poster from Sheboygan, PA who will only post obs during an event where DC is 35/rain and they’re at 28 and rippin’ fatties. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted February 18, 2019 Share Posted February 18, 2019 On 2/18/2019 at 7:34 PM, nj2va said: What do you hate more: events that flip OR the random ass poster from Sheboygan, PA who will only post obs during an event where DC is 35/rain and they’re at 28 and rippin’ fatties. Expand Yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 18, 2019 Share Posted February 18, 2019 On 2/18/2019 at 7:36 PM, mattie g said: Yes Expand this answer for multiple questions, crack me up every time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ErinInTheSky Posted February 18, 2019 Share Posted February 18, 2019 I never even knew "snow to rain" was something that happened until I moved here. From Louisiana, the idea of snow turning into rain was flabbergasting to me. Probably because the only time I had ever seen snow was on the trailing end of fronts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 18, 2019 Share Posted February 18, 2019 On 2/18/2019 at 7:30 PM, supernovasky said: Very pleased to hear this. I was looking at the temps and the roads SEEM like they will be safe at those temps. I'll also be working against the flow of traffic so I have that going for me. I really, really don't want to cancel my date... lol. I even have plans to make mulled wine and hot apple cider for this gal. Expand You are a stud. You will be fine either way. If you’re really desperate just bring her to Jl’s house. That should work out great. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ErinInTheSky Posted February 18, 2019 Share Posted February 18, 2019 On 2/18/2019 at 7:43 PM, ravensrule said: You are a stud. You will be fine either way. If you’re really desperate just bring her to Jl’s house. That should work out great. Expand Lmao! Ji as a wingman would be terrible. He'd just constantly be complaining about how unlikely it is that the date goes well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 18, 2019 Share Posted February 18, 2019 uh oh, it’s warm outside Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 18, 2019 Share Posted February 18, 2019 95% of the board is waiting for the inevitable warm run that's all rain and then psu coming in saying he knew it all along but didn't want to say anything Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jandurin Posted February 18, 2019 Share Posted February 18, 2019 if i don't get 8" i'm blaming psu Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 18, 2019 Share Posted February 18, 2019 On 2/18/2019 at 8:16 PM, Jandurin said: if i don't get 8" i'm blaming psu Expand you need to put "of snow" in there, otherwise expect someone (cough @ravensrule cough cough ) to make a joke you didn't intend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rvarookie Posted February 18, 2019 Share Posted February 18, 2019 Taking my lil guy to late VCU game tomorrow night, so hoping for his sake he gets at least delayed opening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 18, 2019 Share Posted February 18, 2019 On 2/18/2019 at 8:04 PM, leesburg 04 said: 95% of the board is waiting for the inevitable warm run that's all rain and then psu coming in saying he knew it all along but didn't want to say anything Expand Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 18, 2019 Share Posted February 18, 2019 On 2/18/2019 at 8:19 PM, mappy said: you need to put "of snow" in there, otherwise expect someone (cough @ravensrule cough cough ) to make a joke you didn't intend. Expand If i get 8” of anything I’m ecstatic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 18, 2019 Share Posted February 18, 2019 On 2/18/2019 at 8:38 PM, stormtracker said: Expand It's not that hard to predict really lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 18, 2019 Share Posted February 18, 2019 LOL at expecting ice in this setup. It's gonna be snow to sleet quickly to plain rain near the cities. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 18, 2019 Share Posted February 18, 2019 On 2/18/2019 at 8:53 PM, PhineasC said: LOL at expecting ice in this setup. It's gonna be snow to sleet quickly to plain rain near the Expand I've had my brain set on sleet bomb from the get go so when the models are showing sleet I'm not disappointed...of course those hunting big totals are disappointed and will have to point out how sleety this storm is and go next Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 18, 2019 Share Posted February 18, 2019 On 2/18/2019 at 8:56 PM, leesburg 04 said: I've had my brain set on sleet bomb from the get go so when the models are showing sleet I'm not disappointed...of course those hunting big totals are disappointed and will have to point out how sleety this storm is and go next Expand I wish I could like this more than once. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 18, 2019 Share Posted February 18, 2019 On 2/18/2019 at 8:53 PM, PhineasC said: LOL at expecting ice in this setup. It's gonna be snow to sleet quickly to plain rain near the cities. Expand Quickly to plain rain doesnt seem likely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 18, 2019 Share Posted February 18, 2019 On 2/18/2019 at 8:56 PM, leesburg 04 said: I've had my brain set on sleet bomb from the get go so when the models are showing sleet I'm not disappointed...of course those hunting big totals are disappointed and will have to point out how sleety this storm is and go next Expand Sleet for sure. I just don't see a ZR threat at all. It's gonna be mod/heavy rain at 31.5 degrees, at best. In DC, it'll be 34 degree rain and we all know that. If the thump fizzles out, this storm will be lame. We need to pray it comes in like a wall, but I could see it spitting with spotty precip for hours on end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 18, 2019 Share Posted February 18, 2019 On 2/18/2019 at 8:57 PM, snowfan said: Quickly to plain rain doesnt seem likely. Expand Moderate rain at 31.5 degrees during the day will not be an ice storm unless you are in the deep woods. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jandurin Posted February 18, 2019 Share Posted February 18, 2019 having storms verify wetter is something we've been doing really well for about a year now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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