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The Annual Countdown to May 1st Thread ©


weatherwiz
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We are still in the dead of winter, but severe weather season is QUICKLY approaching. Last year was insanely busy and we got started rather early with a tornado outbreak on May 15th. It was a historic year down here in CT as 2018 tied 1973 (and we can debate the accuracy of this) for most confirmed tornadoes in one year at 8. CT was even able to pull off some tornadoes into October. Hopefully we can get another active one this year. 

Let the countdown begin!!!

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18 hours ago, #NoPoles said:

Im wondering if there are any stats to indicate how the year following a Historically active Severe Season plays out?

I’m not sure if there is much year-to-year variability...but then again they aren’t relatively common enough to probably yield any type of connection...plus we would have to come up with a way of measuring how “active a season was”. You could do wind/hail reports, but I dint think that is highly accurate although it may give an indication. 

Coukd also do thunderstorm days or events which produced at least an ‘x’ number of reports. 

I think though we tend to go through cycles of increased/decreased activity which span a few years. Like the early to mid 2000’s were active then 2009 into like 2012 was sort of dead outside of 06/01/2011. 

 

 

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2 hours ago, CoastalWx said:

Niño summers tend to have decent tstm activity. It’s probably due to the propensity for troughing into the eastern US.

I could kill to have a summer like 2008. Outside of that year we never really had any other season that was similar to that with a persistent cold pool. Maybe 1992? 

 

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11 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

I could kill to have a summer like 2008. Outside of that year we never really had any other season that was similar to that with a persistent cold pool. Maybe 1992? 

 

No thanks. Not a fan of every sunny summer morning turning into BKN skies by 9am.

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On 2/1/2019 at 9:40 PM, dendrite said:

No thanks. Not a fan of every sunny summer morning turning into BKN skies by 9am.

For those that despise the heat and humidity it was a perfect summer. 

I actually want a repeat of last summer...the days and days of heat/humidity were awesome. 

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  • 4 weeks later...
On 3/4/2019 at 8:50 AM, weatherwiz said:

Looking out the window and thinking...man...its a winter wonderland and in two months it will be all green and we'll likely be tracking severe wx...wow

You're going to have to go #kansasing with Ian to see severe this year lol

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40 minutes ago, CT Rain said:

Wiz isn't commenting on the EML overhead Friday?

Woah when did that change? I was looking at soundings the other day but wasn’t anything impressive then. Spent the last two days focusing on AFW and MEM

 

althiugh it looked a little interesting in the mid-Atlantic 

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