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Upstate/Eastern New York


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Quick recap of the calls for tonight from the local stations...

2... WHY do they let her do the weather?! Her forecast was horrible...
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4... Nice forecast from Santos. He’s thinking band stays city and north all night... and puts down 8-14” by sunrise tomorrow right through the metro. Aggressive but not over the top accumulation calls...
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7.. I think Andy has the bet forecast. Maybe a little conservative but a safe bet as they have it moving around a lot more overnight. I like how they have the really close zoom in on the snow maps.
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NEW YORK

...Erie County...
   2 NW Tonawanda         7.5   745 PM  1/29  Trained Spotter
   Buffalo Airport        6.2  1045 PM  1/29  NWS Office
   1 NW Williamsville     5.5   700 PM  1/29  Trained Spotter
   1 WNW Colden           1.4   700 PM  1/29  Trained Spotter

...Jefferson County...
   Millen Bay             7.3   730 PM  1/29  Trained Spotter
   S Watertown            4.7   800 PM  1/29  CoCoRaHS

...Oswego County...
   3 SSW Redfield         7.0   915 PM  1/29  Trained Spotter
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...A BAND OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL AFFECT NORTHEASTERN ERIE...
NIAGARA...ORLEANS...NORTHWESTERN MONROE AND NORTHWESTERN GENESEE
COUNTIES...

At 1002 PM EST, a band of lake effect snow producing snow fall rates
of 2 inches per hour is across the Buffalo Northtowns, and northern
Genesee County. This band of snow is expected to move northward
across Niagara and Orleans Counties this upcoming hour, before
settling back southward across the City of Buffalo and the Airport.

Winds in excess of 30 mph are possible with this band of lake effect
snow. The gusty winds will create blowing and drifting snow further
reducing the visibility.
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Nice write up from KBUF. I guess we need to see how high we can get the rates as there should be a good 6-8 hour maybe longer lock over the city...

NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
Overnight...

Off Lake Erie...as expected the lake snows were temporarily disrupted
by the passage of the wind shift/surface boundary early this evening...
but have since redeveloped from Long Point northeastward to the city
of Buffalo and the Buffalo airport. Judging from current radar trends
which suggest another northward shift is imminent...this band should
jog back northward into far Northern Erie and Niagara/Orleans counties
over the next hour or so...before wobbling back southward again in
tandem with another subtle wind shift between 11 PM and midnight.
After that time the band should lock directly in over Buffalo, the
airport, Northtowns, and points ENE into Genesee County near or just
north of Batavia. Increasingly strong winds should also direct the band
to just about Rochester overnight. Additional snow amounts, on top of
what fell during the daylight hours, should amount to 5 to 9 inches
under the band. At least through the overnight hours, this band will
have minimal affect for the Southtowns, Boston hills, and much of
Wyoming County.


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1 minute ago, WxWatcher007 said:

Nice ^

1.75” new snow in the last 90 minutes. Wind has definitely picked up and the snow is definitely blowing around. Going to be hard to measure from here on out.

 

Watching the radar was pretty sweet. You could see the transition line of snow moving in from the south, and snow moving in from the northwest.

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S+ continues here, over 12” for the event now. 

Nice! Maybe this is finally the event you guys up in the northtowns have been waiting for. That sucker is ripping through the city right now! Looks like another wobble north and starting to lock in. Anyone have any idea on rates? 2-3”/hr? Flake size is noticeably getting smaller.
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10 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said:

Have to say I was very skeptical that we’d put up good numbers today here but we did...and all it took was a short window of good returns.

I’m excited about tomorrow with the combination of cold, wind, and (hopefully) SN+++

Back to flurries for the first time since the afternoon. Got a very nice jebwalk in. 

 

 

 

 

Nice! I went for a jebwalk too. NO street lights around here...that's for sure. Hah.

Looking forward to tracking this with you and Wolfie. Nice to have someone reporting from the northern side for this.

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Going to bed. Winds are strong enough now that measuring is impossible. I’d say that we have had at least a foot or so since this morning. Dendrites are much smaller but coming down at a higher rate. Looking forward to clearing this out in the morning and admiring the snowpiles!

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