wolfie09 Posted February 13, 2019 Share Posted February 13, 2019 like i stated the other day we are the real transition zone lol Too many people mistake WSW flow for a straight Westerly flow, from carol to worth is the place to be.. But at the same time it's not suppose to be this bad lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 13, 2019 Share Posted February 13, 2019 Westerly flow is just not as long lasting as i assumed, u can see a lot of this from the lake effect archives.. Best events are long duration with oscillating bands that pass through several times lol But they sure can pack a punch.. Couple events from last year.. Snowfall rates are estimated to have peaked around 3 inches per hour Monday morning judging from NY State Mesonet webcams and snow stakes. Some thunder snow was also noted over the Tug Hill around mid-day Monday, just before the lake effect plume began to weaken. By the time the snow plume quickly diminished Monday afternoon, up to a foot of snow had fallen across southern and central portions of the Tug Hill in just a few hours Monday morning. Given the high snowfall rates produced off of both lakes, including over metro Buffalo during the evening commute, as well as max accumulations over 2 feet over the southern Tug Hill in less than 12 hours, this event earns 3 flakes *** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted February 13, 2019 Share Posted February 13, 2019 2 hours ago, DeltaT13 said: There must be something wrong with the models as they show two low pressure centers going south of us before the next 26 consecutive rain storms. That can't be right!? The system in the Sunday-Monday time frame looks good on the GFS with a short stint of NW LE on the back side. CMC is looking good as well, just a bit slower/suppressed/weaker. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 13, 2019 Share Posted February 13, 2019 This ones over guys.. Delta jinxed it.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted February 13, 2019 Share Posted February 13, 2019 Snowing heavily in williamsville at the moment, radar looks good for the next 2 hours or so might pick up a windblown couple of inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 13, 2019 Share Posted February 13, 2019 Ukmet agrees with the german.. Would fit the seasonal trend for sure.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted February 13, 2019 Share Posted February 13, 2019 24 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: This ones over guys.. Delta jinxed it.. Looks a bit like yesterday redux? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 13, 2019 Share Posted February 13, 2019 The seasonal trend that wont end lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 13, 2019 Share Posted February 13, 2019 Thats exactly what it looks like lol Last nights euro was supressed, would think it should jog north some at 12z.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted February 13, 2019 Share Posted February 13, 2019 The season of too-far-north Miller Bs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 13, 2019 Share Posted February 13, 2019 I actually enjoy these types of events it's better then being cold and dry missing everything to the south.. The problem is getting these primary's to weaken in time lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted February 13, 2019 Share Posted February 13, 2019 Another muted event with the lake out of play. Man if we would have gotten into this pattern a month sooner we would have mountains of snow in BUF metro. Frozen lake and we still have a band trying to setup through the city. This is I believe the third time in the past two weeks we have had a WSW-SW flow setup but no lake to work with.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted February 13, 2019 Share Posted February 13, 2019 22 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: I actually enjoy these types of events it's better then being cold and dry missing everything to the south.. The problem is getting these primary's to weaken in time lol You enjoy cold rain events with nuisance snow and nasty flash freezes afterwards? GTFO, no one likes this horrible weather. Utterly useless for nearly everything. But hey, at least someone is happy about this nonsense I guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted February 13, 2019 Share Posted February 13, 2019 6 minutes ago, DeltaT13 said: You enjoy cold rain events with nuisance snow and nasty flash freezes afterwards? GTFO, no one likes this horrible weather. Utterly useless for nearly everything. But hey, at least someone is happy about this nonsense I guess. Does somebody need a hug? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 13, 2019 Share Posted February 13, 2019 i'd rather have any weather then no weather.. I also live in a colder climo then you..We do better with SWFE type events and almost always do better on the backside..Maybe not so much this year but in an "average" year.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted February 13, 2019 Share Posted February 13, 2019 8 minutes ago, DeltaT13 said: You enjoy cold rain events with nuisance snow and nasty flash freezes afterwards? GTFO, no one likes this horrible weather. Utterly useless for nearly everything. But hey, at least someone is happy about this nonsense I guess. Hey those two models are as credible as a sales person from Attica university. The GFS and the Euro show a decent event for next Monday and Tues...not gonna worry about the GEM or the ICON Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 13, 2019 Share Posted February 13, 2019 We our having a terrible year here and still almost double that of KROC which is currently 2 inches below average .. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 13, 2019 Share Posted February 13, 2019 Just like gtfo when it come to wind, who the fook has fetishes over wind? Does absolutely nothing but make it feel colder, impossible to measure and causes extensive property damage... Really irks me when people think their opinions matter more then others.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted February 13, 2019 Share Posted February 13, 2019 Really kicking downtown. Rates gotta be close to 2”/hr at the moment... Nothing like driving up that skyway ramp into a cloud of white.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 13, 2019 Author Share Posted February 13, 2019 That's a nice band through the city. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted February 13, 2019 Share Posted February 13, 2019 Blizzard Conditions reported at KBUF top of the hour... . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 13, 2019 Share Posted February 13, 2019 I guess the 5 day storm is the one to watch. I wouldn’t bet against another cutter. That H is gonna get too far ahead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted February 13, 2019 Share Posted February 13, 2019 Overachiever! lol... URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Buffalo NY 243 PM EST Wed Feb 13 2019 NYZ001>003-010-011-013-021-140345- /O.EXA.KBUF.WW.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-190214T0600Z/ Niagara-Orleans-Monroe-Northern Erie-Genesee-Livingston-Allegany- Including the cities of Niagara Falls, Medina, Rochester, Buffalo, Batavia, Geneseo, and Wellsville 243 PM EST Wed Feb 13 2019 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST THURSDAY... * WHAT...Lake effect snow. Additional snow accumulations of up to 2 inches in the most persistent lake snows. Winds gusting as high as 50 mph. This may bring short bursts of whiteout conditions. * WHERE...Niagara, Orleans, Monroe, Northern Erie, Genesee, Livingston, and Allegany counties. * WHEN...Until 1 AM EST Thursday. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Areas of blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous conditions could impact the evening commute. Gusty winds could bring down tree branches. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Lake effect snow will fall in relatively narrow bands. If traveling, be prepared for rapidly changing road conditions and visibilities. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted February 13, 2019 Share Posted February 13, 2019 Just now, SouthBuffaloSteve said: Overachiever! lol... URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Buffalo NY 243 PM EST Wed Feb 13 2019 NYZ001>003-010-011-013-021-140345- /O.EXA.KBUF.WW.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-190214T0600Z/ Niagara-Orleans-Monroe-Northern Erie-Genesee-Livingston-Allegany- Including the cities of Niagara Falls, Medina, Rochester, Buffalo, Batavia, Geneseo, and Wellsville 243 PM EST Wed Feb 13 2019 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST THURSDAY... * WHAT...Lake effect snow. Additional snow accumulations of up to 2 inches in the most persistent lake snows. Winds gusting as high as 50 mph. This may bring short bursts of whiteout conditions. * WHERE...Niagara, Orleans, Monroe, Northern Erie, Genesee, Livingston, and Allegany counties. * WHEN...Until 1 AM EST Thursday. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Areas of blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous conditions could impact the evening commute. Gusty winds could bring down tree branches. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Lake effect snow will fall in relatively narrow bands. If traveling, be prepared for rapidly changing road conditions and visibilities. Even have S+ in Ontario now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted February 13, 2019 Share Posted February 13, 2019 1 hour ago, wolfie09 said: Just like gtfo when it come to wind, who the fook has fetishes over wind? Does absolutely nothing but make it feel colder, impossible to measure and causes extensive property damage... Really irks me when people think their opinions matter more then others.. Whoa, relax man. I was just surprised to hear someone say they like a cold rain; which is commonly seen as one of the more vile weather setups. A lot of really sensitive people around here as of late. And ****ing hell, I didnt say my opinion mattered more, you perceived it that way. I think you could have countered my argument without getting nasty. As for wind, I truly find it to be one of the most interesting and amazing phenomena of all the weather. You can feel the power and hear the roar of one of the most powerful forces on the planet and you realize that all of the air around you is literally being sucked away by a storm a thousand miles away, its utterly amazing. Also, hearing gusts of winds slowly build and realizing that a huge invisible turbulent eddy is being drawn towards the surface is incredible. I'm really surprised people don't enjoy wind more. It's one of the more tangible examples of the pressure differences on the planet, while also being invisible at the same time which is pretty cool. Side note - You can enjoy hearing and seeing wind without being cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted February 13, 2019 Share Posted February 13, 2019 1 hour ago, wolfie09 said: Just like gtfo when it come to wind, who the fook has fetishes over wind? Does absolutely nothing but make it feel colder, impossible to measure and causes extensive property damage... Really irks me when people think their opinions matter more then others.. Also, you'll be happy to know that during the awesome wind event last Thursday night. A big branch smashed my new truck causing 1200 dollars of damage yet I still love the wind and wish it was even windier that night. I'm a glutton. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted February 13, 2019 Share Posted February 13, 2019 3 minutes ago, DeltaT13 said: Also, you'll be happy to know that during the awesome wind event last Thursday night. A big branch smashed my new truck causing 1200 dollars of damage yet I still love the wind and wish it was even windier that night. I'm a glutton. A glutton for property damage! LOL. I like the wind as well...it's powerfully invisible and scares a lot of people! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted February 13, 2019 Share Posted February 13, 2019 You’re lucky that’s only $1200 worth of damage. Are they able to fix it without having to repaint your hood? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted February 13, 2019 Share Posted February 13, 2019 Wouldn't be surprised to see a SWS for the bands of snow coming into NIA cty...heavy stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted February 13, 2019 Share Posted February 13, 2019 1 minute ago, CNY_WX said: You’re lucky that’s only $1200 worth of damage. Are they able to fix it without having to repaint your hood? Insurance wants to replace the whole hood rather than attempt to repair. 1200 dollars is cost to replace and paint match. I'm not even sure I'm going to fix it, might just wear it like a badge of honor. The paint didnt chip or scratch so it shouldnt rust. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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