BuffaloWeather Posted February 8, 2019 Author Share Posted February 8, 2019 Honestly I think I may like Aldis more then Wegmans, the quality is almost as good and the price is nearly in half. I also enjoy less aisles and less choices. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 8, 2019 Author Share Posted February 8, 2019 50 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: So the euro is a good front end thump followed by a decent amount of ice.Plenty of wraparound moisture which is probably higher then 10-1.. That's alot of ice up near from Fulton out towards you guys. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 8, 2019 Share Posted February 8, 2019 52 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: That's alot of ice up near from Fulton out towards you guys. Here is the frame before lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 8, 2019 Author Share Posted February 8, 2019 1 minute ago, wolfie09 said: Here is the frame before lol I'd finally get my good ice storm, the last one wasn't too great down here. Breaking out the skates in the streets if that happens. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 8, 2019 Share Posted February 8, 2019 Couple days later we deal with this again lol Another double barrel low.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 8, 2019 Share Posted February 8, 2019 Today the strong winds are blowing the best snow just east of here. On and off snow showers. Not impressed at all. There's always something. The RAP and HRRR are waaaay south with the band. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 8, 2019 Share Posted February 8, 2019 Active pattern.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 8, 2019 Author Share Posted February 8, 2019 5 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Active pattern.. I like the pattern for synoptic. Cold air is nearby and an active storm track with lots of moisture. We probably rain one, ice one, and snow one the next two weeks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 8, 2019 Author Share Posted February 8, 2019 11 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: Today the strong winds are blowing the best snow just east of here. On and off snow showers. Not impressed at all. There's always something. The RAP and HRRR are waaaay south with the band. Yeah best band will likely be a line from Fulton to Syracuse, looks to swing pretty quickly through the tug. Just an overall bad year for the tug. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 8, 2019 Author Share Posted February 8, 2019 6 hours ago, SouthBuffaloSteve said: Both 4 and 7 made adjustments for suspected areas of open water and wow! Showing a band over the northtowns around lunch time then intensifying and dropping through the metro for the PM rush... Near Blizzard conditions possible... Only thing is neither model picked up the current band over the southtowns. Both just showed one setting up over the northtowns around noon - 1pm. Might as well be forecasting this with a blind fold on. No one has any idea where these open pools are right now and if you don’t know that forget even trying to predict where these bands will be... . That bands going to have to show up soon to have those radars verify. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 8, 2019 Share Posted February 8, 2019 Just now, BuffaloWeather said: Yeah best band will likely be a line from Fulton to Syracuse, looks to swing pretty quickly through the tug. Just an overall bad year for the tug. Awful. One disappointment after another. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 8, 2019 Author Share Posted February 8, 2019 7 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: Awful. One disappointment after another. Next year will be better. Last year was a great tug year. There is still 2 months left for good snows up there, so you never know still. You can get lake effect into late March. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted February 8, 2019 Share Posted February 8, 2019 KBGM revised map for tonite basically pushes the snow further north, as expected. Still a sliver of 6" indicated IMBY and by CNY in Cicero, north of Syracuse and up into Oneida county. This'll be a 1-4" here, mostly towards dawn or thereafter on sat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 8, 2019 Share Posted February 8, 2019 Moving on into the last 36 hours of this period...it still appears that a complex...double-barreled low pressure system will move through the Great Lakes and Northeast Monday night through Tuesday night...with an incipient cutter-type low tracking by to our northwest...and a secondary coastal low developing and tracking northeastward off the mid-Atlantic and New England coastlines. While some differences in timing still persist with respect to the arrival of this system (with the GFS remaining notably more aggressive than its ECMWF and GEM counterparts Monday night)...it is appearing increasingly certain that the majority of our region can expect a round of widespread precipitation Tuesday and Tuesday night...for which PoPs have been further bumped up into the categorical range. With respect to ptype...our airmass should initially be cold enough for mainly snow Monday night and Tuesday morning. An incursion of warmer air out ahead of the initial primary low should then induce a mix with and/or changeover to rain for a time later Tuesday afternoon and Tuesday evening...before developing cold air advection in the wake of this system`s trailing occluded front tips the balance back more toward snow during the second half of Tuesday night. When we open this period on Wednesday...a large closed low will be centered over southern Ontario. As is typically the case with such a mid level system in this area...there will be the likelihood for Miller B cyclogenesis to take place along the New England coast. The vast majority of the medium range ensembles and operational packages concur with this climatology by depicting a primary surface low in the vcnty of Lake Huron with a secondary storm taking shape near the Gulf of Maine. The transference of energy to the coastal storm will dramatically weaken the primary cyclone to our west...virtually eliminating the risk for any wind issues as would otherwise be the concern. This will leave accumulating snow as our primary weather... with the most problematic amounts being found over the Eastern Lake Ontario region where some lake enhancement will also come into play. As the secondary storm chugs across the Canadian maritimes and its slow moving mid level support exits via the St Lawrence Valley...a cold west-northwest flow of -12c H50 air will flow across Lake Ontario. This will likely keep a well defined band of accumulating lake snows in the vcnty of the Tug Hill/Oswego County...with a much more muted lake response found east of a nearly completely frozen over Lake Erie. Otherwise scattered light snow showers will be possible within the moist cyclonic flow on the backside of the mid level support. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WNash Posted February 8, 2019 Share Posted February 8, 2019 39 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: That bands going to have to show up soon to have those radars verify. Lol I don't think so, Cejka Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 8, 2019 Share Posted February 8, 2019 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 8, 2019 Share Posted February 8, 2019 Lol. Seriously think the Southern Tug has gotten the least amount of LES than any of the major snow belts this winter. I have yet to see a LES event this winter that drops more than 4 to 6 inches. I can't even....New map Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 8, 2019 Share Posted February 8, 2019 Yea very unlucky, even pulaski has had 9" and 12" LES events over the last 10-14 days.. This system is coming is pretty much 2 parts , as we see something from the primary and secondary.. Here is the intial burst on the gfs as we flip over to light rain/drizzle/dryslot.. Probably will have to wait for the meso-models to get into range for any Enhancement on wed.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 8, 2019 Share Posted February 8, 2019 Missing out on a beautiful westerly flow lol On and off bouts of mod-heavy snow.. By 10pm we start to go more northerly.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 9, 2019 Share Posted February 9, 2019 Brutal out at the moment, some of the worst I have seen this year, combo of wind and snow.. Looks like a band has finally organized, to little to late, should start heading down south soon.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted February 9, 2019 Share Posted February 9, 2019 I think someone gets crushed under that band as its a beaut and its intensifying as it slowly drops South! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted February 9, 2019 Share Posted February 9, 2019 I also know that this event will not be done tomorrow so I don't know where their coming from with this ending tomorrow but we'll see! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted February 9, 2019 Share Posted February 9, 2019 Shes knocking on my door right now! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 9, 2019 Share Posted February 9, 2019 I am in the center of the band. Dumping snow right now. Unfortunately it looks like just as it got intense it is starting to shift south now already. Definitely a couple inches an hour intensity under these yellows on the radar. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted February 9, 2019 Share Posted February 9, 2019 There's already a triple connection Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted February 9, 2019 Share Posted February 9, 2019 This is gonna be close man. It's eventually gotta drop South of me as the Cuse is expecting a couple to a few inches as well tomorrow but it may once again intensify and head back North tomorrow too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 9, 2019 Share Posted February 9, 2019 Gah...It needs to slow down. Geesh. Took some pretty cool video. It is literally like a white hurricane outside with all the wind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted February 9, 2019 Share Posted February 9, 2019 I think your gonna get it good too Wolf! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted February 9, 2019 Share Posted February 9, 2019 As a wind lover, this wind event has over performed big time. Wind is absolutely roaring still. Coming up on 19 straight hours of gusts 40+ I'm loving it! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted February 9, 2019 Share Posted February 9, 2019 This band is 2 miles to my North in all seriousness, lol! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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