wolfie09 Posted February 8, 2019 Share Posted February 8, 2019 you will be fine lol It's also still snowing in the southern part of the county.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 8, 2019 Share Posted February 8, 2019 Fulton to Parish to Camden looking good. That area has lacked good LES as well. HRWs look good. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 8, 2019 Share Posted February 8, 2019 1 hour ago, SouthBuffaloSteve said: Out this way? Hovered in the low 30s most of the day with some freezing drizzle. Once the rain moved in we bumped up to the mid 30s and now with the southerly down slope wind firing up we are climbing the temperature roller coaster to almost 60 in the next few hours. All that to see it crash back into the 20s by sunrise with some flurries. Gotta love upstate weather. How did the Niagara frontier fare in regards to ice? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 8, 2019 Share Posted February 8, 2019 GFS is back to last night's 0z cutter, weak/late secondary.. Nice front end thump followed by mix/RN/dz..slop.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 8, 2019 Share Posted February 8, 2019 9 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: GFS is back to last night's 0z cutter, weak/late secondary.. Nice front end thump followed by mix/RN/dz..slop.. Canadian looks to be heading that way too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 8, 2019 Share Posted February 8, 2019 Yeah, Canadian redeemed it self last second lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 8, 2019 Share Posted February 8, 2019 1 minute ago, wolfie09 said: Yeah, Canadian redeemed it self last second lol Haha...saw that. We need the secondary to form off the coast at just the right time. If so, we can stay snow and benefit from both lows. Any guesses on the likelihood of that happening? Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted February 8, 2019 Share Posted February 8, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted February 8, 2019 Share Posted February 8, 2019 Channel 3, Wayne Mahar is horrific! wait thats channel 9, either way! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted February 8, 2019 Share Posted February 8, 2019 Winter Storm WarningURGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Buffalo NY 337 AM EST Fri Feb 8 2019 NYZ006-081645- /O.NEW.KBUF.WS.W.0006.190208T2000Z-190209T1800Z/ Oswego- Including the city of Oswego 337 AM EST Fri Feb 8 2019 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 1 PM EST SATURDAY... * WHAT...Heavy lake effect snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 6 to 10 inches expected in the most persistent lake snows. Winds gusts of 45 mph tonight will create blowing and drifting snow. * WHERE...Oswego county. * WHEN...From 3 PM this afternoon to 1 PM EST Saturday. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous conditions could impact the evening commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Heavy snow will fall in relatively narrow bands. If traveling, be prepared for rapidly changing road conditions and visibilities. Sent from my SM-G930V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted February 8, 2019 Share Posted February 8, 2019 Let's see how close to my North this band can come. The closest I've seen has been 3.5 miles North but this might come closer. I mean, its gotta be out turn at least once this yr as everyone else has had their own personal snowstorm on here so far, so now its our turn, lol!Sent from my SM-G930V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted February 8, 2019 Share Posted February 8, 2019 Nam is weak sauce! Right over my crib is this one! all in all, not bad so we wait Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted February 8, 2019 Share Posted February 8, 2019 Despite the ice cover still looking at a pretty impressive seiche on Lake Erie this morning... Have a feeling the ice boom has probably been topped at this point.Buffalo Rise...Toledo Drop.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted February 8, 2019 Share Posted February 8, 2019 KBGM map. Unusually well coordinated with KBUF's snowfall map. My PnC has 5" tonite and 3" tomorrow. We'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted February 8, 2019 Share Posted February 8, 2019 Well if we are going to see something off Lake Erie it should fire up in the next 1-2 hours. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted February 8, 2019 Share Posted February 8, 2019 Big time ice flows escaping Lake Erie and heading down the Niagara River right now... . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 8, 2019 Share Posted February 8, 2019 We do mix for a brief time on the euro but still drops double digits snowfall.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 8, 2019 Share Posted February 8, 2019 GFS para was mostly snow as well, with mixing making it to the southern part of the county.. Good amount of lake effect on the backside east of Ontario but that's for another day lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckeyes_Suck Posted February 8, 2019 Share Posted February 8, 2019 Lake erie looks like its firing up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted February 8, 2019 Share Posted February 8, 2019 Lake erie looks like its firing up . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 8, 2019 Author Share Posted February 8, 2019 Crazy weather here overnight. I didn't get any sleep as stuff kept hitting my apartment. (Still remodeling the house, haven't moved in yet) My front aluminum door blew off into the driveway. Getting heavy snow here right now with insane winds. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted February 8, 2019 Share Posted February 8, 2019 They don't even know, lol, how horrible? With the advent of cold advection this morning, model soundings are quickly shifting colder, and the unstable layer with minimally sheared flow will allow for lake effect snow bands to form underneath a more general large scale snow simply from a more efficient ice crystal growth habit in the cold advection. Light snow has developed over eastern Lake Erie and nearby portions of Ontario, amd likewise some banding of snow is noted in areas we are fairly certain that contain open water over the lake (there are mostly just to the NW of Cleveland from the GLERL analysis). However, we haven`t gotten a good look at the lake yet to better ascertain where additional banding may form from, so this update really just favors much higher PoPs for the day for snow showers over WNY and around an inch of accumulation. It does seem some banding is developing into the Southtowns as of this writing, so if we can determine there is a source for this in the lake, additional updates may be necessary. There is very definite potential for an upside surprise today in the Buffalo area, to be certain. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted February 8, 2019 Share Posted February 8, 2019 Both 4 and 7 made adjustments for suspected areas of open water and wow! Showing a band over the northtowns around lunch time then intensifying and dropping through the metro for the PM rush... Near Blizzard conditions possible... Only thing is neither model picked up the current band over the southtowns. Both just showed one setting up over the northtowns around noon - 1pm. Might as well be forecasting this with a blind fold on. No one has any idea where these open pools are right now and if you don’t know that forget even trying to predict where these bands will be.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted February 8, 2019 Share Posted February 8, 2019 I think KBUF easily sees a quick 4-6" before any bands drop South so we'll see! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted February 8, 2019 Share Posted February 8, 2019 I'm gonna laugh when KBUF see's their 3rd event in a week, and while we're under warnings here, they'll receive more than we do guaranteed, RLMAO! Can it get any worse this yr, WOW, please let it end! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted February 8, 2019 Share Posted February 8, 2019 You can definitely see the Ice doing a number on the bands that are trying to form, interesting! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted February 8, 2019 Share Posted February 8, 2019 Sweet band just to the South of Hamburg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckeyes_Suck Posted February 8, 2019 Share Posted February 8, 2019 yay Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 8, 2019 Share Posted February 8, 2019 Congrats freak To bad it's the worst meso model we have Should be a nice show down there tonight, good luck!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted February 8, 2019 Share Posted February 8, 2019 Just now, wolfie09 said: Congrats freak To bad it's the worst meso model we have Should be a nice show down there tonight, good luck!! Why you gotta hate on the one model that's finally showing a hit in my general area, for the first time, wow, you guys up Nprth are selfish, lol! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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