Syrmax Posted February 6, 2019 Share Posted February 6, 2019 5 hours ago, CNY_WX said: Don’t get too excited, it’s still a week out. The only thing I'm tracking is the status of my flight out to Arizona next Friday. A few days of golf to get far away this miserable weather. Bring the Blowtorches! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 6, 2019 Share Posted February 6, 2019 2 hours ago, wolfie09 said: This looks good for you Matt.. GFS also shows a West wind for about 12hours, so we'll see .. Looks much better. Great for me with upsloping doing its job. Now can we hold it for a day and a half?!!? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 7, 2019 Share Posted February 7, 2019 1 hour ago, mississaugasnow said: Looking pretty rainy for the next few weeks. I was also looking at some spring outlooks and the consensus seems to be that we flip from winter to spring in early-mid march. Theres going to be a tiny window at the end of February for some winter weather. It has been Spring. Like a late March pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 7, 2019 Share Posted February 7, 2019 Does the long range on the Euro look as putrid as the GFS does? Cutter after cutter.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vicarious Posted February 7, 2019 Share Posted February 7, 2019 1 hour ago, MAIDEsNow.2 said: For those in the Lake Erie belts, photos from atop the RF2 Coaster at work here just west of Erie from this afternoon. Pretty much ice free, as far as i could see either direction. Little cloudy, but i think it shows the open water. Was pretty much locked up as late as Sat. 2/2/19 of this past weekend. LES in the cards again if any cold air appears. great pics, I would of thought there would be some ice by the shore Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 7, 2019 Author Share Posted February 7, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted February 7, 2019 Share Posted February 7, 2019 Those winds tomorrow night are gonna shift the lake ice all around... maybe open up a few spots for some activity off Erie as well once the front passes and temps crash?I’m also curious about this spot on the north shore. Clouds have blocked the MODIS view since Monday but that last shot showed a nice area of thin slush ice or possibly no ice? Considering we’ve stayed on the warmer side since this shot one would assume it could still be in play even though the charts are showing a solid ice pack? . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted February 7, 2019 Share Posted February 7, 2019 NAM thinks there is some open water in play as well. Trying to setup a band over the city for a couple hours. Not spitting out more than an inch or two but still interesting to see the lake still putting up a fight!. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 7, 2019 Share Posted February 7, 2019 I can see it taking shape already via models. Northern Tug gets hit, quickly swings through the Southern Tug, and settles south of here. This winter has literally been the same song and dance with every event. No need to watch any of the news outlets. My wife went and sat on our enclosed back porch during our warm day yesterday and had a mosquito attacking her. With that sign of spring approaching, I am getting closer to calling it...this winter has burned me out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 7, 2019 Share Posted February 7, 2019 Looking forward to tracking this cold front passage. Looks like it will be pretty wild with strong winds for a couple hours and flash freezing. Though the strong winds tend to dry things off quickly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted February 7, 2019 Share Posted February 7, 2019 Euro caved to the GFS, lol! No transfer and we rain from beginning to end, I'm done, see everyone next season! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted February 7, 2019 Share Posted February 7, 2019 24 minutes ago, CNY-WXFREAK said: Euro caved to the GFS, lol! No transfer and we rain from beginning to end, I'm done, see everyone next season! I don’t know the details of what the Euro is showing but the GFS gives us a 3-6 inch front end thump before changing to rain and the FV3 keeps enough of a coastal development to keep it mostly snow over us. GFS then follows up with a snow event the following weekend. What about the lake effect potential for tomorrow night? It looks like southern Oswego County will finally get into this one. Do we need a 2 foot forecast to get excited? Freak, I love your penchant for hyperbole but you and I both know you’re not going anywhere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 7, 2019 Share Posted February 7, 2019 It's more like euro caved to the icon lol It's had a cutter the entire time.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted February 7, 2019 Share Posted February 7, 2019 True, and Fridays LE will be in C to No Oswego cty, and you know this, lol! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 7, 2019 Share Posted February 7, 2019 NWS loves kfzy lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted February 7, 2019 Share Posted February 7, 2019 When its snows here you will all know, lol! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted February 7, 2019 Share Posted February 7, 2019 24 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: NWS loves kfzy lol They must know you've relocated and are taunting you! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 7, 2019 Share Posted February 7, 2019 Sr models starting to come out now.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 7, 2019 Share Posted February 7, 2019 28 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: NWS loves kfzy lol They put that there to appease Freak. Then they shaped the area around the Tug to look like an Elvis Presley Pac Man about to gobble wolfie's house. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 7, 2019 Share Posted February 7, 2019 Band will find its way north of "freak" and south of me lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 7, 2019 Share Posted February 7, 2019 Fulton special . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted February 7, 2019 Share Posted February 7, 2019 it sure will , lol, as thats what I fully expect! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 7, 2019 Author Share Posted February 7, 2019 Some nice winds tomorrow. ...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 5 PM EST FRIDAY... * LOCATIONS...Niagara, Orleans, Monroe, Erie, Genesee, and Wyoming counties. * TIMING...From midnight tonight through late Friday afternoon. * WINDS...Southwest 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 60 mph. * IMPACTS...Strong wind gusts will bring down trees and power lines and result in scattered power outages. Minor property damage is also possible, especially to roofs and siding. Travel in high profile vehicles will be very difficult at times. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 7, 2019 Share Posted February 7, 2019 Gfs restores Hope..lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 7, 2019 Share Posted February 7, 2019 This inlcudes Lake enhancement/effect on the backside.. Just trying to get your hopes up again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 7, 2019 Share Posted February 7, 2019 Para Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 7, 2019 Share Posted February 7, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 7, 2019 Share Posted February 7, 2019 I'd rather these systems whiff us to the south than cut and drop a couple inches of rain every couple days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 7, 2019 Share Posted February 7, 2019 Stop posting Kuchera maps, wolfie! 350 inches of "Kuchera" later..... How's that worked out for ya this winter..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 7, 2019 Share Posted February 7, 2019 Models starting to show a much weaker primary low up the lakes..The euro is all snow here..But we kinda sit in the middle of 2 systems fighting for supremacy.. The icon is the only model showing rain here on the 12z guidance... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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