CNY-WXFREAK Posted February 1, 2019 Share Posted February 1, 2019 Euro is a complete shit show for the next 15 days with temps making it up to the mid-upper 50's at times with lows above freezing, lol! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted February 1, 2019 Share Posted February 1, 2019 3 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: I hear ya. Last week, one of the guys going on the trip with us killed himself, which put everything into perspective. I wasn’t great friends with him but some of the others were. As far as I know, we are still going. Suffice to say, I’ll be worrying less about a little rain and focusing on just having a good time with the people around me. My trip to Snow Ridge followed some horrible weather (rain followed by extreme cold) and the conditions were surprisingly good. These new parabolic (I’m sooo old) skis do really well on hard pack. Spring skiing can also be great as long as it isn’t actively pouring on you. Have fun Delta! Hope it is great! Upload some pics. Geez man, that's awful. Definitely puts our minor grievances in perspective. We'll still have fun, just won't crush the slopes like I have envisioned. Enjoy Vermont! I'll post some pics when I can. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cny rider Posted February 1, 2019 Share Posted February 1, 2019 1 hour ago, DeltaT13 said: Yeah, some hints at redemption for the second half of the week but it's close call still. The fact that I have to cancel hotel reservations at specific times in order to get refunds will make the next few days of weather watching a bit stressful. At this point I think I'm just shit canning the Vermont half of the trip. Cut my losses and save vacation and money. When are you leaving? We are headed to Stowe Thursday morning. Staying through Monday. I'm holding out hope that the Friday event produces snow up there. There's no snow depth issues up there so if it wants to be 40F and sunny every day we would gladly take spring skiing conditions. I just don't want rain then a freeze without snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buffalo Bumble Posted February 1, 2019 Share Posted February 1, 2019 1 hour ago, TugHillMatt said: Last night, about 4 inches and the band shortened to miss us mostly. Lol. The LES has SUCKED for the Southern Tug. Got 16 inches during the course of the week, so not a total shut out....but it was literally 4 periods of 4 inch snowfalls. 2 feet on the ground...I bet areas north have 4 to 5. Par for the course man. No single spot is ever guaranteed big accumulations when it comes to lake effect snow. Some seasons will favor w/wsw flows, others will be w/wnw. Yet others will spread the wealth. You’re in a great spot over the long term average to get big events. And like you said, not like it’s been a total shutout. 2’ OTG is still big time! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 1, 2019 Share Posted February 1, 2019 31 minutes ago, cny rider said: When are you leaving? We are headed to Stowe Thursday morning. Staying through Monday. I'm holding out hope that the Friday event produces snow up there. There's no snow depth issues up there so if it wants to be 40F and sunny every day we would gladly take spring skiing conditions. I just don't want rain then a freeze without snow. The 12z operational runs (GFS products) look hopeful for the Thursday/Friday event. Unfortunately, the ensembles look warm. We will see. I would take spring conditions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buffalo Bumble Posted February 1, 2019 Share Posted February 1, 2019 1 hour ago, CNY-WXFREAK said: Euro is a complete shit show for the next 15 days with temps making it up to the mid-upper 50's at times with lows above freezing, lol! Op yes, EPS = no. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted February 1, 2019 Share Posted February 1, 2019 Good call Dave on Oswego getting virtually nothing as they're nearing close to a foot as we speak and it's still coming down very hard, lol!Sent from my SM-G930V using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted February 1, 2019 Share Posted February 1, 2019 13 minutes ago, CNY-LES FREAK said: Good call Dave on Oswego getting virtually nothing as they're nearing close to a foot as we speak and it's still coming down very hard, lol! Sent from my SM-G930V using Tapatalk What? The campus got a couple inches. Where did you see a foot? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PWC Split Posted February 1, 2019 Share Posted February 1, 2019 I can confirm that it has been snowing moderately in Oswego City for the last 3-4 hours. Probably about 4-5 inches since 1 pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted February 1, 2019 Share Posted February 1, 2019 3 hours ago, cny rider said: When are you leaving? We are headed to Stowe Thursday morning. Staying through Monday. I'm holding out hope that the Friday event produces snow up there. There's no snow depth issues up there so if it wants to be 40F and sunny every day we would gladly take spring skiing conditions. I just don't want rain then a freeze without snow. Leaving Sunday at 5am. Hoping to ride 4 hours at Whiteface on Sunday afternoon. Then we stay in Lake Placid until Thursday morning. Thursday we drive to Stowe/smugglers notch and stay in that area until Sunday. Plans are in flux. Hoping the high peaks of vermont can stay all snow with the follow up system. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 2, 2019 Share Posted February 2, 2019 Cold, but beautiful winter-like afternoon for working outside. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 2, 2019 Share Posted February 2, 2019 In the woods where the snow hasn't melted as much during our thaws, there is snow actually up to my thighs. So it has been adding up nicely back there over the winter. So, for a relatively lame winter, there is still a nice snow pack. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 2, 2019 Share Posted February 2, 2019 On 1/29/2019 at 10:01 AM, rochesterdave said: This is gonna be epic for BUF. Hi Res pretty much all top out over the city. As usual, sharp cutoffs, but someone’s getting 2 feet easy. TUG feels a bit squishy right now. Not sure what voodoo was put on you guys. Upslope should be good for some snow. Probably 12x was Kroc is in for. So count your blessings. That’s from Tuesday. It was a good call freak. Oswego was also ok call. Just north of Oswego Campus did better. And Watertown /far north Tug did better than I thought. Whatever. Glad BUF got theirs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 2, 2019 Share Posted February 2, 2019 3 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: That’s from Tuesday. It was a good call freak. Oswego was also ok call. Just north of Oswego Campus did better. And Watertown /far north Tug did better than I thought. Whatever. Glad BUF got theirs. How much snow do you have on the ground, Dave? How about you, Freak? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 2, 2019 Share Posted February 2, 2019 Just now, TugHillMatt said: How much snow do you have on the ground, Dave? How about you, Freak? We are down to 6” of crusty glacier in Roc. Absolutely nada in last week. Jealous of what you have. Carol is in an absolutely clutch locale. I saw Snow Ridge only got 4”. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 2, 2019 Share Posted February 2, 2019 Probably low for parts of the tug.. Deepest snowpack of the year for me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted February 2, 2019 Share Posted February 2, 2019 13 hours ago, AppsRunner said: What? The campus got a couple inches. Where did you see a foot? Campus is West Oswego, Oswego Proper and North got crushed by a tea kettle band that sat in the same place all day, lol. The gradient of Snow is ridiculous around here, for real! Cars we're parking in the Marina as there was a snow emergency, just crazy stuff Lake Effect is! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted February 2, 2019 Share Posted February 2, 2019 6 hours ago, wolfie09 said: Probably low for parts of the tug.. Deepest snowpack of the year for me. You see that Blue Circle thats encompassed by green, yeah, that would be Me, Brian and Phoenixwx all in one, lol! What a horrific yr for snowfall WoW, WTF! We got a lot of catching up to do thats for sure! We can do it! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted February 2, 2019 Share Posted February 2, 2019 6 hours ago, TugHillMatt said: How much snow do you have on the ground, Dave? How about you, Freak? LOL is this a trick question, lol? Seriously about 4-6" some places bare! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted February 2, 2019 Share Posted February 2, 2019 I can't even look at modeling anymore as its a bunch of junk! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted February 2, 2019 Share Posted February 2, 2019 Forget the models, winter cancel! Punxsutawney Phil is predicting an early spring! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted February 2, 2019 Share Posted February 2, 2019 4 minutes ago, CNY_WX said: Forget the models, winter cancel! Punxsutawney Phil is predicting an early spring! Music to my ears. I’m about 15-20” short of my seasonal total and I honestly couldn’t care less. Bring on Spring! P.S.... I wouldn’t be mad with a nice synoptic crusher in March that hits the whole forum with 12”+ . At this point if it’s not gonna snow big time gimme some warmth! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 2, 2019 Share Posted February 2, 2019 Wow...Looks like our snow pack is going to be destroyed again during this disaster of a weather week. So. Many. Thaws. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 2, 2019 Author Share Posted February 2, 2019 Long range looks torchy, negative pna is tough to get cold air with. Good shot someone hits 60 on Monday with sunshine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted February 2, 2019 Share Posted February 2, 2019 7 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: Long range looks torchy, negative pna is tough to get cold air with. Good shot someone hits 60 on Monday with sunshine. Long range looks anything but torch...goes back to below average by this weekend and signs that mid February the PV is back in. If anything no pattern that sticks. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 2, 2019 Share Posted February 2, 2019 Eps is above Avg till about the 10th, average to below average for the 10th-17th.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 2, 2019 Share Posted February 2, 2019 Need to breakdown that SE ridge.. I wish I didn't even look at the euro haha Maybe the worse OP run this year lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 2, 2019 Share Posted February 2, 2019 That top Euro image looks similar to what the CFS is showing for February. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted February 2, 2019 Share Posted February 2, 2019 35 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Need to breakdown that SE ridge.. I wish I didn't even look at the euro haha Maybe the worse OP run this year lol Notice how close we are to the baroclinic zone at 850. All we would need is for it to set up a couple hundred miles to the south and we would be in business. We are actually normal to slightly below with 2 meter temperatures which would be around 30 this time of year. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 2, 2019 Share Posted February 2, 2019 Storms 2 and 3 are anafrontal nonsense. I guess we could get lucky on one of them. Did I mention how much I hate this winter? Better than 50/50 odds it pours for both of them. Right now, February looks like more of the same- progressive as Hell. Everything just slides along. Pushed by El Niño driving jets. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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