SouthBuffaloSteve Posted January 31, 2019 Share Posted January 31, 2019 Wish that band would setup over the buff airport for awhile tonight. Was really hoping they could make a run at the top 5 snowiest January’s. Only 26 hours left We cracked spot #4 as of 4pm today. Less than 10” away from ‘77.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted January 31, 2019 Share Posted January 31, 2019 Absolutley crushing out there right now. Why couldn't it have done this all day or stay all night tonight? Can see the south shift coming pretty quickly now. Oh well, better late than never and maybe I can land up at a foot which isnt bad considering how long I was in the "transition zone" for today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted January 31, 2019 Share Posted January 31, 2019 9 minutes ago, WesterlyWx said: Absolutley crushing out there right now. Why couldn't it have done this all day or stay all night tonight? Can see the south shift coming pretty quickly now. Oh well, better late than never and maybe I can land up at a foot which isnt bad considering how long I was in the "transition zone" for today. Not seeing the quick southward shift on radar...which one shows the west end of the lake??? Looking at the northern edge of the band over southern Ontario the line does not move. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted January 31, 2019 Share Posted January 31, 2019 1 minute ago, Thinksnow18 said: Not seeing the quick southward shift on radar...which one shows the west end of the lake??? Looking at the northern edge of the band over southern Ontario the line does not move. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted January 31, 2019 Share Posted January 31, 2019 Buf wind chill down to minus 29 on last ob. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 31, 2019 Share Posted January 31, 2019 Well, gee, NAM keeps looking worse and worse for here. Gah. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted January 31, 2019 Share Posted January 31, 2019 1 minute ago, TugHillMatt said: Well, gee, NAM keeps looking worse and worse for here. Gah. Matt I thought the last radar loop was looking good on the tug??? Not so much? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 31, 2019 Author Share Posted January 31, 2019 Have been getting 1-2" per hour since 6 PM total of 10.8" as of 6 PM will measure again at midnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WNash Posted January 31, 2019 Share Posted January 31, 2019 The north band is back. Unfortunately the transition zone is back too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted January 31, 2019 Share Posted January 31, 2019 Abbott Road in South Buffalo. God damn metro bus is cruising through those whiteouts like a freaking tank! . 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted January 31, 2019 Share Posted January 31, 2019 We were getting slammed here just a while ago. Yes now I see why everyone is saying this is a nasty storm.. but again we are almost back out of the bands. Had another 2.5” for my PM measure puts my storm total at 11.2”. Really not to bad just stinks when it keeps comming in 2-3” little bursts. Cold is crazy!! Took my gloves off for 2 minutes to record a video and they are burning like crazy! Plus walking into the snow it’s so cold my eye lids were freezing shut had to look at the ground to walk forward. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted January 31, 2019 Share Posted January 31, 2019 1 minute ago, SouthBuffaloSteve said: We were getting slammed here just a while ago. Yes now I see why everyone is saying this is a nasty storm.. but again we are almost back out of the bands. Had another 2.5” for my PM measure puts my storm total at 11.2”. Really not to bad just stinks when it keeps comming in 2-3” little bursts. Cold is crazy!! Took my gloves off for 2 minutes to record a video and they are burning like crazy! Plus walking into the snow it’s so cold my eye lids were freezing shut had to look at the ground to walk forward. It has snowed under that northern band in Williamsville since yesterday morning for 35 of the 38 hours since yesterday at 9am. This storm has baffled the Mets from the NWS to the local on air Mets...in fact Andrew Baglini on WIVB 4 just stated " I will not show you the models because they are useless...you don't say... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud11 Posted January 31, 2019 Share Posted January 31, 2019 Adios LES band, let's see what the round 2 brings for tomorrow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WNash Posted January 31, 2019 Share Posted January 31, 2019 2 minutes ago, Thinksnow18 said: It has snowed under that northern band in Williamsville since yesterday morning for 35 of the 38 hours since yesterday at 9am. This storm has baffled the Mets from the NWS to the local on air Mets...in fact Andrew Baglini on WIVB 4 just stated " I will not show you the models because they are useless...you don't say... I wonder if the consistent dual structure of the storm is being affected by the configuration of the open ice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted January 31, 2019 Share Posted January 31, 2019 It has snowed under that northern band in Williamsville since yesterday morning for 35 of the 38 hours since yesterday at 9am. This storm has baffled the Mets from the NWS to the local on air Mets...in fact Andrew Baglini on WIVB 4 just stated " I will not show you the models because they are useless...you don't say...Andy Parker was pretty spot on. This was his map yesterday evening prior to the event starting. He really stressed the double bullseye and was excellent with the placement just a little on the low end with the totals... best forecast in my opinion. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted January 31, 2019 Share Posted January 31, 2019 I wonder if the consistent dual structure of the storm is being affected by the configuration of the open ice. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted January 31, 2019 Share Posted January 31, 2019 2 minutes ago, SouthBuffaloSteve said: Andy Parker was pretty spot on. This was his map yesterday evening prior to the event starting. He really stressed the double bullseye and was excellent with the placement just a little on the low end with the totals... best forecast in my opinion. . Yeah that is pretty spot on. Not sure what caused the issues but one thing is clear is the models did a piss poor job right up to and during the event...several times the band was supposed to move south, and each time it didn't, not to mention only Parker and WKBW 7 showed a model with a dual band, the other stations were reaching for a beer 10 feet away with 2 foot arms. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WNash Posted January 31, 2019 Share Posted January 31, 2019 2 minutes ago, SouthBuffaloSteve said: . There you go. It’s like we have two lakes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted January 31, 2019 Share Posted January 31, 2019 Just now, WNash said: There you go. It’s like we have two lakes. I have witnessed this most recently as December '17 when a leading band was over the Northtowns and a southern band from blasdell south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WNash Posted January 31, 2019 Share Posted January 31, 2019 Think about everything that needed to come together for this storm. There’s only a short window when the lake is freezing up for a major storm. And to get delta Ts like this, you need to have anomalously frigid air. Add to that the particular heading that goes over the two areas of open ice, and this becomes a very rare event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WNash Posted January 31, 2019 Share Posted January 31, 2019 Just now, Thinksnow18 said: I have witnessed this most recently as December '17 when a leading band was over the Northtowns and a southern band from blasdell south. I’ve seen the dual band structure but it’s usually much more transient. This is amazing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 31, 2019 Share Posted January 31, 2019 37 minutes ago, Thinksnow18 said: Matt I thought the last radar loop was looking good on the tug??? Not so much? Not for the Southern Tug. Hopefully it moves farther south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 31, 2019 Share Posted January 31, 2019 The LO band seems to not wanna drop South and according to most, if not all meso's, it's going to but only for a short period overnight before the winds veer once again into the SW ahead of the approaching SW tomorrow afternoon so some of thos stupidly insane totals, like the 36-60" is just not gonna happen. It's quite obvious there's 2 main bands one to the North over Watertown and the other cutting across C-Oswego County and up into the Tug, don't know if that's affecting Matt's crib but its close but it's nowhere near what everyone was expecting, including me, and thats being aided by the Erie band or else there wouldn't be much to that southern band. I've never seen the Central-Southern tug get missed so many times as its getting quite comical actually! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted January 31, 2019 Share Posted January 31, 2019 It’s almost another 20”+ storm at KBUF. I’ll have to see how 24 hour total shakes out but could be yet another top 20 single day snowfalls for us in less than a week. That’s crazy! Public Information Statement Spotter Reports National Weather Service Buffalo NY 1037 PM EST Wed Jan 30 2019 ********************STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL******************** LOCATION STORM TOTAL TIME/DATE COMMENTS SNOWFALL OF /INCHES/ MEASUREMENT NEW YORK ...Erie County... Buffalo Airport 19.4 1000 PM 1/30 NWS Office Kenmore 17.0 420 PM 1/30 Trained Spotter 3 WSW Elma 12.9 400 PM 1/30 CoCoRaHS Hamburg 10.8 600 PM 1/30 Public Clarence 10.0 1000 PM 1/30 Amateur Radio 3 SSW Marilla 9.0 930 PM 1/30 Trained Spotter Alden 4.5 430 PM 1/30 12-hr total ...Monroe County... Rochester Airport 1.5 700 PM 1/30 ASOS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 31, 2019 Share Posted January 31, 2019 3 minutes ago, CNY-WXFREAK said: The LO band seems to not wanna drop South and according to most, if not all meso's, it's going to but only for a short period overnight before the winds veer once again into the SW ahead of the approaching SW tomorrow afternoon so some of thos stupidly insane totals, like the 36-60" is just not gonna happen. It's quite obvious there's 2 main bands one to the North over Watertown and the other cutting across C-Oswego County and up into the Tug, don't know if that's affecting Matt's crib but its close but it's nowhere near what everyone was expecting, including me, and thats being aided by the Erie band or else there wouldn't be much to that southern band. I've never seen the Central-Southern tug get missed so many times as its getting quite comical actually! Comical to the point of pissing me off. Unreal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 31, 2019 Share Posted January 31, 2019 Just now, TugHillMatt said: Comical to the point of pissing me off. Unreal. I don't even know what to say Matt as I've never seen the Tug get missed this many time, especially 2 events in a row! The NWS's forecast are gonna be in jeopardy if things don't change and do so quickly! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 31, 2019 Share Posted January 31, 2019 It's -7F in KWRT right now and with wind gotta be close to -30F so that combined with any falling snow is just nuts! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 31, 2019 Share Posted January 31, 2019 5 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: We’ve done pretty well here, even being on the edge or outside of bands most of the day. This is the first time I think I’ve seen a ground blizzard. Just big clouds of snow getting blown around. Really cool to see. That Northern band is dropping rapidly so you should be back in the thick of things real soon! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 31, 2019 Share Posted January 31, 2019 West wind just not as frequent as it's made to seem lol Loot at WSW flow, thats why carol always getting crushed haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 31, 2019 Share Posted January 31, 2019 1 minute ago, CNY-WXFREAK said: I don't even know what to say Matt as I've never seen the Tug get missed this many time, especially 2 events in a row! The NWS's forecast are gonna be in jeopardy if things don't change and do so quickly! I honestly don't think I am going to see a good west wind event this winter. 3 months in and still waiting. This bloody pattern involves a jet stream that is not conducive at all for west wind events. It has frankly been the same all winter. I guarantee you next week we will get the thaws with NW flow Iake effect in between. Then the next week.we will get a cold snap on SW winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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