Thinksnow18 Posted January 30, 2019 Share Posted January 30, 2019 4 minutes ago, AppsRunner said: Yeah, I'd think so. There still seems to be a bit of shear, especially above 800mb this morning/afternoon that may hinder development more than I originally thought, but I would venture that the band sits over Watertown several hours each day, so it won't be 24" in one shot but over the course of this afternoon/tonight/tomorrow/tomorrow night. I also still think the models have a bit of a south bias overall with their QPF placement, which seems to always be a common theme. I have a few friends @Phillifan22 + a couple others headed out to Adams or so by tonight, and I've been disagreeing a bit on where their best shot is to set up. Truth...the models ALWAYS underwhelm when it comes to true band placement. All morning yesterday and even the evening before NONE of the meso-models had the band anywhere near the Northtowns let alone Niagara county...yet here we are more than 24 hours later and I am still under 1/2" to 1" hour rates. You would think local Mets would have the recognition bit they seem to become 10 second Tom... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted January 30, 2019 Share Posted January 30, 2019 Band is splitting apart with the main band settling over Hamburg and the Boston Hills and a secondary weaker band over the northtowns again and the “transition zone” is finding a way to get screwed yet again. This is unbelievable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phillifan22 Posted January 30, 2019 Share Posted January 30, 2019 Might have an answer to the low-beam angle snow hole S/SW of the BUF radar. Plotted the elevation changes from the WSR-88D through the areas with the "hole" in the radar. You can see there's a bit of a hill JUST S/SW of the radar location, which could be the cause. Just a theory! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 30, 2019 Author Share Posted January 30, 2019 Snow+ here, winds picking up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckeyes_Suck Posted January 30, 2019 Share Posted January 30, 2019 Pouring snow in West Falls, mix of large flakes and almost dust like consistency flakes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 30, 2019 Author Share Posted January 30, 2019 1 minute ago, Luke_Mages said: Pouring snow in West Falls, mix of large flakes and almost dust like consistency flakes. Same here, can barely see across the street. Flakes are larger than I thought, adding up extremely quickly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted January 30, 2019 Share Posted January 30, 2019 3 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: Same here, can barely see across the street. Flakes are larger than I thought, adding up extremely quickly. They're extremely efficient at accumulating...not the pixie dust I was anticipating. Winds are picking here gusting at times to 20 mph. BW is it also true Frontier decided against closing??? I do not see them anywhere on the list of closings...if they didn't that is a decision that will be highly questioned Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted January 30, 2019 Share Posted January 30, 2019 Back to just flurries here. Already south of me. We got transitioned hard on this one! Guess my last hope is seeing what time newly forming northern band will do. Probably setup 2 miles to my north. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 30, 2019 Author Share Posted January 30, 2019 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND INCREASING WINDS IN BUFFALO AND AREAS JUST SOUTH LATE THIS MORNING... Late this morning, a plume of lake effect snow producing snowfall rates of 1 to 2 inches per hour will be across the city of Buffalo and areas just south, including Hamburg, West Seneca, and East Aurora. The band will also expand further away from the lake, into western portions of Wyoming and Genesee counties. In addition to the snow, winds will increase late this morning and early afternoon, with gusts to 35 mph resulting in areas of blowing snow. The band is expected to remain nearly stationary through early afternoon. Roadways will be snow covered, with untreated roads being very difficult if not impossible to travel upon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted January 30, 2019 Share Posted January 30, 2019 I Hate west Seneca with a passion Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 30, 2019 Author Share Posted January 30, 2019 That kbuf map might be correct. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 30, 2019 Share Posted January 30, 2019 36-50" is just hilarious, lol, a season of snowfall in one event, wow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phillifan22 Posted January 30, 2019 Share Posted January 30, 2019 Well this looks fun...Hamburg exit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 30, 2019 Share Posted January 30, 2019 I'm not sure this model is ever correct lol Last event it had 2 feet in fulton just hours before watertown got pummeled.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 30, 2019 Author Share Posted January 30, 2019 Just now, wolfie09 said: I'm not sure this model is ever correct lol Last event it had 2 feet in fulton just hours before watertown got pummeled.. The high res have been brutal. A combo of RGEM and NAM 3KM has been the way to go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 30, 2019 Author Share Posted January 30, 2019 Blizzard conditions here with 2" per hour rates and high winds right now. Cannot see 100 feet when the winds gust. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 30, 2019 Author Share Posted January 30, 2019 Can see a slight northern jog of the band at the tail end of the gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buffalo Bumble Posted January 30, 2019 Share Posted January 30, 2019 Winding down here, looks fantastic right now in the southtowns. Enjoy it down there today! Just finished digging out from at least 20" here, over 12" new since my last dig out last night around 11pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 30, 2019 Share Posted January 30, 2019 So your telling me Carol is not seeing 110" on nearly 4" Liquid ? Haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 30, 2019 Author Share Posted January 30, 2019 Out my office window right now. Gas station is across the street. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckeyes_Suck Posted January 30, 2019 Share Posted January 30, 2019 Satellite images look like cloud tops are exploding over the middle of the lake, maybe re consolidating into a single band??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted January 30, 2019 Share Posted January 30, 2019 8 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: Out my office window right now. Gas station is across the street. Are you working in the village office in Hamburg now? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted January 30, 2019 Share Posted January 30, 2019 8 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: Out my office window right now. Gas station is across the street. Taking an early lunch for gas station sushi? Fresh slushies on the way over Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 30, 2019 Share Posted January 30, 2019 We may actually see a few flakes from that death band to my North, lol, as I'm tracking one last AF due to arrive tomorrow evening into Friday where we may pick up 2-3" but I definitely don't believe any model that has us getting more than 4" South of say, Central Square, as thats about where the band falls off the Lake Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 30, 2019 Author Share Posted January 30, 2019 2 minutes ago, OSUmetstud said: Are you working in the village office in Hamburg now? Yeah I got my investment and insurance licenses. Took a new role with the bank. It’s on camp road, next to post office. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted January 30, 2019 Share Posted January 30, 2019 Just now, BuffaloWeather said: Yeah I got my investment and insurance licenses. Took a new role with the bank. It’s on camp road, next to post office. Sweet. Better than working out to Tops I guess lol. They got rid of my old Verizon store, only using the one at Quaker Crossing now, noticed when I was home for Christmas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 30, 2019 Author Share Posted January 30, 2019 Just now, OSUmetstud said: Sweet. Better than working out to Tops I guess lol. They got rid of my old Verizon store, only using the one at Quaker Crossing now, noticed when I was home for Christmas. Yeah it’s so much better even though I was a manager there. I like the hours better and like doing financial advising more then managing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phillifan22 Posted January 30, 2019 Share Posted January 30, 2019 Kenmore the big winner so far at 15.7" as of 7AM this morning! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 30, 2019 Author Share Posted January 30, 2019 Any guess as to what happens with these two bands? Combine or two separate bands? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
southbuffalowx Posted January 30, 2019 Share Posted January 30, 2019 You guys in the northtowns with the 20"+ total need to report your snow to the weather service! Would hate for those high snowfall amounts to get unrecognized when they write up the report on the storms later this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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